(Market Value) based on tiered salary analysis
Market demand by position
The free agent's previous value
The free agent's coaching and team situation
What is the free agent's current NFL team's NFL draft standing (where they pick, how many picks)? They may not attempt to retain a player at a particular position due to the depth at his position in the NFL Draft or free agency.
Other teams in the market, what is their NFL Draft situation? Draft or free agency depth at a particular position might affect a player's value on the market in a given year.
Player performance in recent years
What are the combined top 5 average annual NFL salaries by position vs. the average? We provide an example below.
You can access all of the positional salary data on our NFL Salary Analysis Tool Page by clicking here
QB Top 5: $37.2M (Cap % 20.7%) vs. Avg $6.9M
Top Avg Contract: Patrick Mahomes $45M
RB Top 5: $14.3M (Cap % 7.2%) vs. Avg $1.9M
Top Avg Contract: Christian McCaffrey $16M
WR Top 5: $21.7M (Cap % 11.0%) vs. $2.6M
Top Avg Contract: $27.2M
The NFL RB market is an interesting one. One reason is that the field is somewhat average overall, with Aaron Jones highlighting the position group. Jones is projected to get top-five average RB pay by some sources, but is he on the same level as some of the NFL's top RB's?
After evaluating the last three seasons of NFL RB production using our total volume analysis or the (OTDB) report, Jones has a three-year avg of 245 touches ranking him outside the top 30 RB total volume average (since 2018). Suppose you subtract his 2018 season, where he only played in 75% of his games and had 168 total touches, the average increases to 284, which gets him into the top 30 for total volume average. In 2019 Jones had 304 touches, the 20th highest total volume since 2018. Jones has benefited from having a very good offensive line and Aaron Rodgers as his QB. He has also been part of a split backfield in Green Bay, so the question is, can he carry a heavier load at his next destination?