This is the first weekly fantasy post since I reviewed week 4.
This is the first weekly fantasy post since I reviewed week 4. To recap, I am in a competitive 14 team, two-man keeper .5 pt PPR league format with a $100 faab budget. I picked up a team with Todd Gurley and Tyreek Hill losing my first round pick for Gurley and a fourth-round pick for Hill. Each week the top scorer among all teams gets a $25 payout with the top team taking home a nice pot at seasons end. In 7 weeks I have brought home the $25 Three times. My buy in to join the league was a $100 and week eight is already looking like I might grab my fourth $25 payout in 8 weeks.
I began the season 1-2 and have now ripped off four straight wins moving from the bottom of my division all the way to one game out of 1st place. I accomplished all of this by being as strategic as possible and keeping a close eye and ear on what is happening in the NFL. One of my tactics began all the way back int he preseason when I was targeting under the radar players and keeping an eye on the number two and three players at RB, WR, TE. I first recognized the value of James Conner and put him atop of my draft list in the during the preseason. I did not know that Leveon Bell would hold out this long and I waited to draft Conner in the Mid rounds in hopes that I would be able to parlay it into a few early-season wins, well the gamble has paid dividends as we are nearing the halfway point of the NFL season, and Bell has still not reported to the Steelers.
The other big move I made involved a trade of Kurt Cousins, Marquise Goodwin, Alex Collins and The Baltimore defense for James White, Tom Brady, and the Jags D. So far this trade has paid off mightily as Tom Brady relies so heavily on James White in the passing game. Brady also complained when Sony Michel debuted and ran some poor routes and dropped a few check downs that could have moved the chains. Brady got his wish and White was back taking 50% or more of the snaps. Now luck has also come into play as Michel has been injury prone. He began the year missing a few games and was just knocked out of this last bears game and will likely be out a few more games leaving White as the primary back. White was high on my draft radar, but I just missed out on getting him in the draft.
WR's and TE's grew scarce in the draft due to league depth (14 teams) and the two man keeper system. I began the year with Marquise Goodwin, Nelson Agholar, and Tyreek Hill. I was also quick to Grab TE Jimmy Graham. I was strong on paper at RB with Conner, Gurley and Collins when I began the season, but it would be the trade for James White that would solidify the RB position. I spent some cash 40% of my faab on the waiver wire to Aquire Tyler Boyd, and that would pay off in a big way as he has been highly targeted and is the clear number two WR in Cinci.
So far I parlayed my first $25 top score of the week earnings into $700 by investing the money into DFS tournaments, James Conner's emergence, and the trade for James White, and Tom Brady, James White and the Waiver add of Tyler Boyd have helped me to go from a 1-2 start to now 5-2 and in 2nd place in my division.
My Team is the Battle of Butker Hill.
Week 8 Waiver Wire Advice
I am not going to sit here and point out a bunch of the obvious waiver wire adds that likely long gone such as TE Vance McDonald who is only 40% owned according to ESPN fantasy. TE is a very difficult position right now due to lower than expected productivity from some of the higher rated TEs and lots of injuries. If you are in need of a TE and none of the above obvious players is available to go after Chris Herndon from the Jets. Take a risk on Herndon who has two TDs in two weeks and nine receptions. He was very solid and reliable at the University of Miami playing in 34 games in three years, catching 86 balls for 1048 yards and 7 TDs. He was an HB style TE who was a heavily targeted check down type in college, and that is translating to the NFL where he was drafted in the 4th round. He is also good with yards after the catch. He is risky in the Jets offense, but if you need a TE, he is worth a shot.
TE Chris Herndon
The available WR's are mostly fliers, but there is one out there that has been more boom than bust the last three weeks, and that is the Chargers Tyrel Williams who has scored 3 TD's and had 25 and 19 pt fantasy performances the previous two weeks.
Week 4 looking back.
I finally got the boom rather than bust out of the majority of my lineup. What is even more exciting is that I did not leave a ton points on my bench. As you may have already heard, Leveon Bell is expected to return to the Steelers and is reportedly expected to play after the by week. Conventional wisdom would lead one to believe that it is time to unload James Conner, but I likely a week to late and will not gain much value unless I dump him with another one of my top players to increase depth. I have decided to keep Conner and play the wait and see game as it pertains to Leveon Bell. I think Bell will report to practice during the bye week, collect a check and then bail (wishful thinking)? Maybe not.
I am in a five-way tie for 2nd place. This is where draft depth and good decisions on the waiver wire must pay off. I am currently about to face a team in the opposite division that is 4-0 and has scored the most points in our league.
Who is on the Waiver Wire?
Bye weeks are happening, and people are looking for another QB, or like me a TE. If you need a QB, you are in luck, but the TE position is on life support.
If you are looking to plug in a QB immediately this week, go after Derek Carr, or Marcus Mariota. According to ESPN they are both at or around 20% owned, and they have high upside with their matchups this week. Trubisky is on a bye this week but could be a sneaky get ahead of next weeks waiver wire. He will be a hot commodity after last weeks performance.
Thos who still have Ryan Fitzpatrick, get Jameis Winston ASAP before the conversation gets louder about him being the Starter in Tampa. He will be a high-risk, high reward player, but the upside will be tremendous.
There are some sneaky players at the WR position and for the deeper leagues (like the 14 team league I am in), players like Tawan Taylor and Keke Coutee are going to be hot commodities if you need to build some depth. Both players are legitimate number two, or three guys who will get serious volume dependent on matchups.