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Introducing the first FS365 edition of the Simple Rating system combined with our Simple Efficiency Analysis. Beginning this week and continuing to the end of the football season we are going to test this system for accuracy. The goal of this analysis is to combine the Simple Rating System and Total Efficiency analysis and use both to evaluate total team strength and compare these ratings to the to the Vegas odds and other mainstream analysis. For college football, we can compare this system to the AP poll and playoff committee polls when they are released.
Key:
SRS: Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.
OSRS: The offensive component of the Simple Rating System (SRS), a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.
DSRS: The defensive component of the Simple Rating System (SRS), a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.
SOS: Strength of Schedule; a rating of strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Non-major opponents are included as a single team in the ratings.
SRS Top 10 Rankings
Top 10 notes:
The SRS top ten of college football has some surprises within the top 5. The biggest surprise is Notre Dame who faces Virginia Tech on the road this week. If Notre Dame wins tonight, they are in the driver's seat toward the college football playoff.
Three SEC teams in the top 5, with Oklahoma sitting on the outside of the top 4. LSU faces Florida on the road this afternoon and is our featured matchup of the week.
Featured SRS and SEA Matchup of the week: Florida v. LSU
According to SRS, LSU is 11.08 pts better than Florida, or 8.08 points better if you give Florida 3 points for home field advantage. The Vegas odds have LSU by 2 points. Therefore, the SRS implies that LSU will more than cover the 2 points on the road.
Home Offense v. Away Defense Total Efficiency Comparison
Home Defense v. Away Offense Total Efficiency Comparison
Potential Upset Alert SRS and SEA Matchup of the week: Michigan v. Maryland
According to SRS, Michigan is a 10.65 pt favorite, or 13.65 if you add 3 points for home field advantage. The Vegas odds have Michigan as a 17.5 point favorite. Maryland is a sneaky pick to cover.
Home Offense v. Away Defense Total Efficiency Comparison
Home Defense v. Away Offense Total Efficiency Comparison
*Please note that the SRS system is meant to be used for entertainment purposes only and is just one data point out of many that can provide insights about potential outcomes. Football Scout 365 does not guarantee any result based on our analysis. Remember, there is a human element involved, and we do not recommend using this tool for gambling purposes.