2026 NFL Scouting Combine: Quarterbacks With the Most to Gain

The quarterback conversation entering the 2026 NFL Scouting Combine is straightforward at the top and complicated immediately after. Fernando Mendoza remains the clear QB1 in this class, and his draft positioning is unlikely to change in Indianapolis. The real question begins with Ty Simpson. If Simpson is the projected QB2 entering the week, can he do enough to firmly plant himself in the Day One conversation? And after Mendoza and Simpson, who separates as QB3?

Indianapolis provides a neutral environment — identical throws, identical interview structure, identical scrutiny. In a class defined by thin margins, the Combine could shape the order behind the top two.

Ty Simpson, Alabama (Projected QB2)

Analysis:

Assuming Simpson enters Indianapolis as QB2, this is his opportunity to solidify first-round momentum rather than simply protect his current standing. His tape flashes timing, anticipation, and middle-of-the-field confidence, particularly when operating from structure. The concern lies in his limited starting experience, late-season inconsistency, and durability questions tied to his frame. The Combine is critical for Simpson. Clean mechanics during scripted throws, verified size, and strong interviews could push him toward the top of Round Two — with an outside shot at sneaking into late Round One conversations. A flat showing, however, tightens the margin between him and the rest of this tier.

Garrett Nussmeier, LSU (Projected QB3)

Analysis:

Nussmeier’s draft arc has been volatile. A year ago, he was discussed as a potential QB1 candidate. Now, he enters Indianapolis fighting to stabilize his evaluation. Over a two-year sample, the tape shows NFL-caliber arm strength and flashes of high-level processing, but it also reveals turnover volatility and risk-heavy decision-making. The Combine represents a perception reset. If he throws with rhythm, demonstrates improved command, and handles interviews with composure, he could climb back into the Day Two conversation. Without that clarity, teams may view him as a developmental mid-round investment.

Carson Beck, Miami

NFL Draft Projection: 4th–5th Round

Analysis:

Beck remains one of the more complex evaluations in this group. When protected and operating within rhythm, he flashes strong accuracy and the ability to diagnose coverage structures. Under pressure, however, his performance can become streaky and negative plays snowball. The Combine should highlight his strengths — clean platform mechanics and natural arm talent in controlled throwing sessions. While his current projection sits in the late-round range, a sharp and confident performance in Indianapolis could help him reenter the broader Day Two discussion internally for some quarterback-needy teams.

Cole Payton, North Dakota State

NFL Draft Projection: 4th–6th Round

Analysis:

Payton is the traits-based wild card. The former FCS standout brings dual-threat ability, high-end arm elasticity, and impressive off-platform ball placement. His throwing motion is unconventional, but the ball jumps off his hand with velocity and life. The primary concern remains experience — only one season as a starter and limited exposure against Power Five competition. Indianapolis provides a critical apples-to-apples comparison against top-tier quarterbacks. If he looks natural, decisive, and consistent in drills, his stock could rise quickly. If inconsistencies show, teams may view him as a developmental late-round swing.

Drew Allar, Penn State

NFL Draft Projection: 4th–6th Round

Analysis:

Allar’s trajectory mirrors elements of both Nussmeier and Beck. Once viewed as a potential first-round quarterback, a disappointing 2025 campaign cooled that momentum. He possesses NFL-level arm strength and prototypical size, but his tendency to predetermine throws and lock onto primary reads has raised concerns about processing and adaptability. The Combine setting should showcase his pure arm talent. Whether it does enough to shift the broader evaluation remains the question.

Cade Klubnik, Clemson

NFL Draft Projection: 5th–7th Round

Analysis:

Klubnik enters Indianapolis as a classic tools-based projection. His arm strength and rushing ability are intriguing, and those traits should translate well during throwing sessions at Lucas Oil Stadium. However, inconsistent footwork and pocket presence remain areas that require development. The Combine will not erase structural concerns, but it can reinforce why his physical profile remains appealing to teams seeking a developmental quarterback with upside.

Luke Altmyer, Illinois

NFL Draft Projection: 5th–7th Round

Analysis:

Altmyer profiles as a developmental option with functional arm strength and a quick release. While it is difficult to project him into the top-75 mix, Indianapolis offers an opportunity to showcase velocity and mechanical efficiency in a structured setting. A clean and controlled week could solidify his status as an early Day Three selection for teams seeking quarterback depth with developmental upside.