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Garrett Nussmeier Film Breakdown: Is He QB1 In The 2026 NFL Draft?
- Brandon Lundberg
- 2 days ago
- 2 min read
Updated: 10 hours ago
The 2026 NFL Draft quarterback race is promising, and at this stage, it is wide open, and one name flying just under the radar—yet climbing fast—is LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier.
With Arch Manning's NFL uncertain NFL Draft timeline, Nussmeier has emerged as a potential QB1 contender in a wide-open class. In our latest Football Scout 365 film breakdown, we evaluate the LSU quarterback's 2024 season using both advanced data and key tape examples to assess whether he can make the leap to first-round status in 2025.
🎥 Watch the Full Breakdown on YouTube
We cover:
LSU’s recent QB pedigree (Burrow, Daniels) and Nussmeier’s stylistic comparison
His 2024 production: 4,000 passing yards, 29 TDs, 12 INTs
Turnover-worthy play data and decision-making trends
Sack avoidance, pressure handling, and NFL-translatable traits
What separates him from recent Day 1 QBs—and where he must improve
📊 Key Data Points From the Video
While Nussmeier’s raw numbers are impressive, the film and analytics point to a player with top-10 upside who must sharpen decision-making in clean-pocket situations to truly elevate his stock.
2024 Stats: 4,000 yards, 29 TD, 12 INT
Turnover-Worthy Plays: 18 (Among the top 20 worst in 2024)
TWP Rate: 3.1% (2nd-most pass attempts in CFB)
Pressure to Sack Rate: Top 10 nationally in 2024
Pressured Adjusted Completion %: 65%
Unpressured TWP Rate: 2% (elite benchmark: = to or <1%)
🧠 Scouting Insight & Play Style
Garrett Nussmeier possesses a high-end starter ceiling with elite arm talent, compact mechanics, and a natural command of LSU’s modern spread offense. Now entering 2025 as the full-time starter, he brings years of preparation, clean footwork, and fearless anticipation to the position. Though he lacks dual-threat mobility, he’s more than capable of maneuvering the pocket and delivering strikes with high velocity into tight windows.
In terms of scheme fit, Nussmeier profiles best in a West Coast or timing-based NFL system where his quick release and rhythm passing can be maximized. He’s closer in style to Joe Burrow than Jayden Daniels, relying on ball placement, timing, and confidence over improvisation. If he continues to grow as a full-field processor and cuts down on high-risk throws, he could push into late Round 1 consideration by next spring.
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