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Urban Meyer To The Jaguars, How He Fills Out His Staff May Define His Tenure

Quick Note: Former Texas Longhorn, USF Head Coach, and recent Alabama Analyst Charlie Strong has been hired by Urban Meyer. Culture and Managing Personalities The Jaguars got their guy, and one of the reasons the hire has a good chance of working has everything to do with Urban Meyer being a culture guy and the CEO of his football teams. He is a coach that stresses accountability, and as a former psychology major, Meyer finds different ways to motivate a football team's differing personalities. He understands it's not a one size fits all approach. These are all factors that will play a role in whether Meyer will succeed at the NFL level. Meyer had a lot of talent as a College Coach; The Margin is a lot thinner in the NFL. Urban Meyer is used to having the most talented team in whatever conference he is competing in, or at least he builds it to that. Like Nick Saban, Meyer has had the luxury of several 1st round players on a team in a single season. It is not that easy in the NFL, where the margins are much smaller. Urban Meyer's Staff Urban Meyer needs to hire NFL level coordinators. If he goes into this venture hiring college-level coordinators, I believe that he will put himself in a position to fail. Some candidates that are in consideration are as follows; Scott Linehan (Passing Game Coordinator, LSU) Former ESPN's Jeremy Fowler reported Thursday night that the former Cowboys and Lions OC (and one-time NFL head coach) is a candidate to join Urban Meyer's staff in Jacksonville. Brian Johnson (Offensive Coordinator, Florida) Johnson's development of Kyle Trask is why he is on the list. Florida Gator offense averaged more than 500 yards per game this fall. Johnson played for Urban at Utah. Teryl Austin (Secondary Coach, Steelers) A former Meyer assistant (DC at Florida in 2010), Austin also served as defensive coordinator for the Detroit Lions under Jim Caldwell. Austin Coached at Michigan in the late '90s under Lloyd Carr. Kerry Coombs (Defensive Coordinator, Ohio State) Urban might pursue Ohio State DC Kerry Coombs, who coached DB's with the Tennessee Titans in 2018 before returning to coach at Ohio State, taking over as the DC in 2020. Coombs coached DB's under Urban Meyer before taking the Tennessee Titans jobs as their DB's coach. Brian Hartline (WR Coach, Ohio State) Hartline has been at Ohio State for a few years now and has taken an already talent riddled WR position to the next level. The former NFL WR and Ohio State WR could be a candidate for Urban Meyer's new staff in Jacksonville. Corey Dennis (QB Coach, Ohio State) Dennis is Urban Meyer's son in law and considered to be a rising star in the coaching ranks at Ohio State. Dennis has been on Ohio State's staff the past six seasons, including working the past two seasons with Day, wide receivers coach Brian Hartline and the Buckeyes' quarterbacks and receivers. Dennis was a quality control coach before taking over as Ohio State QB coach in 2020. Charlie Strong (Defensive Analyst, Alabama) There is a strong discussion that Strong will join Urban's staff in Jacksonville in some capacity. Charlie Strong is a former Texas and USF head coach. He worked as a DC on Urban's Florida Gators staff, so there is a connection. Whoever Urban Meyer chooses to be on his staff; he must consider the differing schematics between the college and the pro game and the personalities. The most important decision he will make will be the offensive and defensive coordinator. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

2021 NFL Draft: Mock Draft 1.0 Picks 1-24, 25-32 Pending the Playoffs, No Trades

In our first NFL mock draft of 2021, we are going to do a no-trade scenario taking who we believe is the best available prospect from our NFL Draft player rankings and matching them based on team needs. Click Here to Visit the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board Click Here to Visit the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Team Needs Page 1. Jacksonville Jaguars Select Primary Needs: QB, TE, OT Clemson QB Trevor Lawrence (6-6, 220) #1 Overall, #1 QB Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Quick Eval: Trevor Lawrence has been the projected consensus number one pick in the 2021 NFL draft since the start of the 2019 season. Lawrence is as close to a sure thing we have seen since Andrew Luck at the QB position. 2. New York Jets Select Primary Needs: QB, CB, WR Alabama WR Devonta Smith (6-1, 175) #5 Overall, #1 WR Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Scouting Report: Smith was second fiddle to Waddle before he was hurt. Now, Smith has had an incredible season raising his stock. The key for Waddle leading up to the 2020 season is what he would look like as the number one WR? He proved before the injury that he could handle the number one role in the Alabama offense. 3. Miami Dolphins (via Houston) Select Primary Needs: WR, LB, IOL Oregon T Penei Sewell (6-5, 325) #3 Overall, #1 OT Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Quick Eval: Sewell has held serve in this spot and will not fall out. He opted out of the 2020 season, but his 2019 film was phenomenal. Sewell received better grades from some scouts in 2019 than other highly rated tackle prospects. 4. Atlanta Falcons Select Primary Needs: QB, EDGE, LB Ohio State QB Justin Fields (6-2, 223) #2 Overall, #2 QB Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Quick Eval: Fields displayed some inconsistent play in 2020, but we have to consider that Ohio State had several games canceled, and the Big Ten's stringent Covid-19 protocols being a factor in how a team can practice and how that might play a role. Fields put on a show against Clemson in the CFP Semifinal, showing the elite level accuracy that was consistent in 2019. He is a near-lock for the number two overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. 5. Cincinnati Bengals Select Primary Needs: OT, CB, WR VA Tech T Christian Darrisaw (6-4, 314) #15 Overall, #3 OT Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: Darrisaw fits the mold of a player on the rise and might be the top OT off the board. Darrisaw is a three-year starter who has improved in each of his three seasons. Darrisaw checks the boxes, and he has the size to go with his ability. He excels in zone run schemes. 6. Philadelphia Eagles Select Primary Needs: QB, CB, WR BYU QB Zach Wilson (6-3, 210) #8 Overall, #3 QB Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Quick Eval: Wilson has been stellar in 2020 following an injury-riddled 2019 season. He is catching a lot of buzz in 2020 due to his high level of play. But the competition he has faced is not on the level of Lawrence or Justin Fields, and that’s is a reason we are not as high on him, though he is in our top 10. 7. Detroit Lions Select Primary Needs: WR, LB, QB Penn State LB Micah Parsons (6-2, 245) #4 Overall, #1 LB Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Scouting Report: I have gone back and forth with Parsons in the top five, but there is no doubt he is deserving. LB's ranked this high need to be unique, and Parson's is a real difference-maker. He possesses modern speed and old school size that is coveted by NFL coaches and GM's. 8. Carolina Panthers Select Primary Needs: LB, CB, OT Alabama CB Patrick Surtain (6-1, 203) #7 Overall, #1 CB Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: With one game to go in the 2020 season, Surtain will face the Ohio State Buckeyes and their incredibly talented WR core. He can solidify his top 10 draft board status if he plays great in the National Championship game. 9. Denver Broncos Select Primary Needs: QB, EDGE, CB Alabama QB Mac Jones (6-2, 205) #15 Overall, #4 QB Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: Jones is a smart player, and he is very good at going through his progressions and making the correct read. His mechanics are sound; his delivery is clean. He lacks the combined arm strength and athleticism that NFL GM's and coaches are looking for, but don't be fooled. Jones is a skillful player with a lot of upside and intangible qualities that translate well at the NFL level. 10. Dallas Cowboys Select Primary Needs: OT, CB, QB Virginia Tech CB Caleb Farley (6-2, 197) #16 Overall, #2 CB Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: Farley played QB in HS and started his VT career at WR. He is now the 2nd rated CB on our board. At 6-2, 197, he has good physical traits. Farley excels in man coverage, mirror routes at a high level, and is physical. He needs to improve his zone coverage skills at the next level. 11. New York Giants Select Primary Needs: EDGE, LB, WR Alabama WR Jaylen Waddle 5-10 182 #10 Overall, #3 WR Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Scouting Report: I Had Waddle too low on my draft board since the injury and the rise of Smith as the number one. The reality, Waddle was on pace for a season similar to Smith before he was injured. After further review, I moved him back up and just outside of the top 10. 12. San Francisco 49ers Select Primary Needs: IOL, CB, QB LSU WR Ja'Marr Chase (6-1, 200) #6 Overall, #2 WR Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Scouting Report: A guy who plays bigger than his real stature, he was the best WR in CFB statistically a season ago at LSU with Burrow at QB. He opted out of the 2020 season. We have him ranked as a top 10 draft board lock. 13. Los Angeles Chargers Select Primary Needs: OT, IOL, CB Alabama T Alex Leatherwood (6-6, 310) #13 Overall, #2 OT Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: Leatherwood has had some issues allowing pressure against speedier edge rushers with good hand usage. Leatherwood has a lot of upsides that we believe can help him become a really good NFL player. 14. Minnesota Vikings Select Primary Needs: IOL, IDL, S Ohio State IOL Wyatt Davis (6-5, 260) #17 Overall, #1 IOL Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: Davis is expected to be an excellent player at the next level. He excels at inside zone, is a road grader, and should be plug & play at LG/RG. 15. New England Patriots Select Primary Needs: QB, WR, LB Florida TE Kyle Pitts (6-5, 239) #11 Overall, #1 TE Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Scouting Report: Pitts is a special player who fits the mold of what NFL GM's and coaches are looking for in today's football. He can move around the formation, play in-line, and split out wide. He is very athletic, with great hands. Pitts, a former QB, is a brilliant player. Whoever picks him up will be getting an elite talent. 16. Arizona Cardinals Select Primary Needs: CB, EDGE, IOL South Carolina CB Jaycee Horn (6-0, 200) #22 Overall, #3 CB Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: The son of former NFL WR Joe Horn, Jacee has the pedigree and is a late riser on our board. He is a solid cover corner, can play zone and press. He has needed to improve his tackling. 17. Las Vegas Raiders Select Primary Needs: EDGE, IOL, IDL Michigan Edge Kwitty Paye (6-4, 277) #9 Overall, #1 Edge Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: Paye is an explosive athlete who has yet to reach his full potential. Paye was not a full-time starter at Michigan until 2020. He is a player with a lot of drive and motivation that we believe can fuel him at the next level. 18. Miami Dolphins Select Primary Needs: IOL, EDGE, RB Alabama RB Najee Harris (6-2, 230) #25 Overall, #1 RB Football Scout 365 Grade: High Impact Player Scouting Report: Hard to tackle, shifty, yet not a burner. At times, Harris has shown a lack of discipline as a runner, but in the 2020 SEC title game, and CFP, Harris has come on strong displaying a high level of athleticism as both a runner and a pass-catcher. He does need time to get going out of the backfield (Derrick Henry), runs high (6-2), where Harris differs when compared to a Derrick Henry style player, is his ability as a pass-catcher. He can line up out wide, in the slot, does a good job on routes from out of the backfield. All Teams Beyond the 18th pick are subject to change until the NFL playoffs have finished. Wild Card Round Losers 19. Washington Football Team Select Primary Needs: QB, OT, TE Florida QB Kyle Trask (6-4, 234) #28 Overall, #5 QB Football Scout 365 Grade: Developmental Scouting Report: Trask was on a Joe Burrow pace this season, and his rise has been notable. He improved his downfield accuracy year over year and is a very smart player. Trask fits the mold of a more traditional player at the next level. He is not as athletic as the top 3 QB's on our board, but he has adequate athleticism. 20. Chicago Bears Select Primary Needs: OT, IOL, WR Texas OT Samuel Cosmi (6-7, 300) #21 Overall, #4 OT Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: Cosmi is a high-level pass blocker, not known as a road grader; he is still a good run blocker. Cosmi is a player who uses angles to gain leverage. A smart player who beats his man to the spot consistently. He is considered by many to be a developmental prospect. 21. Indianapolis Colts Select Primary Needs: QB, CB, WR Purdue WR Rondale Moore (5-9, 175) #12 Overall, #4 WR Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Scouting Report: Moore jumped on the scene in a big way as a freshman; he did things that most players cannot do against Ohio State, he followed up in 2019 with an injury-shortened season, and in 2020 he came back and played well in three games. Moore is a tackle-breaking machine who reportedly can squat 600+ lbs. He can also make you miss in a phone booth. He is a smaller version of Saquan Barkley, that plays WR. 22. Tennessee Titans Select Primary Needs: EDGE, IDL, WR Miami EDGE Gregory Rousseau (6-5, 260) #25 Overall, #3 EDGE Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: A long player who can slide inside when needed. He only has one year of starting experience but possesses a lot of upside. He needs some time to develop as a player, but the upside is there 23. New York Jets (via Seattle) Select Primary Needs: QB, CB, WR Clemson RB Travis Etienne (5-10, 210) #26 Overall, #2 RB Football Scout 365 Grade: Instant Impact Player Scouting Report: The ACC's all-time rusher, he could have left Clemson a season ago but decided to return. Etienne plays with great burst and contact balance and is an excellent pass catcher. Where he needs improvement is as a pass blocker and fumbles. The positives for Etienne outweigh the negatives. 24. Pittsburgh Steelers Select Primary Needs: OT, CB, RB Michigan OT Jalen Mayfield (6-5, 319) #24 Overall, #5 OT Football Scout 365 Grade: Potential Upside Scouting Report: We may have the highest grade for this prospect out of any service. Mayfield had a great 2019 season; he opted out of 2020 and then opted back in. Michigan was bad this season, but Mayfield graded well in 2019-20. He is a player with elite athleticism and size, needs a season or two of elite level coaching, but has the tools to be a very good NFL player. Picks 25-32 are pending playoff completion Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

2020 CFB National Championship Recap: Alabama vs. Ohio State

The Ohio State Buckeyes found themselves in uncharted water vs. an opponent with more talent in key areas starting on the defensive side of the football where Ohio States' secondary surrendered 215 yds to one man in the first half. We knew going into the game the difference may hinge on Ohio State's ability to defend Alabama's WR's and vice versa; how would an Alabama secondary handle the talented Ohio State WR's. Coming into the game, we knew that Alabama had a hard time defending the pass. They gave up 387 pass yds to Ole Miss, 379 to Texas A&M, and 408 to Florida, and none of that mattered last night vs. Ohio State, as each of those games where the Bama defense was exposed, the Bama offense said: "anything you can do, we can do better." Anything You Can Do, We Can Do Better In each of the contests where the Bama defense struggled, their offense was even more dynamic. Against Ole Miss, the Rebels amassed 600+ yds on offense; the Alabama offense said, "watch this," and countered with 700+ yds. Against Texas A&M, the Aggies put up 450 total yds; Alabama countered with 544. The Florida Gators exposed the Alabama defense with 462 yards and 46 points; Alabama responded by scoring 52 points and 605 yards of total offense. Earlier in the year, Nick Saban conceded that it's no longer about defenses being better than offenses "It used to be that good defense beats a good offense. Good defense doesn't beat good offense anymore." The 2020 Crimson Tide embodied Saban's statement. "It used to be that good defense beats a good offense. Good defense doesn't beat good offense anymore." -Nick Saban DeVonta Smith Put on A Show It was apparent last night that Ohio State played determined to keep everything in front of them on defense, and for a good reason. Alabama WR DeVonta Smith was targeted 13 times catching 12 for 215 yds and 3 TD's in one half. The Ohio State offense compiled 190 yards of offense by halftime. Smith outgained and outscored the Ohio State offense on his own. Sith would succumb to an early second-half hand injury that would sideline him the rest of the game. But his performance is one for ages proving why he deserved to be the 2020 Heisman Trophy winner. It Did Not Matter Who Covered Smith Smith vs. Wade Ohio State tried to cover Smith with Wade, and Wade would struggle against five targets, giving up three catches, 70 yards, three first downs, and 23 yards per catch. Smith vs. Banks Smith caught all five targets for 72 yds, 14 yds per catch, and a TD. Smith vs. Tuf Borland? (A LB) SMH It is not a good idea to match a LB against one of the most dynamic players to ever play college football. Ohio State tried, Mac Jones recognized the matchup, and DeVonta Smith would be gifted arguably the easiest six points of his career. DeVonta Smith Not The Only Star (Mac Jones) Drive of The Game With or without DeVonta Smith on the field, Mac Jones proved that he is a worthy candidate to be drafted in the first round of the 2021 NFL draft. He completed 36 of his 45 throws for 464 yards and 5 TD's. At the midway point of the third QTR, Ohio State cut the Alabama lead to two scores. Ohio State had some momentum, but Alabama answered with an eight-play, 75-yard drive for a TD on the ensuing drive. Jones completed 3 for 34 yds and a TD on the drive and used his legs to convert a first down on one of the few plays Ohio State would deploy man coverage. The drive would relinquish any momentum Ohio State gained on their last drive and further solidifies the statement we made earlier regarding anything you can do; we can do better. Justin Fields under Pressure Christian Barmore added value to his draft stock last night. He has one sack and two TFLs and was a problem throughout against a banged-up Ohio State offensive line. Fileds completed 45% of his passes while under pressure against 55% when not pressured. During the regular season, Fields completed 80% of his throws when not pressured. Alabama's Secondary Played Well Alabama did a great job in coverage last night. Patrick Surtain held Chris Olave in Check on four targets, only allowing 24 yds. Josh Jobe only surrendered 20 yds on two Chris Olave Catches. The Alabama Dynasty Outside of winning, Alabama puts players in the NFL, and so do the Ohio State Buckeyes. We examined the total number of first-rounders since 2016 for both schools, and we found that Alabama is number one with 16, while The Ohio State Buckeyes are second with 15. In 2021, Alabama could put as many as seven into round one, while Ohio State can have four taken in round one of the NFL Draft. The measure of a great college football program goes through the NFL draft. Saban has produced 32 first rounders since 2010 and has compiled 7 National Titles since 2009. He has passed Bear Bryant for the most all-time. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

Sunday's Wild Card Game to Watch: Titans vs Ravens, Ravens Inside, Outside Run Game Success

The Titans Defense Is in Disarray Last season, the now-retired Dean Pees put together a defensive gameplan to stop arguably the most dynamic NFL history player and the NFL MVP Lamar Jackson. After the season's conclusion, Pees retired, and Mike Vrabel did not name a new coordinator and instead chose to coach the defense by committee. The Titans defense is now one of the worst in the NFL, ranked 28th overall, giving up 398.2 yards per game. In the Titans, last three contests, the Titans defense surrenders 445 yds per game and 28th in the NFL during that stretch. The Titans pass defense ranks 28th in 2020, giving up 277 yds per game; in the last three games, they are surrendering 294. It's not just their pass defense giving up a ton of yardage, but their run defense is also not good. They are 18th overall, allowing 120 yds per game, the last three games, they are giving up 151 yards per and now face a Ravens offense that has found themselves on the ground; if you want to call a season average of 190 yards per game finding yourself when you lead the NFL, that's okay. But in the last three games, the Ravens have averaged 270 yards rushing per game. So what are the Titans able to salvage from what they did a season ago when defending Lamar Jackson in their upset win over the Ravens in the playoffs? Stopping Lamar, No Easy Task For starters, the Ravens offense has a young RB (JK Dobbins) who has been matched with Gus Edwards as a one-two punch for the Ravens backfield to go with Lamar. The emergence of J.K. Dobbins late in the season has propelled the run game success back to incredible heights and is why the Ravens win streak and eventual playoff push. A season ago, the Titans found a way to stop Lamar. The Titans didn't use many different coverages to do it and added a spy in the box to mirror Lamar in the run game and as an additional underneath pass defender. It sounds simple, and other teams have used the same concept to defend Jackson during the 2020 season with success, but as we already covered, the emergence of J.K. Dobbins combined with Gus Edwards has made a difference. J.K. Dobbins Outside, Lamar Inside, Sprinkle in Gus Edwards and Vice Versa (Rock, Paper, Scissors) While at Ohio State, Dobbins excelled running outside zone and bash concepts: the bash concept. With the Ravens, you get a similar mix of both zone and gap principles, and one of the concepts the Ravens have used to great success in 2020 is the bash concept. The bash concept can be executed using a counter or dart approach. Today we are taking a look at the Bash concept and quickly applying this concept's success backed by the inside rushing yds of Lamar Jackson and outside rushing of J.K. Dobbins. The Counter Bash For the sake of time, I had to draw this on paper today. The counter bash's basic principle is that the QB will read the backside edge defender; if he squeezes down, Lamar will give to the RB. If the Edge defender takes the RB, Lamar will keep it. The concept also changes the dynamic of how to defend Lamar. You now have a concept that gets Lamar north and south and not just on the edge of the defense. Statistically, 64% of J.K. Dobbins rush yds have been outside of the tackles, while Gus Edwards has seen the most success between the tackles. The X factor is Lamar Jackson, who has excelled on both inside and outside runs, and the majority of the inside run success has been to the side of D.J. Fluker. The RPO Game is The Third Element of Rock, Paper Scissors Regardless of what the Titans try to do, it's a game of rock, paper, scissors. The Ravens can run RPO off the counter bash action placing the Titan's LB in a bind. The Ravens lead the NFL in RPO usage and an average of 7.9 yards per RPO attempt. The run game is the key to all of this, and if the Ravens get it going early, they will have success against the Titans defense in the passing game. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

Saturday's Wild Card Game to Watch: Bills vs Colts

The Matchup Overview Bill Offense vs. Colts Defense The Buffalo Bills enter today's Wild Card matchup with the league's 2nd best offense in terms of yardage over the last three weeks (487 Yds per game). The Colts have one of the leagues' top defenses, ranking 8th overall in total yards allowed (332 yds per game), yet in the last three games, the Colts defense has been less than stellar 14th, giving up 354 yds per contest. Matchup to Watch The Bills Offense: OC Brian Daboll vs The Colts Defense: DC Matt Eberflus How will the Colts slow down the Bills, who are averaging 47 pts per game over the last three? Personnel Bills Base Offense: Heavy 11 personnel (1 Back, 1 TE) Colts Base Defense: 4-3 (We will see their Nickel a lot today). Colts Defensive Scheme The Colts are a heavy zone defense that thrives off of turnovers. Their base formation is a 4-3, but expect to see them in their nickel package (5 DB's) in today's game to match up with the Bills 11 personnel usage (74%). The Colts Zone Defense The Colt's usage of zone defense in this game bodes well for them going against Josh Allen. Allen has struggled when facing zone defenses. Josh Allen vs. Man Defense in 2020 According to charting data from Sports Info Solutions, Josh Allen sees the most success against man coverage. When facing Cover 0/Cover 1/Cover 2 Man Underneath, Allen has completed 132 of 202 passes (65.3%) for 1,649 yards and 25 touchdowns with two picks. According to Sports Info Solutions, Josh Allen's on-target throw rate against man coverage is 77%. Allen's passer rating of 126.0 when facing man ranks above Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes and only trails behind Kirk Cousins in this category. Josh Allen vs. Zone Coverage in 2020 Josh Allen's numbers dive when facing zone coverage. According to Sports Info Solutions, Allen has completed a higher percentage of his passes (71%), but his passer rating drops to 95.1. Allen has also thrown for 11 touchdowns against these zone coverages against eight interceptions. (Zone coverages: Cover 2/Cover 3/Cover 4/Cover 6/Tampa 2/Combinations). The Chess Match Between Daboll and Eberflus Colts MOFO Approach In simple terms, the Colts will likely play with two high safeties and rely solely on a MOFO defensive approach (middle of the field open). The Colts should deploy their cover 2, cover four and cover six scheme, which will leave the deep middle and intermediate throwing areas available, but it will force Allen to make precision-based throws into windows. Colts MOFC MOFC is (Middle of the Field Closed), a one high safety look; it is your cover one, and your cover three looks. The Colts are better statistically when in MOFC looks than MOFO looks. According to Sports Info Solutions data, the Colts defense allows the league's 4th best completion rate when they line up to close the middle of the field (58%). Brian Dabolls Approach We talked about the personnel usage above and how Daboll utilizes 11 personnel at a 74% rate. The combination of Stephon Diggs, Cole Beasley, and John Brown allows Daboll to dictate the defense's personnel. The Colts are a 4-3 base defense but will be in their Nickel for most of this game. What this also does, is it provides a positive number in the box scenario in the run game for the Bills because of Josh Allens ability to run. The RPO game is also something to keep an eye on as Bills run RPO at a 14% rate averaging 7.4 yds per play. I chose this as the game of the day for Saturday's Wild card slate. The Bills are a lot of people's choice to make it to the AFC title game. The chess match between Daboll and Eberflus will be a fun one to watch. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

College Football Playoff Semifinal Recap: Clemson vs Ohio State (Sugar Bowl)

The Buckeyes Reign Supreme In The Sugar Bowl The Rose Bowl played in Jerry World was as expected. With Heisman Trophy finalists DeVonta Smith and Mac Jones, the top-ranked Crimson Tide rolled into its fifth CFP championship game in six seasons. Smith caught three of Jones' four touchdown passes and Najee Harris ran for 125 yards with a high-hurdling highlight in a 31-14 victory over No. 4 Notre Dame in a CFP semifinal Rose Bowl played inside about 1,400 miles from Pasadena, California. Alabama Back In Title Game 29-23, that was the final score of the 2019 Clemson vs. Ohio State Semifinal. The Buckeyes plastered that throughout the Woody Hayes Center as motivation for an entire year, and that motivation shined through last night as the Ohio State Buckeyes took it to the Clemson Tigers. Dabo Eats His Words (Context Matters) Ohio State heard the criticism about their six-game season before the Big Ten title game, and criticism continued after winning the Big Ten Title. Even Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney had an issue with the six-win Buckeyes placing them 11th on his regular-season coaches ballot. Ohio State proved they were worthy of being in the College Football playoff last night, defeating the Tigers 49-28. Ohio States Defense Rose To The Occasion The conversation will undoubtedly center around Justin Fields' performance, but the Ohio State defense deserves a lot of credit. The Buckeye defense started the game on a low note allowing the Tigers to attack their defense's edges on two of their first three drives. But the defense would make adjustments, forcing the Tigers to punt on three consecutive possessions before the end of the first half. Ohio States' offense would capitalize on the defense's efforts by scoring TD's on each of their final three first-half possessions. The Buckeyes ended the first half on a 21-0 run and held a commanding 35-14 halftime lead. Proving the Doubters Wrong Justin Fields threw six touchdown passes to outshine Trevor Lawrence, and No. 3 Ohio State buried the second-ranked Tigers 49-28 in the Sugar Bowl semifinal Friday night. ''Everybody doubting us just pushed us a little more,'' Fields said. The Buckeyes (7-0) head to the CFP title game for the first time since the inaugural playoff to face No. 1 Alabama on Jan. 11 at Hard Rock Stadium in South Florida. Ohio State beat the Crimson Tide in the semifinals on the way to the 2014 national championship. Justin vs.Trevor In a matchup between the two QB's both from the state of Georgia, Fields gave the Jacksonville Jaguars something to think about with that first pick in the NFL draft. While Lawrence is a near-lock to go No. 1 overall in the 2021 NFL Draft, Fields outplayed him, going 22 of 28 for 385 yards setting a Sugar Bowl record for TD passes. The most impressive part, Fields did it playing more than half of the game hurt after taking a big hit to his rib area that would force him into the medical tent. But Fields was determined to finish the mission in this game. He was gritty, often grimacing after every throw. If people began to waver on his draft ranking before this performance, they should reconsider. Trevor Lawrence was 33 of 48 for 400 yards and three total touchdowns in what should be his final game in a Clemson uniform. Lawrence finished his spectacular Clemson career 34-2 with a National Title to his name. The Emergence of Trey Sermon Ohio State RB Trey Sermon has been spectacular in his last two games. He broke Ohio State's single-game rushing record vs. an excellent Northwestern defense in the Big Ten title game and picked up where he left off against Clemson, rushing for 193 yds and a TD. He added four catches for 61 yds as a receiver. Trey Sermon has improved his draft stock mightily in recent weeks and has proven to be a solid three-down back. Ohio State vs. Alabama In Miami January, 11th Ohio State will face the Crimson Tide for the first time since they beat them in the 2014 inaugural college football playoff semifinal. The 2020 edition of Alabama and Ohio State feature explosive offenses led by elite WR talent and QB play. Both teams have great run games, Alabama gets the edge in the run game with Najee Harris performing at an elite level, but Sermon is not too far behind. The difference might come down to Justin Fields' health and whether the pandemic will rear its ugly head. We should expect many points in a game that will feature a lot of future NFL talent. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

College Football Playoff Semifinal Recap: Alabama vs Notre Dame (Rose Bowl)

The Rose Bowl In Dallas, Alabama's Three Headed Attack Rolls On To Miami The Rose Bowl played in Jerry World was as expected. With Heisman Trophy finalists DeVonta Smith and Mac Jones, the top-ranked Crimson Tide rolled into its fifth CFP championship game in six seasons. Smith caught three of Jones' four touchdown passes and Najee Harris ran for 125 yards with a high-hurdling highlight in a 31-14 victory over No. 4 Notre Dame in a CFP semifinal Rose Bowl played inside about 1,400 miles from Pasadena, California. Alabama Back In Title Game The Tide earned a spot in the Jan. 11 championship game in Miami, against No. 2 Clemson again or No. 3 Ohio State; the Tigers and Buckeyes are currently playing in the other CFP semifinal at the Sugar Bowl on Friday night. Alabama missed the CFP last year for the first time since the format began in 2014. Notre Dame (10-2, No. 4 CFP), made its 2nd playoff appearance. Alabama's Offense is Potent, and Najee Harris's Highlight Reel Play Alabama scored TDs on its first three possessions, including a 97-yard drive where RB Najee Harris, on a highlight reel run, leaped over a 6-foot cornerback Nick McCloud and would continue to run for 53 yards. DeVonta Smith Rose Bowl MVP That came between drives when Smith, who has 16 TD catches his last seven games, turned short passes into scores of 26 and 34 yards. Smith finished with seven catches for 130 yards, later adding a beautiful toe-tapping, 7-yard TD catch in the front corner of the end zone right on the pylon. Notre Dame Offense Unable to Get Into A Rhythm The Alabama defense kept quarterback Ian Book under pressure and looking for answers. The winningest starting QB ever in Notre Dame history (30-5), completed 27 of 39 passes for 229 yards and an INT. Alabama Didn't meet Vegas Expectations, Still Very Efficient Alabama didn't entirely blow the doors off Notre Dame as a three TD favorite, but the 31 points were its fewest since losing to Clemson 41-16 in the CFP title game two years ago. Alabama's 437 total yards is their lowest output since they had 414 yds against Missouri in the opener. Alabama gets a chance to win its sixth national title in Saban's 14 seasons in the CFP national championship game. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

What An Eight Team CFB Playoff Could Look Like

On our recent 5 Tool, Sports CFB recap show, we added a bonus episode (After Further Review), where CJ and I discussed how an eight-team college football playoff format might work. So I decided to put the idea to paper to see what it would look like, and even our eight-team playoff idea brought some controversy. With that, let's go through the parameters of this imaginary college football playoff format. The Five Power Five Conference Champs Receive Automatic Bids. #2 Seed Clemson ACC Champ vs. #7 Seed Oregon Pac 12 Champ Yup, the Oregon Ducks would qualify as the Pac 12 Champion and would be the lowest-seeded power five conference champion (7th). The Ducks would face the number two ranked (2 Seed) and ACC champion Clemson Tigers. Here is where the controversy begins. Oregon is not ranked in the top ten of the College Football Rankings but is in the playoff by default, and because of their lower-ranking, they would be the lowest-seeded power five conference champion. The Team on the outside looking in, the #7 ranked Florida Gators. Florida had their chance; they lost to Texas A&M in the regular season, fell flat on their face against LSU, and then lost a shoot out to the Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC championship game. #3 Seed Big Ten Champ Ohio State vs. #6 Seed Big 12 Champ Oklahoma The number three ranked Ohio State Buckeyes would take the 3rd seed after winning the Big Ten Championship, and lastly, the Oklahoma Sooners would be the 6th seed, also ranked 6th in the final College Football Playoff poll after winning the Big 12 Championship. #4 Seed (At Large) Notre Dame vs. #5 Seed (At Large) Texas A&M Your two at large bids go to the Fighting Irish and the Aggies, leaving the 7th ranked Florida Gators on the outside looking in with the last at large bid designated for the Group of Five Final Four winner. #1 Seed Alabama vs # 8 Seed (Champion of Group of Five Four Team Playoff). The already top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide would represent the SEC. Alabama would get a match up with the Group of Five Final Four Champion in a one seed vs. eight seed matchup. How to decide the Group of Five Final Four Playoff The way I have it set up is the four highest-ranked group of five teams in the final College Football Playoff rankings. The Group of Five schools might need to begin their season earlier than the power five. It might also be beneficial for them to do away with their traditional conference title games to play their four-team playoff one week before the Power Five Conference championship games. By doing this, the group of five schools could align their four-team playoff championship game on the same weekend as the Power Five conference championship games. Change Is Innevitable I believe this format can work and would have been awesome to test out in 2020 due to the circumstances. We are inevitably going to see college football playoff expansion at some point. The current ESPN College Football Playoff broadcasting rights contract runs out in 2026, so we might have to wait until that deal expires for the expansion to happen. Time will tell, but the current format is stale. Even if the playoff expands to eight teams and we continue to end up with the same 2 or 3 teams in the title game, I see no issue. The current format is nothing more than a glorified Power Five invitational. We must also consider how the new name image and likeness rights might level the playing field as players will earn income. So instead of Alabama piling on the depth, kids will go where they will have the best opportunity to play right away. A lot of change is on the way, and it is long overdue in College Football.

How About The Steelers: The Lack of A Run Game, Big Ben And Father Time, Steelers Are In Disarray

The Pittsburgh Steeler offense is in clear disarray. Last night against the Bengals, the offense put the vaunted Steelers defense in bad spots early in the game, allowing the Bengals to take advantage of short field opportunities. The Steeler's first eight possessions consisted of 5 punts, 2 Fumbles, and an INT. They did not record a first down going three plays or less on each drive in their first five possessions. The Steelers finally found some success early in the 3rd QTR, and the momentum appeared to swing back into their favor before the Bengals reeled off a nine-play 75-yard play drive to end the third QTR and take a 24-10 lead into the fourth. Around the 11 min mark of the 4th QTR, the Steelers would cut the deficit to one score. The defense would force a punt on the next drive, and the steelers would take over with an opportunity to tie the game. They would need to drive 76 yards to tie the game and would fail to do so, going four and out. The Bengals would seal the deal with a game-clinching FG. Sustaining Drives The Steelers struggled against a Bengals defense that ranks at the bottom 3rd of the league in avg total yds to go defense, a stat we reference here at Football Scout 365 representing a team's ability or inability to sustain drives. There is a correlation between teams' success who consistently sustain drives and those who struggle to do so. The Bengals are a team that the Steelers should not have struggled against, even if they have issues running the football and sustaining drives on offense. In 2020 the Steelers offense ranks at the bottom 3rd of the league in 1st down conv. rate (moving the chains), they rank in the middle 3rd in TD scoring rate. The Steelers Predictability and Lack of A Serious Run Game The Steelers are throwing the football at the 4th highest rate in the NFL (65%), on 2nd down, they are throwing it at a 63% rate (8th), and on combined 3rd and 4th down opportunities, they rank bottom third of the league in total first downs converted and rank near the bottom of the NFL in avg yds per att (3.6) even though they rank in the top third of the NFL in avg 3rd/4th down yds to go meaning they have done a decent job of staying on schedule. So what is truly amiss? Ben Roethlisberger Is a Liability In last night's game, he turned over the football two times, one fumble and an INT, both of which provided the Bengals with a short field in plus territory, allowing them to capitalize. Big Ben was bad in the first half, completing 7 of 16 for 19 yds. None of what I am writing about equates to championship football. The Steelers managed to lose this game against a backup QB who could only complete seven passes for 89 yards. Big Ben's Air Yds Per Att This Season Big Ben is having issues pushing the football vertical this season. He ranks at the bottom of the NFL in average completed air yds 4.5 yds per completion. His intended air yds per attempt ranks in the bottom 3rd of the league at 7.1 yds per att. The Steelers Run Game Needs to Be Fixed Championships are won and lost in the trenches, and if you are a contender or a fan of one, you want to see your run game get stronger towards the end of the season. The Steelers are not getting better; they are negatively regressing to the bottom of the league. In the first eight weeks of the season, the Steelers averaged 4.1 yds per rush attempt; since week nine, the Steelers have dropped by -1.1 yds (bottom of NFL). Play Action is The Key The Steelers can be successful if they commit more to the run game; even if the run play only amounts to 3 yds per attempt, they need to utilize the run game, especially on early downs, in order to set up the play-action pass. When defenses can pin their ears back and be aggressive, expecting a pass at a high rate, they will inevitably be able to get pressure. That puts the offensive line, no matter how good they are, in a bad spot. The Steelers rank last in the NFL in play-action pass plays in 2020. They are not even trying to throw the defense off with any run action post-snap. We can blame Ben for turnovers and his lack of pushing the ball vertical, but it doesn't help him that defenses can easily predict what is coming. Like their division counterparts (Baltimore and Cleveland), the Steelers will need to run the football if they plan to win the AFC North with games remaining against the Colts and the Browns. Big Ben and Father Time At 38 years old, Ben Roethlisberger has a lot of miles. He entered the league in 2004 and has thrown for 60K yds on nearly 7800 pass attempts. He has two Super Bowl rings in three appearances. The area where Big Ben lacks the most is his mobility and power as a runner. Big Ben is known for his ability to move around, power through a tackle, and make a big throw. He has not been bad in 2020, and he appears to be the best option at QB even if he is injured, and that is unfortunate for a steelers team who lacks in the run game. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

2020 SEC Championship Game Recap

Alabama was tested last night in a final exam format. They passed that test, winning the SEC Championship 52-46 against an explosive Florida Gator offense led by Heisman trophy candidate Kyle Trask who threw for 400+ yds last night and 3 TD's. Trask now has five games where he has thrown 400+ yds in 2020. On the other side, the Crimson Tide, led by their Heisman candidate QB Mac Jones, racked up 418 yds passing his own and 5 TD's. Jones now has four 400+ yard passing games. SEC Championship Game MVP Najee Harris stole the show last night. Harris had 31 carries for 178 yds, 2 TD's and was impressive as a receiver not just out of the backfield but split out wide on occasion, compiling five catches, 67 yds, and 3 TD's. Harris scored 5 TD's last night. Devonta Smith's Heisman Opportunity Smith snagged 15 catches for 184 yds and two TD's. He was impressive in all areas last night. He nearly broke a punt for a score, and he displayed his ability to block in the run game. Smith waited his turn in Tuscaloosa behind other top wideouts and was even in the shadow of a current WR on the roster Jaylen Wqaddle until his injury. Smith has proven to be a true number WR for the Tide and has all the tools you look for in a WR at the NFL level. The Best Team In College Football You better prepare for another addition of Alabama vs. Clemson in the title game if you consider the performances of each of the top power five National title contenders from yesterday. Alabama's defense is questionable, and if the National Championship were played today, Clemson should be the favorite regardless of record. Both teams are equal, and if they do meet again, it could be a game where the first team to score 40-50 points wins. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

2020 ACC Championship Game Recap

Clemson avenged their 47-40 overtime regular-season loss to Notre Dame today, defeating the Irish 34-10. The most significant difference between this game and the last matchup, Trevor Lawrence was back. The Clemson defense was also playing at a high level holding the Irish 263 total yds. In their regular-season matchup, the Irish had over 500 yds of offense. The Tigers were not having that today as Clemson DC Brent Venables dialed up a defensive masterpiece. ACC Championship MVP Trevor Lawrence had 412 yards of offense and three touchdowns and placed himself back at the top of the Heisman discussion. Lawrence, the presumptive No. 1 pick in the NFL draft, overcame an early interception on a tipped ball to complete 25 of 36 passes for 322 yards. He ran 14 times for 90 yards, with a 34-yard touchdown scamper. Lawrence was even throwing blocks for Travis Etienne to spring him for a big play. "His ability to run really stresses your coverage calls," Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly said. "... So what you try to do is bring some pressures that eliminate those runs. It just opens up some 1-on-1 matchups that are not favorable." -Brian Kelly Honorable Mention for MVP Travis Etienne ran for 124 yards and a score. The Clemson Defense Deserves MVP Honorable Mention Clemson's depleted defense allowed Notre Dame to pile up 500+ yards in the previous meeting; today, they limited the Irish to nearly half the yards they had in their previous meeting (263) yards while sacking quarterback Ian Book six times. Book spent most of the game under pressure. Clemson's secondary shut down Notre Dame's wide receivers and kept RB Kyren Williams in check, holding him to 49 yards rushing. Williams rushed for 140 and 3 scores in their regular-season matchup. Ian Book was held to 219 yards passing and no scores. Clemson looks the part once again, and it seems like it might come down to Alabama and Clemson for the National Championship AGAIN!. Even if you have fatigue watching the same two teams over and over, it's good football. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

2020 Big 12 Championship Game Recap

The Big 12 Championship MVP Spencer Rattler completed 22-34 passes for 272 yds and a TD, including an additional TD on the ground. The Sooners led 24-7 at the half. Iowa State would mount a comeback, but it would not be enough as the Sooners would hold on to win their 6th consecutive Big 12 championship. Iowa State's First Conference Championship Appearance In School History Iowa State played in a conference championship game for the first time in school history. At times, the game was fiery as Iowa State Head Coach Matt Campbell lost his mind on the sideline a few times. DB Isheem Young got ejected after a questionable targeting call in the opening minute. The Cyclones also didn't get a fourth-down call when trying to draw an offside penalty, even though it appeared that a defender was in fact, offsides. Iowa States Offense Struggled Brock Purdy, the third-year starting quarterback, completed 27-of-40 passes for 322 yards with two picks. Big 12 leading rusher Breece Hall rushed for a season-low 79 yards on 23 carries. Hall averaged 135.7 yards per game during the regular season, with 139 against the Sooners in October. Oklahoma will compete in a New Years' Six bowl and build on their momentum since their last loss to Iowa State back in October. Follow Football Scout 365 or visit FootballScout365.com For daily analysis, please follow us on Instagram. We are also on Twitter, Linkedin, and YouTube. Football Scout 365 on Instagram Football Scout 365 on Twitter Football Scout 365 on LinkedIn Football Scout 365 on YouTube

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