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  • Bo Nix Rookie Season Analysis: Is Sean Payton’s Offense the Perfect Fit? The Answer is Yes!

    Earlier this year, I posed two questions in a video: Is Bo Nix the right fit for a Sean Payton offense? Should Bo Nix start right away in 2024 for the Denver Broncos? With the 2024 NFL season nearly complete, the answer to both is a resounding YES. Bo Nix has not only proven himself as a starting quarterback but has thrived under Payton, leading the Broncos to a 7-5 record and into playoff contention. Here’s a detailed look at how Nix’s rookie campaign stacks up against other quarterbacks who have played for Sean Payton, including Drew Brees, Jameis Winston, and Russell Wilson. Bo Nix vs. Sean Payton’s Past QBs Since taking over as a head coach in 2006, Sean Payton has been a quarterback whisperer, extracting peak performances from various signal-callers. Here’s how Bo Nix’s rookie season compares: How Bo Nix Compares to Sean Payton’s First-Year QBs Drew Brees (2006): In Payton’s first season as head coach, Brees led the league in passing yards (4,418), ranked second in completions (356), and threw for 26 touchdowns against 11 interceptions. His 96.2 passer rating was among the best in the NFL that year, and he carried the Saints to the NFC Championship Game. While Bo Nix is unlikely to match Brees’ legendary numbers, Nix’s 64.9% completion rate and 16:6 TD-to-INT ratio as a rookie signal strong potential as a long-term answer for Denver. Additionally, Nix’s mobility (300 rushing yards) adds a dynamic element not present in Brees’ game. Jameis Winston (2021): Winston’s 2021 season with Payton was brief but efficient, with a 14:3 TD-to-INT ratio and a 102.8 passer rating. However, Winston played just seven games and totaled only 1,170 passing yards, averaging 167.1 yards per game. Nix, by comparison, is averaging 212.3 yards per game and outpaces Winston in completion percentage (+5.9%) and total yards. Nix’s poise and decision-making already appear more advanced than Winston’s during their respective first years with Payton, evidenced by Nix’s sustained efficiency over a larger sample size. Russell Wilson (2023): Wilson posted strong numbers in his lone season under Payton, including a 66.4% completion rate, 3,070 passing yards, and a 26:8 TD-to-INT ratio. However, his season ended in disappointment as the Broncos missed the playoffs, and Wilson was benched late in the year. In contrast, Nix has rejuvenated the Broncos with a playoff push and has been more consistent in protecting the ball, with just six interceptions through 12 games. Additionally, Nix’s dual-threat ability has added versatility to Payton’s system, something Wilson struggled to deliver consistently during his time in Denver. The Rookie Record Chase Bo Nix has made a strong case for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year , sitting alongside Jayden Daniels as a top contender. Here’s where he stands: Touchdowns:  Nix leads all rookies with 16 passing touchdowns. Passing Yards:  His 2,548 yards rank third among rookies, despite playing fewer games than some of his peers. Rushing Impact:  Nix’s mobility has been an asset, contributing 300 rushing yards and four touchdowns, adding a dual-threat element to Denver’s offense. With four more passing touchdowns , Nix would become just the second Broncos quarterback since Peyton Manning (2014) to throw for 20+ touchdowns in a season. Efficiency Metrics: Nix Joins Elite Company In the past eight games, Nix has achieved a rare statistical feat: Sack Avoidance:  Nix’s sack rate is one per 20.1 pass attempts, ranking among the league’s best. Turnover Avoidance:  With just two interceptions over his last eight games, Nix joins Dak Prescott (2016)  and C.J. Stroud (2023)  as the only rookies since 1970 to combine a low sack rate and elite interception rate over a similar span. Sean Payton praised Nix’s ability to avoid negative plays , crediting both the quarterback and the offensive line: Show me good pass-protection metrics, and I’ll show you a quarterback that doesn’t take sacks. - Sean Payton Discussing Bo Nix Conclusion: Bo Nix Is the Right Fit Bo Nix’s rookie season has exceeded expectations, solidifying his role as the Broncos’ franchise quarterback. Sean Payton’s offense has been the perfect fit, blending Nix’s strengths in decision-making, efficiency, and mobility. While comparisons to Drew Brees are premature, Nix’s trajectory under Payton’s guidance gives Denver fans a reason to believe their quarterback woes are finally behind them.

  • Michigan vs. Ohio State: How 4th Quarter Dominance Has Flipped the Rivalry Since 2021

    The Michigan Wolverines have done it again, beating Ohio State for the fourth consecutive year. The key to their success? Dominating the fourth quarter. This trend has defined the rivalry since 2021, and it’s worth a deep dive to understand how Michigan has managed to consistently outlast the Buckeyes. How Michigan Has Done It Michigan’s dominance in the 4th quarter has been the cornerstone of their recent success against Ohio State. The Wolverines’ strategy is simple but brutally effective: wear down their opponent with physicality, control the clock, and impose their will in the trenches when it matters most. Here’s a breakdown of the 4th-quarter data from the last four games: Time of Possession (TOP):  Michigan has averaged 9:45 of 4th-quarter possession time per game, compared to Ohio State’s 5:14. This near 2-to-1 advantage reflects Michigan’s ability to sustain drives and keep the ball out of Ohio State’s hands. Rushing Attempts and Yards:  The Wolverines have averaged nearly 15 rushing attempts and 98 yards in the 4th quarter, compared to Ohio State’s meager 4 attempts and 8 yards. Over the four games, Michigan has outgained Ohio State 394 to 32 total rushing yards in the final quarter. Yards After Contact (YAContact):  Michigan has also dominated in yards after contact, amassing 176 total yards, an average of 44 per game. This highlights their physical edge and ability to break tackles late in games. 1st Downs and Execution:  Michigan’s 4th-quarter rushing attack has produced 17 first downs, keeping drives alive and wearing down Ohio State’s defense. The story of the rivalry is written in these numbers. Michigan’s 4th-quarter performances are where they have taken control, playing a “bend but don’t break” style on defense and suffocating the Buckeyes with their ground game. Why Ohio State Has Struggled The narrative surrounding Ohio State’s recent struggles against Michigan isn’t about talent. In fact, Ohio State has had the more talented roster on paper in each of the last four years. The issue lies in development, strength and conditioning, and the mental approach to this rivalry. Ohio State has struggled to win at the line of scrimmage, particularly late in games. Their inability to establish a consistent ground game has been glaring. Over four years, Ohio State has averaged just 1.9 yards per carry in the 4th quarter, compared to Michigan’s 6.7 yards per carry. This disparity underscores Michigan’s physical dominance and Ohio State’s failure to match it. What About Ryan Day? There’s plenty of speculation about Ryan Day’s future as Ohio State’s head coach, but here’s the reality: a coaching change is unlikely unless the Buckeyes falter early in the College Football Playoff. Reports suggest that Ohio State’s administration is hesitant to pay Day’s buyout, preferring to allocate resources to NIL initiatives. Instead of a head coaching change, Ohio State is more likely to reevaluate their strength and conditioning program and their internal scouting and analytics. These areas will be critical if they hope to close the gap with Michigan and regain control of the rivalry. Where Does Ohio State Go From Here? Despite their recent struggles, Ohio State still boasts one of the most talented rosters in college football. With time to regroup and address injuries along the offensive line, the Buckeyes have the potential to make a deep playoff run and even win the national championship. However, long-term success in this rivalry will require structural changes, particularly in their approach to strength and conditioning and player development. Final Thoughts Michigan’s recent success against Ohio State boils down to their ability to dominate the 4th quarter. They control the clock, execute in the run game, and physically wear down their opponent. This formula has been the difference over the last four years, and if Ohio State hopes to flip the script, they’ll need to match Michigan’s physicality and address their shortcomings in the trenches. Let us know your thoughts. Can Ohio State turn things around? Should they keep Ryan Day if they don’t reach the national title game? Leave your comments below and be sure to like this article, subscribe to our channel, and stay tuned for more great content.

  • Fantasy Football Week 14: Must-Add Waiver Wire Targets to Navigate Late-Season Bye Weeks

    As the fantasy football regular season reaches its conclusion, Week 14 presents unique challenges with the Ravens, Broncos, Texans, Colts, Patriots, and Commanders all on bye. For fantasy football managers pushing for the playoffs, here are the top waiver wire targets to help fill gaps and secure a competitive edge. Must-Add Waiver Wire Targets to Navigate Late-Season Bye Weeks Quarterbacks Will Levis, Tennessee Titans (Rostered: 4.0%) Levis continues to show promise after his Week 12 performance of 278 passing yards and two touchdowns. With matchups against the Jaguars (twice), Bengals, and Colts from Weeks 14-17, Levis is primed for success. The Titans’ soft schedule makes him a reliable QB2 option with potential upside for the playoffs. Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams (Rostered: 28.3%) Stafford bounced back in Week 12 with 278 passing yards and two touchdowns, finishing as a top-12 QB. When Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are healthy, Stafford thrives, averaging over 18 fantasy points per game in his last two full outings. While matchups against the Browns and Ravens are tough, Stafford is a strong depth option for QB-needy teams. Running Backs Jeremy McNichols, Washington Commanders (Rostered: 1.2%) With Brian Robinson Jr. (ankle) and Austin Ekeler (concussion) sidelined, McNichols has an opportunity to shine. In Week 13, he played a significant role, totaling 32 rushing yards on six carries. Facing the Titans in Week 14, McNichols’ versatility makes him a high-priority waiver claim, especially for managers needing a fill-in RB. Jordan Mason, San Francisco 49ers (Rostered: 42.0%) With Christian McCaffrey’s knee injury in Week 13, Mason stepped up, leading the 49ers with 78 rushing yards on 13 carries. Mason has proven his value in McCaffrey’s absence earlier this season and would be a plug-and-play RB1 should McCaffrey miss additional time. Mason is a must-add for any team needing running back depth. Sincere McCormick, Las Vegas Raiders (Rostered: 0.0%) McCormick emerged as the Raiders’ lead rusher in Week 13, tallying 64 rushing yards on 12 carries. Injuries to Alexander Mattison and Zamir White have opened the door for McCormick to secure a larger role. While his status depends on the health of his teammates, McCormick’s efficiency (5.3 yards per carry) makes him an intriguing bench stash. Wide Receivers Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Tennessee Titans (Rostered: 17.0%) Westbrook-Ikhine’s touchdown streak extended in Week 13 with two scores on three receptions for 61 yards. He’s found the end zone eight times in his last eight games, solidifying his role as a key red-zone target. With the Titans’ favorable schedule, Westbrook-Ikhine is a WR3/flex option for managers in need of consistent production. Marquez Valdes-Scantling, New Orleans Saints (Rostered: 15.6%) Valdes-Scantling has emerged as a key big-play weapon for the Saints, highlighted by 196 receiving yards and three touchdowns over Weeks 10 and 11. While his deep-threat role can lead to boom-or-bust performances, his ability to deliver game-changing plays makes him a worthwhile addition for teams needing upside at WR. With the Saints’ favorable schedule, Valdes-Scantling is a potential flex play for the fantasy playoffs. Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars (Rostered: 1.0%) Washington stepped up in Week 13 with Trevor Lawrence sidelined, posting six catches for 103 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets. With Lawrence’s status uncertain and a matchup against the Titans’ struggling secondary in Week 14, Washington is a sneaky add for WR-needy teams looking for immediate production. Adam Thielen, Carolina Panthers (Rostered: 19.9%) Thielen returned to form in Week 13, averaging 7.0 targets, 5.5 receptions, and 78 receiving yards per game since Week 12. His chemistry with Bryce Young makes him a reliable flex option, especially in PPR formats. As the Panthers face favorable matchups ahead, Thielen is a valuable depth piece for the playoffs. Tight Ends Dawson Knox, Buffalo Bills (Rostered: 8%) Knox led the Bills in receiving on a cold, snowy evening in Buffalo during Week 13, highlighted by a 39-yard reception in the second quarter. With Dalton Kincaid sidelined due to a knee injury, Knox has stepped into a larger role, earning a 14% target share over the last two weeks. The Rams, Knox's Week 14 opponent, have struggled to defend tight ends, allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to the position. If Kincaid remains out, Knox becomes a top streaming option for managers without a locked-in top-5 tight end. Juwan Johnson, New Orleans Saints (Rostered: 4%) In Week 13, Juwan Johnson led the New Orleans Saints in receiving yards, catching five of seven targets for 36 yards in a 21-14 loss to the Los Angeles Rams. With Taysom Hill likely sidelined due to a knee injury, Johnson is expected to see increased targets, making him a viable streaming option for Week 14. The Saints face the New York Giants, who have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game to tight ends this season. Johnson's expanded role and favorable matchup position him as a valuable addition for fantasy managers seeking tight end depth. Proactive Planning for the Fantasy Football Playoffs Week 14’s byepocalypse creates significant roster gaps, but these waiver-wire pickups provide key opportunities to address positional needs and maintain momentum heading into the fantasy playoffs. Act quickly to secure these impactful players before your league competitors do.

  • Michigan vs. Ohio State: A Data-Driven Look at NFL Talent and On-Field Success

    Evaluating the Michigan vs. Ohio State rivalry through the lens of NFL Draft success, recruiting, and on-field performance, highlighting Ohio State's consistent top-5 classes and Michigan's resurgence with three straight wins, Big Ten titles, and a national championship. In this analysis, I aimed to examine how Michigan and Ohio State compare in terms of player development by evaluating the number of players each program places in the NFL. To do this, I reviewed data starting with the 2014 NFL Draft class to the current day, which includes players developed under two coaching regimes at each school: Urban Meyer (2012–2018) and Ryan Day at Ohio State (2019-current), versus the end of Brady Hoke’s tenure in Ann Arbor (2014) and the subsequent hiring of Jim Harbaugh. The Hypothesis? The hypothesis is straightforward: I want to evaluate each school’s overall success by examining total wins per season and whether there is a correlation with the number of NFL Draft prospects each school produces. Of course, several factors can influence this data. For example, Michigan lost nearly its entire offense from the 2023 National Championship team and is now under the leadership of a new head coach, Sherrone Moore, in 2024. As a result, they enter the season's final week at 6–5. On the other hand, Ohio State, much like Michigan in 2023, managed to retain many of its top players through NIL deals. They also filled roster gaps with high-level talent from the transfer portal, positioning themselves for a run at the National Title in 2024. This contrast highlights how roster management strategies can significantly impact a program’s success in both player development and on-field performance. With that said, this analysis will naturally have limitations and gaps. However, the focus here is on recognizing the immense talent these two programs have put on the field, particularly in recent years, as Michigan has bridged the gap and won three consecutive games in the rivalry. Ohio State Football Is a Football Talent Factory Let's start the analysis with a quick overview of the recruiting rankings since 2014. Using 247 Sports recruiting rankings from 2014 to 2024 , it’s clear that Ohio State has consistently been an elite football talent factory, regularly ranking in the top 5 year after year. Michigan, while competitive with an average class rank in the top 15 during this period, has seen more success breaking into the top 10 in recent years. Ohio State outpaces Michigan with nearly all its classes ranked in the top 10 and a majority in the top 5, whereas Michigan has managed only one top 5 class and consistently lags behind in overall rankings. Ohio State has consistently outperformed Michigan in recruiting rankings over the past decade, with nearly all its classes ranked in the top 10 and a majority in the top 5. Michigan, while showing competitiveness, has only one top 5 class and averages a significantly lower recruiting rank overall. ​ Recruiting Rankings Summary (2014–2024) Average Recruiting Rank Ohio State : 4.64 Michigan : 15.00 Top 10 Recruiting Classes Ohio State : 10 Michigan : 5 Top 5 Recruiting Classes Ohio State : 9 Michigan : 1 NFL Draft Breakdown (2014–2024) Ohio State has consistently demonstrated its dominance in producing NFL-ready talent, with a total of 82 draft picks compared to Michigan's 72. This trend highlights Ohio State’s ability to develop players who transition to the next level effectively. The Buckeyes also maintain a significant edge in elite-level talent production, with 24 Day One picks—more than double Michigan’s 11. Ohio State continues to outperform in Day Two selections, with 31 picks compared to Michigan’s 24, further solidifying its reputation as a top-tier talent pipeline. Michigan, while trailing in Day One and Day Two picks, leads in Day Three selections with 37 compared to Ohio State’s 27. This reflects Michigan’s ability to develop a broader pool of draftable players, even if those players typically lack the immediate impact associated with Day One or Day Two picks. Notably, this disparity aligns with recruiting trends, as Ohio State consistently ranks in the top 5–10 nationally, with an average recruiting rank of 4.6 since 2014. Draft Data (2014–2024) Total NFL Draft Picks Ohio State: 82 Michigan: 72 Day One Picks (First Round) Ohio State: 24 Michigan: 11 Day Two Picks (Rounds 2–3) Ohio State: 31 Michigan: 24 Day Three Picks (Rounds 4–7) Ohio State: 27 Michigan: 37 On-Field Performance: All Opponents (2014–2024) When evaluating on-field performance, Ohio State has been the more dominant program over the past decade. Their consistency is reflected in their higher win totals, superior win percentage, and significantly fewer losses compared to Michigan. While Ohio State controlled the rivalry from 2014–2019, Michigan has shifted the balance in recent years, highlighted by their three consecutive wins since 2021. The following breakdown provides a clearer picture of each program’s performance against all opponents and in head-to-head matchups. Overall Performance (2014–2024) Total Wins: Ohio State: 125 Michigan: 100 Win Percentage: Ohio State: 89% Michigan: 70% Total Losses: Ohio State: 16 Michigan: 37 Head-to-Head Rivalry (2014–2023) Record: Ohio State: 7 wins Michigan: 3 wins Average Margin of Victory: Ohio State (2014–2019) : 18.17 points per game Michigan (2021–2023) : 14.33 points per game The Recent Trends and Michigan's Resurgence (2021–2024) Michigan has averaged 9 NFL Draft picks per year over the past three drafts, surpassing Ohio State's 5.3 picks. Its three consecutive wins in the rivalry, three Big Ten titles, and a national championship in 2023 underscore just how dominant Michigan has been in the head-to-head vs. Ohio State both on the field and in the NFL Draft. Conclusion: Evaluating Michigan vs. Ohio State Player Development and Success (2014–2024) Based on this analysis, Ohio State has consistently outperformed Michigan in several key areas tied to player development and overall success. The Buckeyes' dominance in recruiting rankings, NFL Draft productivity, and on-field performance highlights their sustained position as a top-tier program. Ohio State's ability to consistently rank in the top 5 for recruiting, produce elite Day One and Day Two NFL talent and maintain an 89% win percentage underscores their long-term efficiency in developing top-caliber players. However, Michigan's recent resurgence has shifted the dynamics of this rivalry. With three consecutive wins over Ohio State, three Big Ten titles, and a 2023 National Championship, Michigan has demonstrated its ability to close the gap both on the field and in NFL Draft productivity. Michigan's increase to an average of nine NFL Draft picks per year over the past three drafts reflects its improved ability to develop talent. But moving forward without Jim Harbaugh, can Michigan maintain this level of consistency? Key Insights: Recruiting Rankings : Ohio State's average rank of 4.64  is significantly better than Michigan's 15.00 , with the Buckeyes securing nearly all of their classes in the top 10. Michigan, while competitive, has only achieved one top-5 class in the past decade. NFL Draft Productivity : Ohio State leads with 82 total draft picks  since 2014, compared to Michigan's 72 . The Buckeyes dominate in Day One (24 vs. 11) and Day Two (31 vs. 24) picks, reflecting their edge in producing elite NFL-ready talent. On-Field Performance : Ohio State's 125 wins and 89% win percentage  outshine Michigan's 100 wins and 70% win percentage , though Michigan has been the dominant force in the rivalry since 2021, averaging a 14.33-point margin of victory during this period and winning 93% of their games from 2021 to 2023. Final Assessment of the Hypothesis: The hypothesis—evaluating success through wins per season and NFL Draft productivity—holds true in this comparison. Ohio State's correlation between recruiting dominance, elite NFL talent production, and on-field success is evident. Michigan, while less consistent historically, has leveraged improved recruiting, player development, and on-field performance to significantly narrow the gap in recent years.

  • Fantasy Football Week 13: Must-Add Waiver Wire Targets to Navigate Late-Season Bye Weeks

    Here's a breakdown of NFL Week 13 Waiver Wire Targets for fantasy football, focusing on key players, performance insights, and their potential value for upcoming matchups. These recommendations highlight reasons to add these players and how they can contribute to your playoff push. Planning In Advance of Week 14 Bye Weeks As the fantasy football playoffs approach, it's crucial to proactively manage your roster, especially with the upcoming bye weeks. In Week 13, all 32 NFL teams are active; however, Week 14 presents a significant challenge with six teams on bye: the Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots, and Washington Commanders Must-Add Waiver Wire Targets to Navigate Late-Season Bye Weeks Quarterbacks Will Levis, Tennessee Titans (Rostered: 4.0%) Levis delivered 278 passing yards and two touchdowns in Week 12, solidifying himself as a top-12 QB option despite facing immense pressure (sacked eight times). With matchups against the Jaguars (twice), Bengals, and Colts from Weeks 14-17, he holds massive potential for managers seeking a reliable starter during the playoffs. Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams (Rostered: 28.3%) Stafford rebounded in Week 12 with 278 passing yards and two touchdowns, finishing as a top-12 fantasy QB. When Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua are healthy, Stafford has proven to be a reliable option, averaging over 18 fantasy points per game in his last two full outings. While upcoming matchups against the Browns and Ravens are challenging, he's a valuable depth piece for QB-needy teams heading into the fantasy playoffs. Running Backs Jeremy McNichols, Washington Commanders (Rostered: 1.2%) Injuries to Brian Robinson Jr. (ankle) and Austin Ekeler (concussion) open the door for McNichols, who has previously thrived in an expanded role. Facing the Titans in Week 13, he could see lead-back duties, making him a high-priority waiver claim. Ameer Abdullah, Las Vegas Raiders (Rostered: 17.1%) Abdullah posted 17.5 fantasy points in Week 12, handling 13 touches for 65 yards and a receiving TD. If Alexander Mattison and Zamir White remain sidelined, Abdullah’s potential for high volume makes him an excellent addition, even against the Chiefs’ tough run defense. Gus Edwards, Los Angeles Chargers (Rostered: 23.4%) Edwards’ efficiency (4.5 yards per carry) keeps him a valuable stash. With the Chargers facing favorable playoff matchups, including the Patriots in Week 17, Edwards could emerge as a reliable flex or RB2 option down the stretch. Wide Receivers Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Tennessee Titans (Rostered: 7.5%) Westbrook-Ikhine continues to deliver with a touchdown in six of his last seven games. Averaging 61.5 receiving yards per game over the past month, he offers steady WR3/flex value, especially with the Titans’ soft remaining schedule. Marquez Valdes-Scantling, New Orleans Saints (Rostered: 15.6%) Valdes-Scantling has emerged as a big-play weapon, posting 196 yards and three touchdowns in Weeks 10-11. While his deep-threat role makes him boom or bust, his potential to deliver high-scoring games makes him worth rostering for playoff matchups. Dontayvion Wicks, Green Bay Packers (Rostered: 9.5%) Wicks is primed for an increased role with Romeo Doubs in concussion protocol. In Week 12, Wicks played significant snaps and boasts strong targets-per-route metrics. With a favorable playoff schedule, Wicks is a sneaky deep-league add. Tight Ends Will Dissly, Los Angeles Chargers (Rostered: 35.5%) Dissly’s Week 11 breakout (80 yards and one TD) underscores his rising target share. The Chargers face tight-end-friendly matchups in the coming weeks, making him a valuable streaming option for managers navigating injuries or bye weeks. Chig Okonkwo, Tennessee Titans (Rostered: 4.8%) Okonkwo’s Week 12 performance (70 yards and one TD on a single target) hints at his big-play potential. With an exceptional playoff schedule against bottom-tier defenses, Okonkwo offers significant upside for TE-needy teams.

  • 2025 NFL Draft: Top 5 Running Back Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades

    2025 NFL Draft: Top 5 Running Back Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades Below are my top 5 RB rankings based on our current grades ahead of the 2025 NFL Draft. It is important to remember these grades are subject to change once we get into the college all-star game circuit and post-NFL Combine. The 2025 NFL Draft is set to showcase one of the most talented running back classes in recent memory, rivaling the historic 2017 RB draft in talent and depth. With Ashton Jeanty leading as an early favorite for RB1, it’s almost certain we’ll see at least one first-round RB selection. This class is packed with potential, and we could see as many as six running backs drafted in the first two rounds. Top 5 Running Back Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades Ashton Jeanty, Boise State Ht:  5'9" Wt:  210 lbs Grade:  Elite Projected Draft Round:  Round 1 Summary:  A versatile RB with outstanding agility and vision, Jeanty shines in zone-blocking schemes and brings dynamic pass-catching ability. He projects as a top-15 pick with breakaway potential and elite playmaking. Omarion Hampton, North Carolina Ht:  6'0" Wt:  220 lbs Grade:  High-End Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Early Day 2 Summary:  Hampton combines power, speed, and vision, fitting well in both power and zone-blocking schemes. His reliable three-down versatility and Nick Chubb-like style make him a strong early Day 2 option. Quinshon Judkins, Ohio State Ht:  5'11" Wt:  210 lbs Grade:  High Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Mid-to-Late Day 2 Summary:  Judkins is an elusive, powerful back with sharp cutting ability and a knack for gaining yards after contact, making him an excellent choice for teams needing a balanced offensive weapon. Kaleb Johnson, Iowa Ht:  6'0" Wt:  225 lbs Grade:  High Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Day 2 Summary:  Known for his one-cut style and durability, Johnson excels in creating yards after contact. He’s an ideal fit for teams prioritizing physical, power-based rushing. TreVeyon Henderson, Ohio State Ht:  5'11" Wt:  215 lbs Grade:  Mid-Level Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Day 2 Summary:  Henderson brings a two-phase skill set, with twitchy, explosive playmaking both on the ground and in the air. He’s versatile and fits seamlessly into modern, multifaceted NFL offenses. Other Top Names to Watch Several additional running backs narrowly missed the top five, each bringing unique strengths to the 2025 draft class: Nick Singleton (Penn State):  Strong Day 2 or 3 potential with a well-rounded skill set. DJ Giddens (Kansas State):  Known for his powerful yet agile running style. Ollie Gordon II (Oklahoma State):  A dynamic playmaker with big-play potential. RJ Harvey (UCF):  Brings versatility and reliability in both rushing and receiving. Tahj Brooks (Texas Tech):  A consistent, powerful runner who excels in tough situations. Kyle Monangai (Rutgers):  Combines toughness with excellent vision. This RB class runs deep, offering NFL teams quality talent that will likely extend into Day 3 of the draft.

  • 2025 NFL Draft: Top 5 Tight End Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades

    Top 5 Tight End Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades Below are my top 5 TE rankings based on our current grades ahead of the 2025 NFL Draft. It is important to remember these grades are subject to change once we get into the college all-star game circuit and post-NFL Combine. The 2025 TE class features a blend of athletic, versatile prospects with high ceilings. Colston Loveland leads the group, followed by other standouts like Penn State's Tyler Warren and Bowling Green's Harold Fannin. Each of the top TEs brings unique skill sets to various offensive schemes. This TE group is deep and talented, with significant potential. There could be a few Day 1 picks at the position, and several more could be drafted on Days 2 and 3 of the 2025 NFL Draft. Top 5 Tight End Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades 1). Colston Loveland, Michigan Ht:  6'5" Wt:  245 lbs Projected Draft Round:  Round 1 Summary:  Loveland is an athletic tight end with size, speed, and versatility. His ability to stretch the field vertically and horizontally makes him a mismatch in traditional and spread formations. He offers elite upside as both a receiver and blocker. 2). Tyler Warren, Penn State Ht:  6'6" Wt:  260 lbs Projected Draft Round:  Early Day 2 Summary:  Warren is a physical, versatile TE who excels in blocking and red-zone situations. His ability to line up in multiple positions enhances his value in offenses that rely on tight ends as key contributors in both the run and pass games. 3). Harold Fannin Jr., Bowling Green Ht:  6'4" Wt:  230 lbs Projected Draft Round:  Day 2 Summary:  Fannin is a versatile TE who thrives as a blocker and short-to-intermediate receiver. His reliable hands as a receiver, combined with his ability to box out, are elite. 4). Oronde Gadsden II, Syracuse Ht:  6'5" Wt:  240 lbs Projected Draft Round:  Late Day 2 Summary:  Gadsden is a hybrid TE/slot receiver with elite hands and a massive catch radius. Though his blocking needs improvement, his ability to exploit mismatches as a pass-catcher makes him a valuable flex option. 5). Mason Taylor, LSU Ht:  6'6" Wt:  250 lbs Projected Draft Round:  Day 3 Summary:  Taylor is a versatile TE with natural hands and high football IQ. He thrives over the middle of the field and as a contested-catch specialist but needs to develop his separation ability and blocking consistency. Other Top Names to Watch Several additional tight ends narrowly missed the top five, each bringing unique strengths to the 2025 draft class: Mitchell Evans (Notre Dame):  6'5", 260 lbs – A big-bodied TE with excellent hands and the ability to win in contested catch situations. Best suited for traditional in-line roles. Gunnar Helm (Texas):  6'5", 250 lbs – A strong blocker with underrated receiving skills, capable of contributing in multiple alignments. Luke Lachey (Iowa):  6'5", 253 lbs – A balanced TE effective as both a blocker and pass-catcher, with a knack for contested catches. Brant Kuithe (Utah):  6'2", 222 lbs – A dynamic pass-catching TE with strong route running and versatility in spread or West Coast offenses. This TE class offers a wide range of options, from high-ceiling developmental projects to polished contributors ready to make an immediate impact. NFL teams will find value at every stage of the draft.

  • 2025 NFL Draft: Top 5 Wide Receiver Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades

    2025 NFL Draft: Top 5 Wide Receiver Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades Below are my top 5 WR rankings based on our current grades ahead of the 2025 NFL Draft. It is important to remember these grades are subject to change once we get into the college all-star game circuit and post-NFL Combine. The debate about the WR1 will be decided by Travis Hunter's decision on what position he will declare during the NFL Draft process. He might be steadfast about being listed as a two-way athlete, so that's what we have him listed as. If Hunter decides to go the WR route full-time, he would be our WR1 in the class. If he chooses the CB route, he would be a close second to Will Johnson as the top DB in the 2025 NFL Draft class. The 2025 WR class offers an intriguing mix of size, speed, and versatility, with multiple prospects capable of becoming high-impact NFL starters. If Travis Hunter decides to play DB full-time, Tetairoa McMillan would take the lead at the top of the WR class as a prototypical X-receiver with size and body control, followed by Luther Burden III, who adds dynamic playmaking ability from the slot. While this class might lack the top-end talent we had in the 2024 NFL Draft, this group is starting to provide solid depth and varying versatility. Top 5 Wide Receiver Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades 1). Travis Hunter, Colorado Ht:  6'1" Wt:  185 lbs Grade:  Near Elite Projected Draft Round:  Round 1 Summary:  Hunter’s two-way ability is unprecedented, but his WR skill set is elite. With explosive burst, exceptional ball tracking, and run-after-catch ability, Hunter fits perfectly into a vertical passing offense or creative schemes that maximize his after-catch ability and downfield playmaking. 2). Tetairoa McMillan, Arizona Ht:  6'5" Wt:  210 lbs Grade:  Near Elite Projected Draft Round:  Round 1 Summary:  McMillan combines elite size, body control, and a wide catch radius, making him a nightmare matchup for defenders. Best suited for vertically-oriented schemes, he thrives on contested catches and downfield opportunities. 3). Luther Burden III, Missouri Ht:  5'11" Wt:  208 lbs Grade:  High-End Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Late Round 1 / Early Day 2 Summary:  Burden is a dynamic slot receiver with elite run-after-catch ability. His agility and burst make him dangerous in motion-heavy offenses that prioritize quick passes and screens to get him into space. 4). Elic Ayomanor, Stanford Ht:  6'2" Wt:  210 lbs Grade:  High-End Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Early Day 2 Summary:  Ayomanor excels as an X-receiver, stretching the field with speed and reliability in contested situations. His combination of physicality and route running makes him a valuable asset in both pro-style and spread offenses. 5). Isaiah Bond, Texas Ht:  5'11" Wt:  182 lbs Grade:  High-End Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Mid-to-Late Day 2 Summary:  Bond is a vertical threat with elite speed and explosive playmaking ability. Best suited for a West Coast spread offense, his separation skills and after-the-catch explosiveness stand out. Other Top Names to Watch Several additional wide receivers narrowly missed the top five, each bringing unique strengths to the 2025 draft class. Emeka Egbuka (Ohio State):  6'1", 205 lbs – A versatile WR who thrives both inside and outside, excelling at creating separation and making plays at all levels of the field. Evan Stewart (Oregon):  6'0", 175 lbs – A smooth route runner with elite separation skills and the ability to stretch the field vertically. Tory Horton (Colorado State):  6'2", 190 lbs – A polished receiver with reliable hands and a knack for finding soft spots in coverage. Xavier Restrepo (Miami):  5'10", 198 lbs – A tough, shifty slot receiver who excels in short-yardage situations and makes plays after the catch. Kyren Lacy (LSU):  6'2", 215 lbs – A physical presence with excellent contested catch ability and red-zone dominance. Tre Harris (Ole Miss):  6'2", 205 lbs – A versatile WR with great size and burst, capable of thriving in multiple roles within an offense. Savion Williams (TCU):  6'5", 225 lbs – A towering target with a massive catch radius, ideal for contested catches and high-pointing the football. Jalen Royals (Utah State):  6'0", 205 lbs – A balanced receiver with good speed, reliable hands, and a knack for producing big plays. This WR class offers depth and versatility, with prospects available for a variety of offensive schemes, ensuring NFL teams can find high-value players into Day 2 and Day 3.

  • Fantasy Football Week 12: Must-Add Waiver Wire & Stash Targets – Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Jonnu Smith

    As Week 12 of the NFL season approaches, managing your fantasy football roster becomes crucial, especially with six teams on bye: the Falcons, Bills, Bengals, Jaguars, Saints, and Jets. Here are some waiver wire targets to consider for bolstering your lineup Quarterbacks: Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts (Rostered: 47%) Richardson showcased his dual-threat capabilities in Week 11, amassing 272 passing yards, 32 rushing yards, and two rushing touchdowns against the Jets. His ability to contribute both through the air and on the ground makes him a valuable addition for teams seeking quarterback depth. Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams (Rostered: 28.3%) Stafford delivered a standout performance in Week 11, throwing for 295 yards and four touchdowns in a victory over the Patriots. This achievement propelled him to 10th place on the NFL's all-time passing touchdowns list. With reliable targets like Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua, Stafford remains a solid streaming option. Running Backs: Audric Estimé, Denver Broncos (Rostered: 35.6%) Estimé’s impressive 5.68 yards per carry showcase his efficiency and big-play potential. While Javonte Williams leads the backfield, Estimé’s explosive style makes him a viable flex option in favorable matchups. As the Broncos push for the playoffs, his role could expand, offering sneaky value in deeper leagues. Gus Edwards, Los Angeles Chargers (Rostered: 25.7%) Edwards’ solid 4.5 yards per carry highlights his consistency in a split backfield with J.K. Dobbins. With a favorable playoff schedule, including a potential cold-weather matchup against the Patriots in Week 17, Edwards’ physical running style positions him as a valuable stash with upside for late-season production. Wide Receivers: Marquez Valdes-Scantling, New Orleans Saints (Rostered: 13.9%) Marquez Valdes-Scantling has emerged as a significant deep-threat for the New Orleans Saints, amassing 196 yards and three touchdowns over the past two games. His average depth of target (aDOT) stands at 26.6 yards, indicating a high-risk, high-reward profile. While this boom-or-bust nature can lead to variable weekly outputs, his recent surge in production makes him a compelling addition in deeper leagues, especially for managers seeking a high-upside option during the playoff push. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Tennessee Titans (Rostered: 1.6%) Westbrook-Ikhine has quietly become a red-zone favorite, scoring in five of his last six games and showcasing big-play ability. Over this stretch, he’s averaging 13.5 PPR points per game, bolstered by a 98-yard touchdown in Week 11. With a favorable schedule against weak secondaries down the stretch, Westbrook-Ikhine is a sneaky stash for managers in need of WR depth or touchdown upside. Tight Ends Taysom Hill, New Orleans Saints (Rostered: 45.6%) Hill’s unique versatility was on full display in Week 11, where he posted three touchdowns, cementing his role as a critical offensive weapon for the Saints. Averaging 17.2 PPR points per game over his last three outings, Hill’s increased usage in goal-line situations and his multi-faceted role make him a high-upside TE1 option, especially in tight end-premium formats. Jonnu Smith, Miami Dolphins (Rostered: 31.4%) Smith’s role in Miami’s offense continues to expand, boasting an efficient 1.98 yards per route run since Tua Tagovailoa’s return. With six targets or more in four of his last five games, Smith is a steady option during a stretch where tight end depth is scarce. His consistency makes him a reliable plug-and-play starter for Week 12 and beyond. Stash Candidates Running Backs Trey Benson (Arizona Cardinals):  Benson’s role is expanding in the Cardinals’ offense. With James Conner’s extensive injury history, Benson offers high-upside potential as the primary backup in a favorable fantasy playoff schedule. Blake Corum (Los Angeles Rams):  Corum's explosiveness makes him a valuable handcuff to Kyren Williams, who has a heavy workload and limited big-play upside. If Williams were to miss time, Corum could step into a significant role. Wide Receivers Ricky Pearsall (San Francisco 49ers):  Pearsall has contingent upside as injuries have plagued the 49ers’ wide receiver depth chart this season. If another starter misses time, Pearsall’s big-play ability could make him a fantasy asset.

  • 2025 NFL Draft: Top 5 Quarterback Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades

    2025 NFL Draft: Top 5 Quarterback Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades Below are my top 5 QB rankings based on our current grades ahead of the 2025 NFL Draft. It is important to remember these grades are subject to change once we get into the college all-star game circuit and post-NFL Combine. The 2025 QB class  may not boast the depth and top-tier talent that we had at the top of the 2024 NFL Draft, but this class offers some intriguing prospects. A few names are projected as early top-10 picks, with Shedeur Sanders  and Cam Ward  leading the conversation. While Sanders currently holds the QB1 spot, Ward is a close contender, both showcasing skill sets that could make them foundational players in the right system. Other quarterbacks like Quinn Ewers , Jalen Milroe , and Garrett Nussmeier  have received first-round mention, although their draft stock might fluctuate based on predraft evaluations and potential decisions to stay in college. Top 5 Quarterback Prospects Ranked by Our Exclusive Player Grades Shedeur Sanders, Colorado Ht:  6'2" Wt:  215 lbs Grade:  Near Elite Projected Draft Round:  Round 1 Quick Summary:  Sanders’ skill set is ideal for a West Coast or spread system focused on quick, short-to-intermediate throws. His pocket navigation, accuracy, and decision-making give him high upside, although continued mechanical refinement will be crucial. Cam Ward, Miami Ht:  6'2" Wt:  220 lbs Grade:  Near Elite Projected Draft Round:  Round 1 Quick Summary:   Ward’s arm talent and ability to scramble and make plays on the move make him a great fit for today's NFL. Ward's quick release and his ability to get through progressions from the pocket are also notable when watching his tape. Quinn Ewers, Texas Ht:  6'2" Wt:  206 lbs Grade:  Mid-Level Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Late Round 1 / Day 2 Quick Summary:   Ewers demonstrates high football IQ, accuracy, and pocket presence, making him well-suited to a spread or West Coast offense. His arm talent and strong ability to navigate the pocket are key traits that translate well to the NFL. Jalen Milroe, Alabama Ht:  6'2" Wt:  220 lbs Grade:  Mid-Level Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Late Round 1 / Day 2 Quick Summary:  Milroe’s elite athleticism and arm strength make him a dual-threat asset. He fits best in a spread or RPO-based offense, though refining his decision-making and accuracy on intermediate throws will be key for NFL success. Garrett Nussmeier, LSU Ht:  6'2" Wt:  200 lbs Grade:  Mid-Level Starter Potential Projected Draft Round:  Day 2 Quick Summary:   Nussmeier offers NFL-ready pocket presence and arm talent, excelling in a pro-style offense with downfield passing. While he has strong decision-making skills, he’ll need to improve his consistency in going through his progressions from the pocket and become more decisive. Other Top Names to Watch Several additional quarterbacks narrowly missed the top five, each bringing unique strengths to the 2025 draft class: Carson Beck (Georgia):  Pro-style passer who thrives in a timing and rhythm based system, well-suited for play-action. Kurtis Rourke (Indiana):  Accurate, strong-armed QB ideal for structured systems with quick throws. Kyle McCord (Syracuse):  Pocket-based QB who excels in timing-based throws and play-action. Drew Allar (Penn State):  RPO-driven QB with mobility, suited for vertical offenses emphasizing play-action. Jaxson Dart (Ole Miss):  Athletic QB who thrives in RPO or spread schemes, effective in vertical passing and play-action.

  • Fantasy Football Week 11: Must-Add Waiver Wire & Stash Targets – Audric Estimé, Jaylen Warren, and More

    For NFL week 11, the waiver wire presents numerous chances to bolster your roster with promising options at RB and WR. Here are the standout players to consider adding. Week 11 of the NFL season is here, and the fantasy football playoffs are just around the corner. Perhaps some of you experienced tough losses against Ja'Marr Chase and Joe Burrow, or maybe a combination of Lamar Jackson and Ja'Marr Chase in week ten. It's now important to put those outcomes behind and focus on the task of securing a spot in the fantasy playoffs. Week 11 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Targets Quarterbacks Justin Herbert, Los Angeles Chargers (Rostered: 56%) Herbert isn’t dazzling fantasy managers with explosive numbers this season, but under head coach Jim Harbaugh's system, “Beast Herbert” is delivering solid QB1 production each week. With a steady average of 21.1 fantasy points over the last three games and two touchdowns per game in that span, Herbert is proving to be a reliable option, especially heading into a matchup with a Bengals defense allowing the fifth-most fantasy points per game (FPPG) to quarterbacks in 2024. Expect a well-rounded performance, making him an excellent start as the Chargers look to exploit Cincinnati’s vulnerable secondary. Bo Nix, Denver Broncos (Rostered: 28%) Rookie Bo Nix has emerged as a steady fantasy contributor, scoring 16.1 fantasy points on the road against the Chiefs in Week 10. He faces a favorable matchup in Week 11 against the Falcons, who have allowed 20.1 FPPG to quarterbacks over their last four games. Since October, Nix has hit a minimum of 14 points in every game, with three 20+ point outings—each at home. Given his floor and recent consistency, Nix offers strong streaming value this week, especially for managers looking to fill a quarterback void or take advantage of a favorable matchup. Drake Maye, New England Patriots (Rostered: 3%) Drake Maye hit a bump in Week 10, scoring just 11.7 fantasy points against a stout Bears defense, his lowest output since becoming New England’s starter. However, Week 11 brings a better matchup against the Rams, who will be coming off a short week. Maye’s season average hovers around 17 FPPG across his starts, and he brings dual-threat capabilities that could provide a nice fantasy boost against the Rams’ inconsistent defense. While he’s a riskier play than Herbert or Nix, Maye remains a viable streaming option with upside for managers in deeper leagues. Running Backs Jaylen Warren, Pittsburgh Steelers (54% Rostered) Warren has been climbing up waiver priority lists for weeks and remains a top add for Week 11. Returning strong after Pittsburgh’s bye, Warren carried the ball 14 times for 66 yards and added two catches for 29 yards. His production outpaced Najee Harris, with Warren averaging 4.7 yards per carry compared to Harris' 2.5. With Harris briefly sidelined with an ankle injury in Week 10, Warren’s role could expand even more. If Harris is limited or unavailable, Warren’s dual-threat capability makes him a valuable addition against the Baltimore Ravens this week. Audric Estimé, Denver Broncos (7% Rostered) Estimé’s role has been a subject of speculation all season, but Head Coach Sean Payton finally gave him the nod as the Broncos’ primary back in Week 10. Against the Chiefs, Estimé rushed 14 times for 53 yards while leading the backfield in snaps. Averaging 5.68 yards per carry over his first ten games, Estimé’s efficient running has given him an edge in a backfield crowded with Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin. With a favorable matchup against the Falcons, Estimé has significant potential as the Broncos continue to lean on their rookies. Gus Edwards, Los Angeles Chargers (19% Rostered) After returning from injury, Edwards proved he’s ready to get back in the mix, carrying the ball ten times for 55 yards in the Chargers’ win over Tennessee. Although JK Dobbins remains the lead back, the Chargers’ coaching staff has shifted between run-heavy and pass-heavy game plans, depending on game flow. Edwards’ value increases if he can secure red-zone and goal-line work. His favorable schedule down the stretch, especially with upcoming games against teams struggling to defend the run, could make him a valuable stash. Tyler Allgeier, Atlanta Falcons (50% Rostered) Allgeier has consistently appeared in waiver wire discussions due to his workload behind Bijan Robinson. In Week 10, Allgeier turned 11 carries into 59 yards and saw multiple goal-line opportunities, hinting at his usage potential. Although largely touchdown-dependent, his solid workload makes him a viable bye-week fill-in or injury replacement. Heading into a Week 11 game against Denver, he’s worth a roster spot for his steady touches. Trey Benson, Arizona Cardinals (25% Rostered) Despite a limited role, Benson has managed consecutive double-digit fantasy weeks. Against the Jets, he carried ten times for 62 yards and added two catches for 25 yards. While James Conner continues to lead the Cardinals’ backfield, Benson’s role is expanding enough to offer flex potential in favorable matchups. After the Cardinals’ Week 11 bye, Benson could become a sneaky add for managers looking for a high-upside bench option. Wide Receivers Jauan Jennings, San Francisco 49ers (51% Rostered) With Brandon Aiyuk out for the season, Jennings has stepped up as Brock Purdy’s go-to target. In his Week 10 return, Jennings caught seven of 11 targets for 93 yards. Jennings has been productive when called upon, posting a stellar performance earlier this season with an 11-catch, 175-yard, three-touchdown game. Positioned in the X receiver role, he projects as a consistent WR2 moving forward. His matchup against the Seahawks makes him a top priority for Week 11. Quentin Johnston, Los Angeles Chargers (12% Rostered) Johnston has had a rollercoaster season but recently showed signs of a breakout, recording a career-high 118 yards and a touchdown in Week 9. Though Week 10 was quieter, his knack for finding the end zone (five touchdowns this season) makes him a valuable option, especially with favorable matchups against the Bengals and Ravens ahead. Johnston’s potential as a big-play threat makes him a worthwhile gamble for fantasy managers needing receiver depth. Ricky Pearsall, San Francisco 49ers (16% Rostered) Despite a challenging start to his NFL career, Pearsall is establishing himself as a solid playmaker in the 49ers’ offense. His Week 10 breakout included a 46-yard touchdown catch, showcasing his big-play potential. Although competing for targets with Jennings, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle, Pearsall’s athleticism and ability to stretch the field make him a viable deep-league flex option with a promising matchup against the Seahawks. Cedric Tillman, Cleveland Browns (37% Rostered) With Jameis Winston at the helm, Tillman has benefited from an aggressive passing approach. Averaging 22.2 FPPG in his last three games, he’s a promising flex option heading into a Week 11 matchup against the Saints. Tillman has become one of Winston’s favorite targets, especially in the red zone, giving him high upside for managers looking to solidify their lineups for the playoff push. Tight Ends Mike Gesicki, Cincinnati Bengals (32% Rostered) With Tee Higgins still sidelined, Gesicki has emerged as a consistent option for the Bengals’ passing attack. Although his Week 10 performance was modest (four catches for 30 yards), he saw over six targets for the third consecutive game, underscoring his increased involvement. Gesicki remains a reliable streaming option, especially in leagues where tight end production is hard to find. Jonnu Smith, Miami Dolphins (36% Rostered) Smith has quietly become a dependable part of Miami’s passing game, seeing six or more targets in four of his last five games. Although his Week 10 target count dipped slightly, he made his receptions count, coming close to scoring on a broken tackle. His snap count has steadily increased, making him a promising streaming option for Week 11 against the Raiders.

  • Elite QB Blueprint: How 2021-2024 NFL Draft Quarterbacks Stacked Up Against Today’s Elite QBs Using Pre-Draft Scouting Data

    Our "Elite QB Blueprint Model" evaluates top quarterback prospects against the core attributes of today’s NFL stars, like Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow, using data-driven benchmarks to project who has the talent, adaptability, and skill to thrive at the highest level. What is The Elite QB Blueprint Model? In the ever-evolving landscape of the NFL, finding a franchise quarterback has become both a high-stakes art and a science. Our Elite QB Blueprint Model serves as a roadmap for identifying top quarterback prospects by evaluating them against the attributes of today’s elite quarterbacks, like Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, and Josh Allen. Using six core attributes—arm talent, accuracy, mobility, improvisational skills, football IQ, and experience—each weighted by its importance to NFL success, this model provides a comprehensive benchmark for what it takes to thrive at the highest level. Building the Perfect Quarterback Profile: Core Attributes and Weights The Elite QB Blueprint Model evaluates prospects against six key attributes, each carefully weighted based on its importance to NFL success. The model uses data-driven benchmarks, elite quarterback comparisons, and scouting insights to gauge how closely new prospects match up to NFL stars like Patrick Mahomes, Joe Burrow, and Josh Allen. Below, each core trait is defined along with benchmarks and notable NFL comparisons, creating a profile to evaluate new quarterbacks. Arm Talent and Arm Strength (20%) Definition:  This measures a quarterback's ability to throw with both power and control, crucial for deep throws and tight-window passes. Benchmark:  Consistent, high-velocity throws across field levels, with quarterbacks averaging 250–300 passing yards per game. Elite Comparisons:   Patrick Mahomes  (diverse arm angles), Josh Allen  (deep-throw power), Justin Herbert  (blend of accuracy with power). Why it Matters:  A quarterback’s arm strength opens up the playbook by challenging defenses at all depths, keeping them honest on every down. Accuracy (20%) Definition:  Precision across short, intermediate, and deep routes, especially in pressured scenarios, is essential for sustaining offensive drives. Benchmark:  Completion rates above 65%, consistent across game situations and under defensive pressure. Elite Comparisons:   Joe Burrow  (touch and timing at all levels), Russell Wilson  (deep-ball accuracy). Why it Matters:  A high completion rate under pressure demonstrates reliability in passing and is critical for maintaining possession in high-stakes moments. Mobility and Athleticism (15%) Definition:  The ability to extend plays, maneuver in the pocket, and evade pressure is crucial for versatility in high-stakes situations. Benchmark:  500+ rushing yards per season, or evident escapability and maneuverability within the pocket. Elite Comparisons:   Lamar Jackson  (top-end speed), Kyler Murray  (quickness and agility), Russell Wilson  (stability and balance in the pocket). Why it Matters:  Mobility gives quarterbacks the ability to adapt when protection breaks down, allowing them to create plays on the ground or buy time for downfield options. Improvisational Skills (15%) Definition:  The ability to adapt outside of the offensive structure, managing pressure with composure and creativity, is critical when plays break down. Benchmark:  High completion rates on broken plays and effective yardage generation under pressure. Elite Comparisons:   Patrick Mahomes  (creative, off-script playmaking), Russell Wilson  (effectiveness outside of designed plays). Why it Matters:  This skill allows quarterbacks to create positive yardage in chaotic situations, ensuring offensive flexibility when defenses disrupt the initial play structure. Mental Processing and Football IQ (20%) Definition:  The ability to quickly read defenses, make adaptive decisions, and efficiently process post-snap information is essential for high-level quarterbacking. Benchmark:  High-efficiency rating (160+) and low turnover rates; quick, adaptive reads under pressure. Elite Comparisons:   Joe Burrow  (defensive reads and adaptability), Justin Herbert  (rapid decision-making). Why it Matters:  A quarterback’s Football IQ enables quick adaptation to complex defenses, making them less predictable and more effective across different play types. Experience and Production (10%) Definition:  A quarterback’s collegiate experience, combined with consistent production, indicates their readiness for NFL complexities and adaptability to various scenarios. Benchmark:  30+ games played, a passer rating above 160, and multi-season high production. Elite Comparisons:   Joe Burrow  (extensive college production), Patrick Mahomes  (high-volume passing). Why it Matters:  Experience provides quarterbacks with the ability to read defenses effectively and handle varied situations, laying a strong foundation for NFL adaptability. Common Development Areas Analyzed Evaluating potential weaknesses provides an even clearer view of each quarterback’s readiness. Here are common developmental areas, each benchmarked for improvement: Mechanics and Footwork (20%) Definition : This evaluates a quarterback's consistency in footwork and throwing mechanics, which are vital for precise and powerful throws under pressure. Benchmark : Stability in throwing mechanics and footwork under duress, contributing to sustained accuracy and power across different situations. Elite Comparisons : Josh Allen  (improved mechanics post-draft), Lamar Jackson  (refined release and precision). Why it Matters : Consistent mechanics help quarterbacks maintain accuracy and minimize unnecessary turnovers. Poor mechanics can lead to erratic throws and misreads, particularly under defensive pressure. Pocket Presence and Navigation (20%) Definition : This assesses a quarterback’s ability to sense pressure, evade rushers, and keep the field in view to make quick decisions under stress. Benchmark : Minimal sack rates and effective evasion in high-pressure situations, with quarterbacks showing composure and adaptability. Elite Comparisons : Justin Herbert  (calm pocket presence), Kyler Murray  (effective pressure navigation while keeping eyes downfield). Why it Matters : Pocket presence separates the great quarterbacks from the good, as it determines how well a QB can avoid negative plays and stay poised to make accurate throws under pressure. Consistency in Accuracy (15%) Definition : This focuses on a quarterback’s ability to maintain precision on throws, especially under pressure or during crucial downs. Benchmark : High completion percentage under pressure, including short and intermediate throws, and minimal drop-off in accuracy when pressured. Elite Comparisons : Joe Burrow  (consistently accurate despite defensive pressure), Russell Wilson  (reliable accuracy across levels, including deep throws). Why it Matters : Accurate quarterbacks sustain offensive drives, converting on key downs and keeping their teams in scoring positions. Inconsistent accuracy, particularly under duress, can lead to missed opportunities and stalled drives. Decision-Making Under Pressure (25%) Definition : This measures a quarterback’s ability to make sound, efficient decisions when facing defensive pressure, avoiding forced throws and turnovers. Benchmark : Low turnover rates, high adjusted completion rates when pressured, and success on critical downs. Elite Comparisons : Russell Wilson  (calm, efficient decisions in high-pressure scenarios), Lamar Jackson  (avoids forced plays, keeps drives alive). Why it Matters : Decision-making under pressure is crucial for maintaining drive efficiency and avoiding costly mistakes. A QB who can make safe, productive decisions under duress will limit turnovers and maximize scoring opportunities. Trusting Offensive Structure (20%) Definition : This assesses a quarterback’s balance between improvisation and reliance on the designed play structure. Over-reliance on broken plays can disrupt offensive rhythm. Benchmark : High efficiency within structured offensive plays and low reliance on improvisation as the primary source of production. Elite Comparisons : Patrick Mahomes  (developed trust in structured plays, enhancing overall efficiency). Why it Matters : While improvisation is essential, a quarterback who can trust and execute within an offense’s structure can elevate the entire team’s performance, staying efficient while minimizing chaos. Ranking Quarterbacks from 2021-2024 Based on Elite QB Profile Matches The following rankings reveal how recent first-round quarterback prospects align with the elite quarterback model: 1). Caleb Williams (2024) – 85% Match Strengths : Elite arm talent, creativity, high football IQ; excels with multi-angle throws and power in off-schedule plays. Weaknesses : Footwork inconsistencies; reliance on improvisation sometimes affects rhythm. Comparison : Patrick Mahomes Key Match Drivers : Arm talent (20%), improvisational skills (15%). Lowering Factor : Footwork inconsistencies impacting accuracy (20% weight). 2). Trevor Lawrence (2021) – 84% Match Strengths : Arm strength, composure under pressure, field vision. Weaknesses : Occasional accuracy drops under heavy pressure. Comparison : Justin Herbert Key Match Drivers : Arm strength (20%), mental processing (20%). Lowering Factor : Accuracy under pressure (20% weight). 3). Drake Maye (2024) – 82% Match Strengths : Accurate, quick decision-making, pocket awareness. Weaknesses : Inconsistent deep-ball accuracy. Comparison : Josh Allen Key Match Drivers : Accuracy (20%), mental processing (20%). Lowering Factor : Deep-ball accuracy (20% weight). 4). C.J. Stroud (2023) – 81% Match Strengths : Accuracy, pocket stability, intermediate route precision. Weaknesses : Limited off-script playmaking. Comparison : Joe Burrow Key Match Drivers : Pocket presence (20%), accuracy (20%). Lowering Factor : Off-script limitations (15% weight). 5). Jayden Daniels (2024) – 79% Match Strengths : Dual-threat, athletic, creative out of structure. Weaknesses : Needs improvement in pocket mechanics. Comparison : Lamar Jackson Key Match Drivers : Mobility (15%), improvisational skills (15%). Lowering Factor : Pocket mechanics inconsistency (15% weight). 6). Justin Fields (2021) – 78% Match Strengths : Athleticism, deep ball power, playmaking out of structure. Weaknesses : Intermediate accuracy, pressure navigation. Comparison : Lamar Jackson Key Match Drivers : Arm strength (20%), improvisational skills (15%). Lowering Factor : Intermediate accuracy (20% weight). 7). Bryce Young (2023) – 78% Match Strengths : Decision-making, accuracy under pressure, field awareness. Weaknesses : Durability concerns due to smaller stature. Comparison : Russell Wilson Key Match Drivers : Mental processing (20%), accuracy (20%). Lowering Factor : Durability (10% weight). 8). Michael Penix Jr. (2024) – 77% Match Strengths : Deep-ball accuracy, poised pocket presence. Weaknesses : Durability issues, footwork inconsistencies. Comparison : Justin Herbert Key Match Drivers : Deep-ball accuracy (20%), pocket management (20%). Lowering Factor : Durability (10% weight). 9). J.J. McCarthy (2024) – 76% Match Strengths : Play extension, accuracy in short-to-intermediate range, mobility. Weaknesses : Needs rhythm development in timing routes. Comparison : Joe Burrow Key Match Drivers : Play extension (15%), short-range accuracy (20%). Lowering Factor : Timing consistency (20% weight). 10). Bo Nix (2024) – 74% Match Strengths:  Efficient decision-making, experience, and pocket awareness. Weaknesses:  Limited deep-ball consistency and arm strength for high-velocity throws Comparison:  Joe Burrow Key Match Drivers:  Mental processing (20%), accuracy (20%). Lowering Factor:  Arm strength limitations impacting deep-ball consistency (15% weight). 11). Kenny Pickett (2022) – 74% Match Strengths : Leadership, intermediate accuracy, sound processing. Weaknesses : Limited arm strength for deep throws. Comparison : Joe Burrow Key Match Drivers : Leadership (10%), intermediate accuracy (20%). Lowering Factor : Arm strength (20% weight). 12). Trey Lance (2021) – 73% Match Strengths : Raw arm talent, physicality, and dual-threat potential. Weaknesses : Limited experience, needs development in decision-making. Comparison : Josh Allen Key Match Drivers : Arm strength (20%), mobility (15%). Lowering Factor : Experience and decision-making (10% weight). 13.) Anthony Richardson (2023) – 72% Match Strengths : Explosive arm, elite athleticism. Weaknesses : Inconsistent footwork and structured decision-making. Comparison : Josh Allen Key Match Drivers : Arm strength (20%), athleticism (15%). Lowering Factor : Footwork and decision-making (20% weight). 14). Zach Wilson (2021) – 70% Match Strengths : Dynamic arm, short-area accuracy, off-platform versatility. Weaknesses : Decision-making under pressure, reading defenses. Comparison : Patrick Mahomes Key Match Drivers : Improvisational skills (15%), arm versatility (20%). Lowering Factor : Decision-making under pressure (20% weight). 15). Mac Jones (2021) – 69% Match Strengths : Processing speed, accuracy in short-to-intermediate range. Weaknesses : Limited arm strength and mobility. Comparison : Joe Burrow Key Match Drivers : Processing speed (20%), accuracy (20%). Lowering Factor : Arm strength (20% weight). These comparisons use the benchmark traits and weightings to quantify each quarterback's match to an elite profile, focusing on how their skills align with NFL-level success factors. This systematic analysis provides insights into each player’s strengths, developmental needs, and overall fit in comparison to top-tier quarterbacks in the league.

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