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- 2023 NFL Draft: The Top 10 Best Available Day Two Prospects Includes Will Levis, Joey Porter Jr.
The dust may not wholly settle after all of the drama from day one of the 2023 NFL Draft, but the show must go on. We are approaching the start of day two of the draft, which includes the 2nd and 3rd rounds. A lot of talent is left on the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board. Some names include QB Will Levis, Hendon Hooker, and Joey Porter Jr. All three players had 1st round projections attached to them leading up to the start of the draft. Let's discuss Will Levis. Within minutes of the draft, Will Levis had -1500 odds of going in the top 5. He was the odds-on favorite to be the Colts QB, and I have a theory as to why this happened without any sources. The Colt's front office probably mocked every scenario you can imagine, and based on projections throughout the process, Bryce Young, followed by C.J. Stroud, goes 1 and 2. The wildcard was always the Cardinals and what they would do with the 3rd pick. If the Cardinals traded back to a team like the Titans, who had an interest in drafting a QB, the Colts had to be ready for a scenario where if a team jumps them to take the guy they want, they would probably take Will Levis now that we know the guy they wanted is Anthony Richardson. Is Will Levis good at football? Yes, he's good, but far from a finished product. The on-field differences are that Levis has more experience, and Richardson is an elite athlete. We could not measure Anthony Richarson's ceiling with the Hubble telescope, so they unveiled the James Webb. Webb's larger primary mirror has six times the light-gathering power of Hubble's primary mirror, and we still don't have a correct read on Richardson's true potential. Does someone draft Will Levis today? Yes, it looks promising. The next ten picks include Pittsburgh, Arizona, Detroit, Indianapolis, LA Rams, Seattle, Las Vegas, Carolina, New Orleans, and Tennessee. Seven different teams could take a QB in the next ten picks. Let's mock the next ten picks. 32. Steelers CB Joey Porter Jr. 33. Cardinals OT Dawand Jones 34. Lions QB Will Levis? QB Hendon Hooker? TE Michael Mayer? 35. Colts WR Jalin Hyatt? IOL Steve Avila? 36. Rams QB Will Levis? QB Hendon Hooker? CB Kelee Ringo? 37. Seahawks QB Will Levis? QB Hendon Hooker? S/NB Brian Branch? 38. Raiders QB Will Levis? QB Hendon Hooker? IOL Steve Avila? 39. Panthers CB Kelee Ringo? LB Drew Sanders? 40. Saints QB Will Levis? QB Hendon Hooker? CB Kelee Ringo? CB D.J. Turner? 41. Titans QB Will Levis? QB Hendon Hooker? IOL Steve Avila
- 2023 NFL Draft Day One: Grading All 31 First-Round Picks
The top 5 picks of the 2023 NFL Draft, outside of Bryce Young going #1 overall, provided a lot of drama. We ended up with a lot of smoke and mirrors and the top 4 picks going about as chalky as they could have. It still took a trade by the Texans to get Will Anderson and C.J. Stroud at picks 2 and 3, leading to some early drama. Still, the draft overall went as expected, except for a few picks in the middle of the order that surprised everyone, starting with the Lions selecting RB Jahmyr Gibbs at pick 12. Other 2023 Day One NFL Draft notes Only three QB drafted. Many projected 4 or 5, including myself, late as the buzz for Will Levis and Hendon Hooker was rising, and C.J. Stroud was trending downward in the media. Will Levis is still available on day two. On day one, teams wanted to build the trenches. A total of 16 combined offensive and defensive linemen were drafted. 1). Panthers: QB Bryce Young, Alabama (A+) Analysis: Bryce Young was always the overwhelming favorite to go number one overall. Bryce Young will continue to get knocked for being the smallest QB in the league, but his film and production at Alabama are undeniable. 2). Texans: QB C.J. Stroud, Ohio State (A) Analysis: There was a lot of chatter that the Texans might pass on a QB at pick 2, but if they wanted C.J. Stroud, he was not falling out of the top 10. C.J. Stroud took quite a beating in the draft community the last few weeks after his low S2 Cognition score leaked. He absorbed it and was still the 2nd QB drafted, as initially projected. The S2 score will still linger in the minds of many until he proves it on the field. This was the right pick for a Texans team that needed to add a potential franchise QB. 3). Texans (Via Cardinals): Edge Will Anderson Jr., Alabama (A+) Analysis: The Texans paid a hefty price to get Will Anderson Jr., the top prospect on our board. Will Anderson is an Instant Impact rookie who will come right in and start on day one. Was the price worth it? According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, the Cardinals traded the 3rd overall pick with pick 105 for the Texan's 2023 12th, 33rd, with a 2024 1st and 3rd. The pick is an A+, but the price is a C-. 4). Colts: Anthony Richardson, Florida (A) Analysis: The Colts had long been projected to take Will Levis or Anthony Richardson if one or the other would be available. The Colts chose Richardson, and his athletic profile and big arm appear to be the perfect match for a Shane Steichen-led offense. One guarantee I'd bet on is that we better get ready for a heavy dose of Richardson 3rd and 4th & 1 rugby scrums. 5). Seahawks: CB Devon Witherspoon, Illinois (A) Analysis: The Seahawks are re-creating a no-fly zone in the pacific northwest after they opted to draft a CB to pair opposite Tariq Woolen. Witherspoon was not a player we projected in this spot . The favorite had always been Jalen Carter or Will Anderson. At the end of the day, The Seahawks added an elite physical defender that can provide a year-one instant impact . 6). Cardinals (via Lions): OT Paris Johnson Jr. Ohio State (A-) Analysis: The Cardinals traded back with the Texans only to trade back up with the Lions. Kyler Murray reportedly wanted them to Draft Paris Johnson Jr., which is precisely what happened. The Cardinals have a lot of needs, and those needs start with protecting their franchise QB. Paris Johnson Jr. provides positional versatility and can be a year-one starter as an interior player as he learns the speed of the NFL game before flipping to tackle. They could have drafted an interior impact defender Jalen Carter in this spot, or Tyree Wilson. 7). Raiders: Edge Tyree Wilson, Texas Tech (A-) Analysis: The Raiders need a lot, and building the defense will be imperative if they want to compete in the AFC West. They started the process by drafting Tyree Wilson, whose tape jumps off the screen. Wilson is a true edge-setter with freakish length and athleticism. 8). Falcons: RB Bijan Robinson, Texas (B+) Analysis: The Falcons have a lot of needs. I would have loved to see them make a move to #3 overall to get a QB, but the price was obviously too high. They could have taken a swing at Will Levis in this spot. Never forget that they passed on Justin Fields in the 2021 NFL Draft, but they did not miss on this pick. Bijan Robinson is one of maybe 4-5 can't miss players in the draft. He is the safe pick in this spot. Yes, it is a RB, but he will be a day-one starter with three-down versatility that can help whoever it is at QB succeed. They could have filled a need at CB or IDL. 9). Eagles (via Bears): IDL Jalen Carter, Georgia (A+) Analysis: Carter was once the top prospect on our board. It came down to him, and Will Anderson Jr. Carter had a rough lead-up to the draft. He was at the scene of a fatal street racing crash that took the lives of a teammate and Georgia staffer. He was not found to be at fault, but it raised eyebrows when it was reported he was on the scene. He followed that up with an awful pro-day performance where he failed to finish drills appearing out of shape. His tape is undeniable. He has the potential to be a dominant interior player. You don't just find elite interior players that can line up anywhere. The Eagles are becoming the Georgia of the north. 10). Bears (Via Eagles): OT Darnell Wright Tennessee (A) Analysis: GM Ryan Poles is doing everything right to rebuild the diminished Bears roster he inherited. They traded back with the Panthers to gain more draft capital, and it appears they will work on building the team from the inside out around Justin Fields. The Bears drafted one of the top offensive linemen with arguably the highest ceiling. 11). Titans: OT Peter Skoronski, Northwestern (A) Analysis: The Titans reportedly were a team looking to move into position for a QB, but ultimately remained at pick 11, where they would land one of if not the top tackle in the 2023 NFL Draft. Skoronski provides positional versatility at a position of need. 12). Lions (Via Cardinals) RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama (B+) Analysis: I do not hate this decision. It is earlier than I believed Gibbs would go, not because of his tape. Gibbs provides Alvin Kamara with three-down versatility and will be paired with David Montgomery and Deandre Swift. I still believe they should have taken CB Christian Gonzalez, but I am not sad that I get to see the Lions build an elite offense. 13). Packers (via Jets): Edge Lukas Van Ness, Iowa (B+) Analysis: Not a flashy pick. People texted me when the Packers were on the clock, asking me what they might do. I believed they would go with Broderick Jones to help bolster an ailing offensive line. They ultimately chose the elite upside potential of Lukas Van Ness. Everyone wanted to see them go WR here. 14). Steelers (Via Patriots): OT Broderick Jones, Georgia (A) Analysis: The player I believed the Packers might take goes to the next team needing offensive line help. The Steelers had to trade up to get Jones, the last of the top-tier tackles left on the board. 15). Jets (via Packers): Edge Will McDonald, Iowa State (B-) Analysis: I don't hate it. McDonald was an extremely productive player at Iowa State. He is a bit lean but can potentially be a year-one impact player. I had McDonald going late round one at best. 16). Commanders: CB Emmanuel Forbes, Mississippi State (B+) Analysis: Forbes is the record holder for career pick-sixes and collected 14 INT's in college. The dude had a knack for pick-sixes in high school. He is a lean player weighing about 170 lbs soaking wet, but he has length at 6-1, and his tape shows he can play physically and did that in the SEC. 17). Patriots (Via Steelers): CB Christian Gonzalez, Oregon (A+) Analysis: Finally, a team gets it right. Gonzalez is a top-ten player in this draft. He fell in the lap of Bill Belichick, and it is a match made in heaven. Gonzalez is a fluid, lengthy, physical corner with year-one instant impact potential. 18). Lions: LB Jack Campbell, Iowa (B+) Analysis: I like the player, but where he is being picked is questionable. He is the perfect match to pair with Dan Campbell and is an athletic freak who will be a year-one instant impact player. 19). Bucs: IDL Calijah Kancey, Pitt (B+) Analysis: Word in the scouting community all week had the Bucs potentially taking a QB. Some had Will Levis, and others had Hendon Hooker. I mocked Hooker as a possibility this week, but they ultimately go the safe route by upgrading the interior of their defense. 20). Seahawks: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Ohio State (A) Analysis: A direct hit from my last mock draft. Smith-Njigba in the slot with Metcalf and Lockett on the outside should be amazing. Njigba is a true slow receiver who drew comparisons to Julian Edelman and Amon Ra St. Brown throughout the process. 21). Chargers: WR Quentin Johnston, TCU (A) Analysis: I did not have Johnston on my Bingo card to the Chargers, but it is a great pick. I had cooled on Johnston in recent weeks. He does have a high ceiling, and for a WR his size that does what he can after the catch is not common. Justin Herbert will elevate his ceiling as a rookie. 22). Ravens: WR Zay Flowers, Boston College (A+) Analysis: The next Tyler Lockett or Antonio Brown is the word on the streets. He shows it on tape at the college level and has the wheels to be elite in the NFL. He should be an immediate starter in 2023, and with Lamar Jackson signing his record contract a few hours earlier, the energy in Baltimore is to the moon. 23). Vikings: WR Jordan Addison, USC (B+) Analysis: At one point, Addison was the WR1 on our board. We flipped to Quentin Johnston at another point during the process because of the size and athleticism before ultimately going back to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. The reality is that this receiver class at the top is graded equally for different reasons. In addition, the WR group has a lot of scheme-specific players who would need to be a fit in the right spot. Addison will instantly be an impact player paired with Justin Jefferson in year one. The Vikings still need to upgrade at CB. 24). Giants (Via Jags): CB Deonte Banks, Maryland Analysis: Well, they traded two day-three picks to move up one spot. They ultimately take the best available CB. It is a need, and they could have drafted Nolan Smith as well and waited for a CB in what is a deep day-two group. 25). Bills (via Jags): TE Dalton Kincaid, Utah (A) Analysis : Kincaid is an elite receiver who can line up all over the formation. The Bills need to add a versatile offensive player, and they had to trade up to do it. 26). Cowboys: IDL Mazi Smith, Michigan (B) Analysis: The Cowboys wanted a TE; rumors indicate they wanted Kincaid. They did not get him. I mocked them, taking an IDL numerous times, and Mazi Smith was one of those I mocked a few times in this position. Smith is a freak who can anchor the middle of your defense. He is not a pass-rush specialist, but he will stuff the run. The concern is he did not post gaudy numbers in college. Can Dan Quinn elevate his ceiling? I graded them lower because Bryan Bresee was still on the board. 27). Jaguars (Via Bills): OT Anton Harrison, Oklahoma (A) Analysis: An experienced player from Oklahoma, he has positional versatility and only gave up 4 sacks his entire career, according to PFF. 28). Bengals: Edge Myles Murphy, Clemson (A) Analysis: So many people believed the Bengals would go TE, but when an edge rusher with Murphy's athletic profile falls to you, you have to prioritize it even if the need is not that vital. Look for the Bengals to add to their secondary in later rounds. 29). Saints: IDL Bryan Bresee, Clemson (A-) Analysis: Bresee once held top-ten value, but his injury history derailed his stock. He is still worthy of a late pick, and the Saints capitalized. 30). Eagles: Edge Nolan Smith, Georgia (A+) Analysis: What a steal. I have had Smith in or around the top ten of my draft board throughout the process. Smith is a tweener. He could be the next Von Miller or Hassan Reddick, and to get that type of ceiling potential at pick 30 is absolute thievery. The Eagles sealed their day-one title with this pick. 31). Chiefs: Edge Felix Anudike-Uzomah (B-) Analysis: I did not have Uzomah graded to go this high, but many people did, and he has a nice ceiling to work with. The Chiefs have now Drafted two edge rushers in back-to-back years (George Kalaftis) in the late first round.
- NFL Draft: NFL Mock Draft 4.2 | No Trades | What If Stroud Falls, Hooker Rises?
It has been a wild draft week, and we are now less than 24 hours away from the start of the 2023 NFL Draft. Last week it was all about the leaked S2 Cognition scores that started to tank C.J. Stroud's draft stock. We had another rumor this week that originated on Reddit, mentioning that Will Levis has informed friends and family he will be the top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Aaron Rodgers has been traded to the Packers. I hoped that mock 4.1 would be it, but I wanted to take one more crack at it. First-Round NFL Mock Draft 1). Panthers: QB Bryce Young, Alabama Previous Mock Picks : C.J. Stroud, Bryce Young Industry Consensus: Bryce Young The Final Analysis: The Panthers should have taken Justin Fields in the 2021 NFL Draft. In 2023, they aim to make up for that by trading the farm to draft QB1. The names that make the most sense outside of Bryce Young are C.J. Stroud and Anthony Richardson. But why not Will Levis? Levis is a developmental player with a high ceiling and is reportedly a brilliant person earning two degrees as a finance major while achieving a 4.0 the entire way. The only concern is that the Panthers need a bridge QB to allow Richardson to develop without needing to start as a rookie. Bryce Young is the only QB in this class expected to provide an immediate impact. 2). Texans: Edge Tyree Wilson Previous Mock Picks: C.J. Stroud, Will Anderson Jr., Bryce Young, Anthony Richardson, Tyree Wilson, Trade Back Industry Consensus: C.J. Stroud The Final Analysis: At the top of the order, there are some elite defenders, and there are many in the draft community that believe the Texans will pass on a QB, pairing first-year head coach Demeco Ryans with an elite defensive lineman. If the Texans choose a QB, Will it be C.J. Stroud, Bryce Young, Will Levis, or Anthony Richardson? Some insiders believe the Texans and the Colts really like Will Levis more than C.J. Stroud, so assuming this is the case, I won't argue the fit because the Texans are in a complete rebuild. It will take a lot for them to be competitive, and whoever they draft this year will not have a massive impact as a rookie, even if it was Trevor Lawrence or Andrew Luck's generational talent. 3). Cardinals: Edge Will Anderson Jr., Alabama Previous Mock Picks: Will Anderson Jr., Tyree Wilson, Trade Back Industry Consensus: Will Anderson Jr. The Final Analysis: Compared to Mock 4.0, the significant change is that the Texans take the freakish ceiling of Tyree Wilson, allowing Will Anderson to fall one more spot. The Cardinals appear to be losing the perceived value they once held at pick #3. For months the industry has debated who might try to trade up to pick 3 to get a QB. Now we hear that teams are less interested in trading up and will wait to see where the chips fall. A trade is still likely if a team like the Tennessee Titans loves one of the top 4 QB's. If the Cardinals remain in this spot, they should have their choice of Will Anderson, Jalen Carter, or Tyree Wilson. 4). Colts: QB Will Levis, Kentucky Previous Mock Picks: Will Levis, Anthony Richardson, C.J. Stroud Industry Consensus: Anthony Richardson The Final Analysis: Could C.J. Stroud fall to them instead of Will Levis—so many smoke screens? In this particular addition, we follow the trends to see how it shakes out. Colts owner Jim Irsay recently tweeted that they do not have to take a QB if they do not like the options available. Still, it appears the options will be there if the Cardinals and the Texans opt not to trade back and the Texans choose a defender instead of a QB at pick #2. The difficult decision will come down to which of the three remaining QB's fit their new head coach the best. All of our mocks had teams trading in front of the Colts, leaving them with Will Levis, and if it comes down to it, Will Levis or Anthony Richardson can both be great options in a physical Shane Steichen offense. 5). Seahawks: IDL Jalen Carter, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Anthony Richardson, Will Levis, Will Anderson Jr., Jalen Carter Industry Consensus: Christian Gonzalez The Final Analysis: The Seahawks are a team that could take a QB, and we have mocked QB to the Seahawks in different scenarios. We like Anthony Richardson, who can sit behind Geno Smith or Will Levis. If C.J. Stroud falls, how do you pass on the rookie value? Regardless, the Seahawks will be in a good spot. They could trade back to a QB-needy team or take arguably the best defender in the draft. 6). Lions: Edge Devon Witherspoon, Illinois Previous Mock Picks: Jalen Carter, Myles Murphy, Tyree Wilson, Devon Witherspoon Industry Consensus: Devon Witherspoon The Final Analysis: The Lions are also in a fascinating spot. If a QB falls, they have a bridge QB in Jared Goff. Do you draft Anthony Richardson, or Will Levis, trade back, or stay and get the top DB in the class? 7). Raiders: CB Christian Gonzalez, Oregon Previous Mock Picks: Devon Witherspoon, Christian Gonzalez, Anthony Richardson, Bryan Bresee, Will Levis, Trade Up Industry Consensus: Christian Gonzalez The Final Analysis: We had Witherspoon in this spot in Mock 4.0 . The Raiders might be quick to the podium if a QB falls to them. But they have so many other needs they could trade back and get solid value. 8). Falcons: QB Hendon Hooker, Tennessee Previous Mock Picks: Tyree Wilson, Nolan Smith, Bijan Robinson Industry Consensus: Bijan Robinson The Final Analysis: Another team in the top 10 with a need at QB, and if one falls, we expect they will not hesitate to grab him, but if not, they can get a top defender. 9). Bears: RB Bijan Robinson Texas Previous Mock Picks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Will Anderson Jr., Myles Murphy, Paris Johnson Jr., Bijan Robinson Industry Consensus: Paris Johnson Jr. The Final Analysis: The Bears traded back to pick #9 because they have what appears to be their franchise QB in place. They have several needs on both sides of the football, but how could you pass on the opportunity to have Bijan Robinson in the same backfield as Justin Fields? One of my basic arguments is that Justin Fields is great off of play-action, and having a legit elite RB next to him in the backfield will only open up the offense more. They can also go after one of the top available defenders or offensive line. 10). Eagles: OT Paris Johnson Jr., Ohio State Previous Mock Picks: Christian Gonzalez, Jalen Carter, Devon Witherspoon, Bijan Robinson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Lukas Van Ness Industry Consensus: Lukas Van Ness The Final Analysis: The Eagles have few needs but are aging at certain positions. Pairing the WR1 with Jalen Hurts would be phenomenal. The industry is low on the WR position in 2023, but only 3 or 4 round-one projections can provide an immediate impact, and Smith-Njigba would be perfect playing out of the slot in Philly. 11). Titans: QB C.J. Stroud, Ohio State Previous Mock Picks: Paris Johnson Jr., Will Levis, Darnell Wright Industry Consensus: Will Levis The Final Analysis: The Titans are losing OT Taylor Lewan to retirement, so replacing him is necessary. However, the Titans are among the teams rumored to be interested in moving up for a QB. If a QB falls, they might be tempted, or they can still try to move into the top 5 if they are motivated by a particular player. 12). Texans: QB Anthony Richardson, Florida Previous Mock Picks: Quentin Johnston, Tyree Wilson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Anthony Richardson Industry Consensus: Jaxon Smith-Njigba The Final Analysis: One of the least likely scenarios will be Anthony Richardson dropping out of the top 10. I cannot see this scenario being realistic, but some insiders are speculating that this could be the case, and if it is, you might see several teams trying to move up to get him. The same can be said about Will Levis. As for Richardson, the ceiling is too high not to risk it, and if he falls this far and the Texans pass on QB at pick #2 as some believe, they have to make this move. But what about Hendon Hooker? His stock is rising , and some are speculating he is the 3rd QB on a lot of draft boards. 13). Packers (via Jets) : OT Peter Skoronski, Northwestern Previous Mock Picks : Peter Skoronski, Broderick Jones Industry Consensus: Broderick Jones The Final Analysis: People are still waiting to see what will happen with the Aaron Rodgers situation. Will the Jets trade this pick to the Packers or not is less likely, but they might have no choice if they want to procure Aaron Rodgers. The Jets must add help on their OL if they retain this pick. 14). Patriots: CB Joey Porter Jr., Penn State Previous Mock Picks: Broderick Jones, Quentin Johnston, Jordan Addison, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Devon Witherspoon, Zay Flowers, Joey Porter Jr. Industry Consensus: Zay Flowers The Final Analysis: The Patriots are a pre-draft speculative trade candidate, but the Patriots need to draft a WR, and we all know that Bill will find a way to pass on a WR for the best available DB or OL, and then he will shock the world and draft Stetson Bennett in the 2nd or 3rd round. 15). Jets (via Packers): OT Darnell Wright, Tennessee Previous Mock Picks : Jordan Addison, Myles Murphy, Quentin Johnston, Nolan Smith, Broderick Jones Industry Consensus: Nolan Smith The Final Analysis: The Aaron Rodgers trade might determine the direction the Packers go with this pick. So it's difficult to determine the direction they are thinking about going. Drafting a WR in this spot to support Jordan Love in the post-Aaron Rodgers era could make sense; they could go with OL or an edge defender. 16). Commanders: OT Broderick Jones, Georgia Previous Mock Pick s: O'Cyrus Torrence, Broderick Jones, Joey Porter Jr. Industry Consensus: Joey Porter Jr. The Final Analysis: I have mocked OL to the Commanders. QB could be an option if one falls drastically, or they love Hendon Hooker. Don't rule out a potential trade into the top 10. 17). Steelers: CB Deonte Banks, Maryland Previous Mock Picks: Kelee Ringo, Dawand Jones, Joey Porter Jr., Christian Gonzalez, Darnell Wright, Broderick Jones Industry Consensus: Darnell Wright The Final Analysis: They need OL; they could add a DB, and they have many options with essentially two first-round picks due to the Dolphin's pick forfeiture. 18). Lions: Edge Myles Murphy, Clemson Previous Mock Picks : Cam Smith, Myles Murphy, Calijah Kancey Industry Consensus: Calijah Kancey The Final Analysis: The Lion's #6 overall pick will determine their direction at pick 18. In addition, the Lions lost Jameson Williams for an extended period ahead of the 2023 season because he allegedly used a sports betting app within Lion's facilities. Could the Lions be motivated to draft a WR? 19). Bucs: OT Anton Harrison, Oklahoma Previous Mock Picks: Nolan Smith, Broderick Jones, Anton Harrison, Bryan Bresee, Hendon Hooker Industry Consensus: Anton Harrison The Final Analysis: The Bucs are one of several teams allegedly grading Hendon Hooker higher than the industry consensus. If he is available, why not take a shot? Hooker is already 25, so the perceived risk is that he might have already peaked to his ceiling. 20). Seahawks: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Ohio State Previous Mock Picks: Tuli Tuipulotu, Calijah Kancey, Joey Porter Jr., Myles Murphy Industry Consensus: Myles Murphy The Final Analysis: The Seahawks, like the Lions, have a top 10 pick to go along with a mid 1st round bonus pick that could be used to fill a need, or they could go with a luxury pick like a WR or maybe a QB like Will Levis or Anthony Richardson does fall significantly. Regardless, the Seahawks will have a lot of options. 21). Chargers: WR Zay Flowers, Boston College Previous Mock Picks: Trenton Simpson, Zay Flowers, Jordan Addison, Kelee Ringo Industry Consensus: Jordan Addison The Final Analysis: The Chargers must replace an aging, often injury-plagued WR core. They could add a DB or an edge defender to build depth. 22). Ravens: CB Kelee Ringo, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Jalin Hyatt, Joey Porter Jr., Kelee Ringo, Zay Flowers, Deonte Banks Industry Consensus : Deonte Banks The Final Analysis: The Ravens added OBJ, so why not add more firepower to the offense in hopes that Lamar Jackson accepts whatever alleged deal the Ravens offered? Other options are DB and an edge rusher. 23). Vikings: CB Emmanuel Forbes, Mississippi State Previous Mock Picks: Joey Porter Jr., Emannuel Forbes, Hendon Hooker, Quentin Johnston, Kelee Ringo Industry Consensus: Quentin Johnston The Final Analysis: There has been speculation that the Vikings could be a team looking to move up to draft a QB. They have a lot of other needs, but they are in a suitable position to move up and draft a QB, or if one falls to them, they could pull the trigger with Kirk Cousins on the roster as a bridge to the future. 24). Jaguars: S/NB Brian Branch, Alabama Previous Mock Picks: Kayshon Boutte, O'Cyrus Torrence, Anton Harrison, Steve Avilla Industry Consensus: Brian Branch The Final Analysis: Jags need interior OL help and help in their defensive secondary. 25). Giants: Edge Nolan Smith, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Brian Branch, Jalin Hyatt, Zay Flowers, John Michael Schmitz, Industry Consensus: John Michael Schmitz The Final Analysis: The Giants possess decent draft capital. They have needs at WR and safety, but with Saquon Barkley mentioning he might not sign the franchise tag, could the Giants be in the market to draft Jahmyr Gibbs? They could go WR or OL. We have also mocked DB. 26). Cowboys: IDL Bryan Bresee, Clemson Previous Mock Picks : Anton Harrison, Michael Mayer, Trenton Simpson, Mazi Smith, Dalton Kincaid, Dawand Jones Industry Consensus: John Michael Schmitz The Final Analysis: The Cowboys will probably throw a 1st round curveball. They are consistently the most challenging team to mock even when they have obvious needs, but in this mock, we fill their need on the OL. 27). Bills: LB Jack Campbell, Iowa Previous Mock Picks: Andrew Vorhees, Nolan Smith, Brian Branch, O'Cyrus Torrence, Quentin Johnston Industry Consensus: O'Cyrus Torrence The Final Analysis: With a need at LB, the Bills can fill that in the 2nd round and draft the best available WR left on the board to solidify its receiver core. There is some first-round buzz for LB Jack Campbell or Drew Sanders, but that's too early to draft a LB, or is it? Jack Campbell has elite physical traits and athleticism. 28). Bengals: RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama Previous Mock Picks: Brian Branch, Anton Harrison, Jahmyr Gibbs, Michael Mayer Industry Consensus: Michael Mayer The Final Analysis: I have been obsessed with the idea of Jahmyr Gibbs in Cincinnati. With the Bengals' front office not likely committing to Joe Mixon, why not grab the speed of Jahmyr Gibbs to pair with Burrow and Chase? Or, they can go with the versatile TE from Utah. 29). Saints: IDL Calijah Kancey, Pitt Previous Mock Picks: Keion White, Lukas Van Ness, Mazi Smith, Deonte Banks Industry Consensus: Mazi Smith The Final Analysis: The Saints could go many different ways here depending on the availability at certain positions. We go with DB this time around. 30). Eagles: IDL Mazi Smith, Michigan Previous Mock Picks: Siaki Ika, Cam Smith, Steve Avilla, John Michael Schmitz, Bryan Bresee Industry Consensus: Bryan Bresee The Final Analysis: The Eagles apparently dislike RB's. Or do they? Why not add another dynamic playmaker with Jalen Hurts in the same backfield? Gibbs is one of a handful of instant-impact players in this year's class. 31). Chiefs: WR Jordan Addison, USC Previous Mock Picks: Luke Musgrave, Keion White, Lukas Van Ness, Dawand Jones, Quentin Johnston Industry Consensus: Dawand Jones The Final Analysis: The Chiefs could get one of the top WR's in the draft. Quentin Johnston has the upside to be the top WR in this class if he is drafted into the right scenario. In this scenario, he falls far enough to land in the hands of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes.
- NFL Draft: NFL Mock Draft 4.1 | No Trades | Texans Draft C.J. Stroud, Will Levis To The Colts
It has been a wild draft week, and we are now less than 24 hours away from the start of the 2023 NFL Draft. Last week it was all about the leaked S2 Cognition scores that started to tank C.J. Stroud's draft stock. We had another rumor this week that originated on Reddit, mentioning that Will Levis has informed friends and family he will be the top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft. Aaron Rodgers has been traded to the Packers. I hoped that mock 4.0 would be it, but I wanted to take one more crack at it. First-Round NFL Mock Draft 1). Panthers: QB Bryce Young, Alabama Previous Mock Picks : C.J. Stroud, Bryce Young Industry Consensus: Bryce Young The Final Analysis: The Panthers should have taken Justin Fields in the 2021 NFL Draft. In 2023, they aim to make up for that by trading the farm to draft QB1. The names that make the most sense outside of Bryce Young are C.J. Stroud and Anthony Richardson. But why not Will Levis? Levis is a developmental player with a high ceiling and is reportedly a brilliant person earning two degrees as a finance major while achieving a 4.0 the entire way. The only concern is that the Panthers need a bridge QB to allow Richardson to develop without needing to start as a rookie. Bryce Young is the only QB in this class expected to provide an immediate impact. 2). Texans: QB C.J. Stroud, Ohio State Previous Mock Picks: C.J. Stroud, Will Anderson Jr., Bryce Young, Anthony Richardson, Tyree Wilson, Trade Back Industry Consensus: C.J. Stroud The Final Analysis: At the top of the order, there are some elite defenders, and there are many in the draft community that believe the Texans will pass on a QB, pairing first-year head coach Demeco Ryans with an elite defensive lineman. If the Texans choose a QB, Will it be C.J. Stroud, Bryce Young, Will Levis, or Anthony Richardson? Some insiders believe the Texans and the Colts really like Will Levis more than C.J. Stroud, so assuming this is the case, I won't argue the fit because the Texans are in a complete rebuild. It will take a lot for them to be competitive, and whoever they draft this year will not have a massive impact as a rookie, even if it was Trevor Lawrence or Andrew Luck's generational talent. 3). Cardinals: Edge Will Anderson Jr., Alabama Previous Mock Picks: Will Anderson Jr., Tyree Wilson, Trade Back Industry Consensus: Will Anderson Jr. The Final Analysis: Compared to Mock 4.0, the significant change is that the Texans take the freakish ceiling of Tyree Wilson, allowing Will Anderson to fall one more spot. The Cardinals appear to be losing the perceived value they once held at pick #3. For months the industry has debated who might try to trade up to pick 3 to get a QB. Now we hear that teams are less interested in trading up and will wait to see where the chips fall. A trade is still likely if a team like the Tennessee Titans loves one of the top 4 QB's. If the Cardinals remain in this spot, they should have their choice of Will Anderson, Jalen Carter, or Tyree Wilson. 4). Colts: QB Will Levis, Kentucky Previous Mock Picks: Will Levis, Anthony Richardson, C.J. Stroud Industry Consensus: Anthony Richardson The Final Analysis: Could C.J. Stroud fall to them instead of Will Levis—so many smoke screens? In this particular addition, we follow the trends to see how it shakes out. Colts owner Jim Irsay recently tweeted that they do not have to take a QB if they do not like the options available. Still, it appears the options will be there if the Cardinals and the Texans opt not to trade back and the Texans choose a defender instead of a QB at pick #2. The difficult decision will come down to which of the three remaining QB's fit their new head coach the best. All of our mocks had teams trading in front of the Colts, leaving them with Will Levis, and if it comes down to it, Will Levis or Anthony Richardson can both be great options in a physical Shane Steichen offense. 5). Seahawks: IDL Jalen Carter, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Anthony Richardson, Will Levis, Will Anderson Jr., Jalen Carter Industry Consensus: Christian Gonzalez The Final Analysis: The Seahawks are a team that could take a QB, and we have mocked QB to the Seahawks in different scenarios. We like Anthony Richardson, who can sit behind Geno Smith or Will Levis. If C.J. Stroud falls, how do you pass on the rookie value? Regardless, the Seahawks will be in a good spot. They could trade back to a QB-needy team or take arguably the best defender in the draft. 6). Lions: CB Devon Witherspoon, Illinois Previous Mock Picks: Jalen Carter, Myles Murphy, Tyree Wilson, Devon Witherspoon Industry Consensus: Devon Witherspoon The Final Analysis: The Lions are also in a fascinating spot. If a QB falls, they have a bridge QB in Jared Goff. Do you draft Anthony Richardson, or Will Levis, trade back, or stay and get the top DB in the class? 7). Raiders: CB Christian Gonzalez, Oregon Previous Mock Picks: Devon Witherspoon, Christian Gonzalez, Anthony Richardson, Bryan Bresee, Will Levis, Trade Up Industry Consensus: Christian Gonzalez The Final Analysis: We had Witherspoon in this spot in Mock 4.0 . The Raiders might be quick to the podium if a QB falls to them. But they have so many other needs they could trade back and get solid value. 8). Falcons: QB Anthony Richardson, Florida Previous Mock Picks: Tyree Wilson, Nolan Smith, Bijan Robinson Industry Consensus: Bijan Robinson The Final Analysis: Another team in the top 10 with a need at QB, and if one falls, we expect they will not hesitate to grab him, but if not, they can get a top defender. 9). Bears: RB Bijan Robinson, Texas Previous Mock Picks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Will Anderson Jr., Myles Murphy, Paris Johnson Jr., Bijan Robinson Industry Consensus: Paris Johnson Jr. The Final Analysis: The Bears traded back to pick #9 because they have what appears to be their franchise QB in place. They have several needs on both sides of the football, but how could you pass on the opportunity to have Bijan Robinson in the same backfield as Justin Fields? One of my basic arguments is that Justin Fields is great off of play-action, and having a legit elite RB next to him in the backfield will only open up the offense more. They can also go after one of the top available defenders or offensive line. 10). Eagles: OT Paris Johnson Jr., Ohio State Previous Mock Picks: Christian Gonzalez, Jalen Carter, Devon Witherspoon, Bijan Robinson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Lukas Van Ness Industry Consensus: Lukas Van Ness The Final Analysis: The Eagles have few needs but are aging at certain positions. Pairing the WR1 with Jalen Hurts would be phenomenal. The industry is low on the WR position in 2023, but only 3 or 4 round-one projections can provide an immediate impact, and Smith-Njigba would be perfect playing out of the slot in Philly. 11). Titans: QB Hendon Hooker, Tennessee Previous Mock Picks: Paris Johnson Jr., Will Levis, Darnell Wright Industry Consensus: Will Levis The Final Analysis: The Titans are losing OT Taylor Lewan to retirement, so replacing him is necessary. However, the Titans are among the teams rumored to be interested in moving up for a QB. If a QB falls, they might be tempted, or they can still try to move into the top 5 if they are motivated by a particular player. 12). Texans: Edge Tyree Wilson, Texas Tech Previous Mock Picks: Quentin Johnston, Tyree Wilson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Anthony Richardson Industry Consensus: Jaxon Smith-Njigba The Final Analysis: One of the least likely scenarios will be Anthony Richardson dropping out of the top 10. I cannot see this scenario being realistic, but some insiders are speculating that this could be the case, and if it is, you might see several teams trying to move up to get him. The same can be said about Will Levis. As for Richardson, the ceiling is too high not to risk it, and if he falls this far and the Texans pass on QB at pick #2 as some believe, they have to make this move. But what about Hendon Hooker? His stock is rising , and some are speculating he is the 3rd QB on a lot of draft boards. 13). Packers (via Jets) : OT Peter Skoronski, Northwestern Previous Mock Picks : Peter Skoronski, Broderick Jones Industry Consensus: Broderick Jones The Final Analysis: People are still waiting to see what will happen with the Aaron Rodgers situation. Will the Jets trade this pick to the Packers or not is less likely, but they might have no choice if they want to procure Aaron Rodgers. The Jets must add help on their OL if they retain this pick. 14). Patriots: CB Joey Porter Jr., Penn State Previous Mock Picks: Broderick Jones, Quentin Johnston, Jordan Addison, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Devon Witherspoon, Zay Flowers, Joey Porter Jr. Industry Consensus: Zay Flowers The Final Analysis: The Patriots are a pre-draft speculative trade candidate, but the Patriots need to draft a WR, and we all know that Bill will find a way to pass on a WR for the best available DB or OL, and then he will shock the world and draft Stetson Bennett in the 2nd or 3rd round. 15). Jets (via Packers): OT Darnell Wright, Tennessee Previous Mock Picks : Jordan Addison, Myles Murphy, Quentin Johnston, Nolan Smith, Broderick Jones Industry Consensus: Nolan Smith The Final Analysis: The Aaron Rodgers trade might determine the direction the Packers go with this pick. So it's difficult to determine the direction they are thinking about going. Drafting a WR in this spot to support Jordan Love in the post-Aaron Rodgers era could make sense; they could go with OL or an edge defender. 16). Commanders: OT Broderick Jones, Georgia Previous Mock Pick s: O'Cyrus Torrence, Broderick Jones, Joey Porter Jr. Industry Consensus: Joey Porter Jr. The Final Analysis: I have mocked OL to the Commanders. QB could be an option if one falls drastically, or they love Hendon Hooker. Don't rule out a potential trade into the top 10. 17). Steelers: CB Deonte Banks, Maryland Previous Mock Picks: Kelee Ringo, Dawand Jones, Joey Porter Jr., Christian Gonzalez, Darnell Wright, Broderick Jones Industry Consensus: Darnell Wright The Final Analysis: They need OL; they could add a DB, and they have many options with essentially two first-round picks due to the Dolphin's pick forfeiture. 18). Lions: Edge Myles Murphy, Clemson Previous Mock Picks : Cam Smith, Myles Murphy, Calijah Kancey Industry Consensus: Calijah Kancey The Final Analysis: The Lion's #6 overall pick will determine their direction at pick 18. In addition, the Lions lost Jameson Williams for an extended period ahead of the 2023 season because he allegedly used a sports betting app within Lion's facilities. Could the Lions be motivated to draft a WR? 19). Bucs: OT Anton Harrison, Oklahoma Previous Mock Picks: Nolan Smith, Broderick Jones, Anton Harrison, Bryan Bresee, Hendon Hooker Industry Consensus: Anton Harrison The Final Analysis: The Bucs are one of several teams allegedly grading Hendon Hooker higher than the industry consensus. If he is available, why not take a shot? Hooker is already 25, so the perceived risk is that he might have already peaked to his ceiling. 20). Seahawks: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Ohio State Previous Mock Picks: Tuli Tuipulotu, Calijah Kancey, Joey Porter Jr., Myles Murphy Industry Consensus: Myles Murphy The Final Analysis: The Seahawks, like the Lions, have a top 10 pick to go along with a mid 1st round bonus pick that could be used to fill a need, or they could go with a luxury pick like a WR or maybe a QB like Will Levis or Anthony Richardson does fall significantly. Regardless, the Seahawks will have a lot of options. 21). Chargers: WR Zay Flowers, Boston College Previous Mock Picks: Trenton Simpson, Zay Flowers, Jordan Addison, Kelee Ringo Industry Consensus: Jordan Addison The Final Analysis: The Chargers must replace an aging, often injury-plagued WR core. They could add a DB or an edge defender to build depth. 22). Ravens: CB Kelee Ringo, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Jalin Hyatt, Joey Porter Jr., Kelee Ringo, Zay Flowers, Deonte Banks Industry Consensus : Deonte Banks The Final Analysis: The Ravens added OBJ, so why not add more firepower to the offense in hopes that Lamar Jackson accepts whatever alleged deal the Ravens offered? Other options are DB and an edge rusher. 23). Vikings: CB Emmanuel Forbes, Mississippi State Previous Mock Picks: Joey Porter Jr., Emannuel Forbes, Hendon Hooker, Quentin Johnston, Kelee Ringo Industry Consensus: Quentin Johnston The Final Analysis: There has been speculation that the Vikings could be a team looking to move up to draft a QB. They have a lot of other needs, but they are in a suitable position to move up and draft a QB, or if one falls to them, they could pull the trigger with Kirk Cousins on the roster as a bridge to the future. 24). Jaguars: S/NB Brian Branch, Alabama Previous Mock Picks: Kayshon Boutte, O'Cyrus Torrence, Anton Harrison, Steve Avilla Industry Consensus: Brian Branch The Final Analysis: Jags need interior OL help and help in their defensive secondary. 25). Giants: Edge Nolan Smith, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Brian Branch, Jalin Hyatt, Zay Flowers, John Michael Schmitz, Industry Consensus: John Michael Schmitz The Final Analysis: The Giants possess decent draft capital. They have needs at WR and safety, but with Saquon Barkley mentioning he might not sign the franchise tag, could the Giants be in the market to draft Jahmyr Gibbs? They could go WR or OL. We have also mocked DB. 26). Cowboys: IDL Bryan Bresee, Clemson Previous Mock Picks : Anton Harrison, Michael Mayer, Trenton Simpson, Mazi Smith, Dalton Kincaid, Dawand Jones Industry Consensus: John Michael Schmitz The Final Analysis: The Cowboys will probably throw a 1st round curveball. They are consistently the most challenging team to mock even when they have obvious needs, but in this mock, we fill their need on the OL. 27). Bills: LB Jack Campbell, Iowa Previous Mock Picks: Andrew Vorhees, Nolan Smith, Brian Branch, O'Cyrus Torrence, Quentin Johnston Industry Consensus: O'Cyrus Torrence The Final Analysis: With a need at LB, the Bills can fill that in the 2nd round and draft the best available WR left on the board to solidify its receiver core. There is some first-round buzz for LB Jack Campbell or Drew Sanders, but that's too early to draft a LB, or is it? Jack Campbell has elite physical traits and athleticism. 28). Bengals: RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama Previous Mock Picks: Brian Branch, Anton Harrison, Jahmyr Gibbs, Michael Mayer Industry Consensus: Michael Mayer The Final Analysis: I have been obsessed with the idea of Jahmyr Gibbs in Cincinnati. With the Bengals' front office not likely committing to Joe Mixon, why not grab the speed of Jahmyr Gibbs to pair with Burrow and Chase? Or, they can go with the versatile TE from Utah. 29). Saints: IDL Calijah Kancey, Pitt Previous Mock Picks: Keion White, Lukas Van Ness, Mazi Smith, Deonte Banks Industry Consensus: Mazi Smith The Final Analysis: The Saints could go many different ways here depending on the availability at certain positions. We go with DB this time around. 30). Eagles: IDL Mazi Smith, Michigan Previous Mock Picks: Siaki Ika, Cam Smith, Steve Avilla, John Michael Schmitz, Bryan Bresee Industry Consensus: Bryan Bresee The Final Analysis: The Eagles apparently dislike RB's. Or do they? Why not add another dynamic playmaker with Jalen Hurts in the same backfield? Gibbs is one of a handful of instant-impact players in this year's class. 31). Chiefs: WR Jordan Addison, USC Previous Mock Picks: Luke Musgrave, Keion White, Lukas Van Ness, Dawand Jones, Quentin Johnston Industry Consensus: Dawand Jones The Final Analysis: The Chiefs could get one of the top WR's in the draft. Quentin Johnston has the upside to be the top WR in this class if he is drafted into the right scenario. In this scenario, he falls far enough to land in the hands of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes.
- 2023 NFL Draft: NFL Mock Draft 2.1 | Post-Combine Edition | Seahawks Trade Up? Rodgers Traded?
The Bears Trade The First Pick To Seattle? Mock Draft 2.1 is here; in our last edition, the Bears traded Justin Fields to the Falcons and drafted C.J. Stroud. In version 2.1, the bears trade the number one overall pick to the Seattle Seahawks, picking up both 2023 1st-round picks with additional future draft capital. The Seahawks Have A Bridge QB In Place Seattle is in the best position to draft a developmental QB after signing QB Geno Smith to a 3-year deal. Houston Takes C.J. Stro ud #2 Overall Ohio State QB C.J. Stroud goes number two overall to the Houston Texans. After an excellent display of his mechanics and accuracy at the NFL Combine, the Texans select C.J. Stroud 2nd overall. The Carolina Panthers Trade Up To Draft Bryce Young In a draft day surprise, the Carolina Panthers trade up to grab Bryce Young ahead of the Indianapolis Colts. In a draft day surprise, the Panthers trade a future 1st round pick with their 2023 1st round pick and additional future draft capital to move ahead of the Colts. The Colts Still Draft A QB at 4th Overall In back-to-back mock drafts, we have 4 QB's going in the top 5 again, a trend we believe will continue in many mock drafts leading up to the 2023 NFL Draft. The Packers Trade Aaron Rodgers The New York Jets trade their 2023 1st round pick to the Green Bay Packers with additional future draft capital. The Jets are a young and talented team that is a QB away from being a threat to contend in the AFC. Click here to check out the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board. Click here to View all of our NFL Draft content in one place. First Round 2023 NFL Mock Draft (1). Seattle Seahawks (Via CHI) Select: QB Anthony Richardson | Florida Team Needs: G, C, DL Pending Free Agents: QB Geno Smith, RB Rashaad Penny, DL Poona Ford, OG Phil Haynes, QB Drew Lock Analysis: Anthony Richardson goes number one overall after a spectacular NFL Combine performance. He will sit behind Geno Smith, who just signed a three-year contract, and get a chance to develop. (2). Houston Texans Select: QB C.J. Stroud | Ohio State Team Needs: QB, C, DL Pending Free Agents: TE O.J. Howard, EDGE Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, DL Rasheem Green, TE Jordan Akins Analysis: Houston gets their QB of the future. Stroud had a phenomenal NFL Combine where he showed off his mechanics and accuracy. (3). Carolina Panthers (via AZ) Select: QB Bryce Young | Alabama Team Needs: QB, RB, TE, ED Pending Free Agents: QB Sam Darnold, DL Matthew Ioannidis, C Bradley Bozeman, LB Cory Littleton Analysis: In a trade with the Cardinals, The Panthers skip past the Indianapolis Colts to snag their QB of the now and the future. (4). Indianapolis Colts Select: QB Will Levis | Kentucky Team Needs: QB, OL Pending Free Agents: EDGE Yannick Ngakoue, WR Parris Campbell, OG Matt Pryor, LB Bobby Okereke, E.J. Speed Analysis: New Indianapolis Colts Head Coach Shane Steichen lands a high-ceiling QB. Will Levis would fit perfectly in a similar style of offense as Jalen Hurts. (5). Chicago Bears (via SEA) Select: EDGE Will Anderson Jr. | Alabama Team Needs: WR, TE, OL, DL, LB, DB Pending Free Agents: RB David Montgomery, C Sam Mustipher, WR N'Keal Harry, WR Dante Pettis Analysis: The Bears are in a perfect position to draft an elite edge rusher. (6). Detroit Lions Select: CB Christian Gonzalez | Oregon Team Needs: DI, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: WR DJ Chark, RB Jamaal Williams, LB Alex Anzalone, OG Evan Brown, CB Mike Hughes Analysis: The Lions could draft Jalen Carter as they did in my mock 2.0, but the 2.1 version considers his recent indiscretions, and the Lions get cold feet. Carter has been the number one overall pick on our board since November. The Lions decided to take the top CB on the board instead. (7). Las Vegas Raiders Select: CB Devon Witherspoon | Illinois Team Needs: QB, OL, DB Pending Free Agents: RB Josh Jacobs, CB Rock Ya-Sin, LB Denzel Perryman, WR Mack Hollins, EDGE Clelin Ferrell Analysis: The Raiders are in a bit of no man's land and need a QB. The way the board has fallen, the Raiders could be in the market for a free-agent QB, or they might have to roll with Jarrett Stidham. In this scenario, the Raiders could trade back if someone is interested, or they can fill their need at defensive back. (8). Atlanta Falcons Select: Edge Nolan Smith | Georgia Team Needs: WR, TE, OL, DL, LB, DB Pending Free Agents: RB David Montgomery, C Sam Mustipher, WR N'Keal Harry, WR Dante Pettis Analysis: Nolan Smith jumped back into the top ten of our rankings after his elite NFL Combine performance. The Falcons get the versatile edge rusher that they desperately need. (9). Arizona Cardinals (Via CAR) Select: Edge Tyree Wilson | Texas Tech Team Needs: G, C, ED, CB Pending Free Agents: EDGE J.J. Watt, WR A.J. Green, OT Kelvin Beachum, CB Byron Murphy, C Rodney Hudson Analysis: Edge rusher Tyree Wilson could be the top edge rusher in the class when it's all said and done. Getting him at nine overall is an incredible value. (10). Philadelphia Eagles Select: IDL Jalen Carter | Georgia Team Needs: WR, G, C, IDL Pending Free Agents: DL Javon Hargrave, CB James Bradberry, RB Miles Sanders, C Jason Kelce, DL Fletcher Cox Analysis: Stop the steal. The Eagles arguably get the top defender in the draft. Jalen Carter is considered the top interior defender and will fill a massive need. (11). Tennessee Titans Select: OT Paris Johnson Jr. | Ohio State Team Needs: WR, T, ED Pending Free Agents: TE Austin Hooper, OG Nate Davis, TE Geoff Swaim, LB David Long, DL Teair Tart Analysis: The Titans need an OT to replace Taylor Lewan. They could go with an edge rusher in this spot. (12). Houston Texans Select: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Ohio State Team Needs: QB, C, DL Pending Free Agents: TE O.J. Howard, EDGE Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, DL Rasheem Green, TE Jordan Akins Analysis: The Texans drafted their QB of the future. Now they pair him with one of his favorite targets in college. (13). Green Bay Packers (Via NYJ) Select: EDGE Myles Murphy | Clemson Team Needs: WR, TE, ED, LB Pending Free Agents: WR Allen Lazard, TE Robert Tonyan Jr., OT Elgton Jenkins, S Adrian Amos, DL Dean Lowry Analysis: The Packers now have two first-round picks after trading Aaron Rodgers. (14). New England Patriots Select: WR Jordan Addison | USC Team Needs: QB, T, ED Pending Free Agents: OT Isaiah Wynn, RB Damien Harris, CB Myles Bryant, CB Jonathan Jones, WR Jakobi Meyers Analysis: The Patriots need to draft a WR, Bill will find a way to pass on a WR for the best available DB or OL, and then he will shock the world and draft Stetson Bennett in the 2nd or 3rd round. (15). Green Bay Packers Select: WR Quentin Johnston | TCU Team Needs: WR, TE, ED, LB Pending Free Agents: WR Allen Lazard, TE Robert Tonyan Jr., OT Elgton Jenkins, S Adrian Amos, DL Dean Lowry Analysis: Drafting a WR in this spot to support Jordan Love in the post-Aaron Rodgers era will be the likely route here. Many believe this will be a TE like Michael Mayer, and rightfully so, but Johnston has a true WR1 upside that could create a nice dup at WR with Christian Watson. (16). Washington Commanders Select: Peter Skoronski | Northwestern Team Needs: QB, G, C, LB Pending Free Agents: DL Daron Payne, QB Taylor Heinicke, OG Wes Schweitzer, LB Cole Holcomb, OG Trai Turner Analysis: Skoronski measured more like an interior guard than an OT, but he does bring positional versatility and can flip inside or outside as needed. (17). Pittsburgh Steelers Select: OT Dawand Jones | Ohio State Team Needs: T, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: DL Larry Ogunjobi, LB Devin Bush, DL Chris Wormley, CB Cam Sutton, QB Mason Rudolph Analysis: With essentially two first-round picks after the Dolphins forfeited pick, the Steelers have an excellent opportunity to capitalize. With apparent needs on the offensive line, they can also grab a top cornerback. (18). Detroit Lions Select: EDGE Bryan Bresee | Clemson Team Needs: DL, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: WR DJ Chark, RB Jamaal Williams, LB Alex Anzalone, OG Evan Brown, CB Mike Hughes Analysis: After getting a lockdown CB with their first pick, the Lions grab a freakish interior defender who can play all along the front. (19). Tampa Bay Bucs Select: OT Broderick Jones | Georgia Team Needs: QB, TE, G, C, DI Pending Free Agents: QB Tom Brady, LB Lavonte David, DL Akiem Hicks, WR Julio Jones, CB Sean Bunting, S Mike Edwards Analysis: Whoever is under center in 2023 will need to be better protected than Brady was in 2022. Drafting an OL here makes sense, but you must start rebuilding the defense. (20). Chicago Bears (via SEA) Select: RB Bijan Robinson | Texas Team Needs: WR, TE, OL, DL, LB, DB Pending Free Agents: RB David Montgomery, C Sam Mustipher, WR N'Keal Harry, WR Dante Pettis Analysis: The Bears snag an elite backfield mate to pair with Justin Fields. *Dolphins Forefeit Pick (21). Los Angeles Chargers Select: WR Zay Flowers | Boston College Team Needs: WR, T, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: DL Jerry Tillery, S Nasir Adderley, RB Sony Michel, LB Drue Tranquill, TE Donald Parham Analysis: The Chargers need help at CB and could use a WR. There is an argument that they could draft an edge rusher with Khalil Mack in his 30s and Joey Bosa's injury-plagued 2022; the Chargers need some youthful depth. (22). Baltimore Ravens Select: CB Joey Porter Jr. | Penn State Team Needs: WR, ED, CB Pending Free Agents: CB Marcus Peters, QB Lamar Jackson, OT Ja'Wuan James, CB Kyle Fuller Analysis: The Ravens grab a lengthy physical DB to solidify their secondary. (23). Minnesota Vikings Select: CB Kelee Ringo | Georgia Team Needs: DI, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: TE Irv Smith Jr., RB Alexander Mattison, CB Patrick Peterson, C Garrett Bradbury, WR Olabisi Johnson Analysis: The Vikings need help in their secondary. Ringo is a physical DB who can be an impact player in year one. (24). Jacksonville Jaguars Select: OT Anton Harrison | Oklahoma Team Needs: G, C, DB Pending Free Agents: TE Evan Engram, OT Jawaan Taylor, EDGE Arden Key, EDGE Dawuane Smoot, CB Tre Herndon Analysis: Jags grab the best available OT here . (25). New York Giants Select: WR Jalin Hyatt | Tennessee Team Needs: WR, TE, C, LB Pending Free Agents: QB Daniel Jones, RB Saquon Barkley, DL Dalvin Tomlinson, WR Sterling Shepard, WR Darius Slayton Analysis: The Giants possess decent draft capital. They have needs at WR and TE. The need a dynamic WR to help them stretch the field. (26). Dallas Cowboys Select: LB Trenton Simpson | Clemson Team Needs: WR, DL, LB Pending Free Agents: TE Dalton Schultz, RB Tony Pollard, OT Terence Steele, WR Noah Brown, LB Leighton Vander Esch Analysis: The Cowboys could use upgrades on the OL, but they could also add an elite TE in Michael Mayer to pair with CeeDee Lamb. They can also draft a versatile off-ball LB. (27). Buffalo Bills Select: S/Slot CB Brian Branch | Alabama Team Needs: G, C, DB Pending Free Agents: S Jordan Poyer, LB Tremaine Edmunds, QB Case Keenum, C Mitch Morse, OG Rodger Saffold Analysis: The Bills need to improve their offensive line, but they could also use a pass rusher. If Poyer is moving on, they can go safety in this spot if Brian Branch is still available. (28). Cincinnati Bengals Select: Jahmyr Gibbs | Alabama Team Needs: T, DI, CB Pending Free Agents: S Jessie Bates III, TE Hayden Hurst, CB Eli Apple, S Vonn Bell, RB Samaje Perine Analysis: With the Bengals front office not likely committing to Joe Mixon, why not grab the speed of Jahmyr Gibbs to pair with Burrow and Chase? (29). New Orleans Saints Select: Edge Lukas Van Ness | Iowa Team Needs: QB, DI, CB Pending Free Agents: DL David Onyemata, EDGE Marcus Davenport, WR Jarvis Landry, RB Mark Ingram, QB Andy Dalton Analysis: The Saints have options to replace the often-injured Marcus Davenport. (30). Philadelphia Eagles Select: IOL Steve Avila | TCU Team Needs: WR, G, C Pending Free Agents: DL Javon Hargrave, CB James Bradberry, RB Miles Sanders, C Jason Kelce, DL Fletcher Cox Analysis: The Super Bowl runner-up and a team with many potential pending free agents and Center Jason Kelce, who is mulling the idea of retiring. The Eagles need to find their Kelce replacement in the middle of their offensive line. With other needs at CB and the potential that James Bradberry could move on, the Eagles will have some solid options. (31). Kansas City Chiefs Select: Edge Keion White | Georgia Tech Team Needs: WR, DL, EDGE Pending Free Agents: OT Orlando Brown Jr., WR Mecole Hardman, WR Juju Smith-Schuster, S Juan Thornhill Analysis: The Super Bowl champs have a young defense with great potential and could use a WR. But after releasing Frank Clark, they need to add another pass rusher.
- NFL Draft: NFL Mock Draft 3.0 | No Trades | Titans, Commanders, Patriots All Could Move Up For A QB
(1). Carolina Panthers (Via CHI) Select: QB Bryce Young | Alabama Team Needs: QB, WR, ED Analysis: The Panthers should have taken Justin Fields in the 2021 NFL Draft. In 2023, they aim to make up for that by trading the farm to get their future QB. The two names that made the most sense during the Panthers' trade from the #9 overall pick to #1 were C.J. Stroud and Anthony Richardson. The issue is if you take Richardson, he still needs development. With C.J. Stroud, you get a more NFL-ready player. But the name a lot of NFL Draft pundits and insiders are saying the Panthers front office love is Bryce Young. Young is the best prospect right now, but the questions surrounding his size will continue to be discussed as we inch closer to day one of the 2023 NFL Draft. Regardless, drafting Young gives the Panthers a proven gamer and playmaker at the game's top position. (2). Houston Texans Select: QB C.J. Stroud | Alabama Team Needs: QB, WR, C, DL Analysis: The draft can get more interesting if the Texans want to trade back with the Colts or any teams looking to move into the top 5 to draft C.J. Stroud or Anthony Richardson. The Texans might also want a QB in return, and the Colts cannot provide that. Recent rumors have mentioned that the Patriots and Titans are in the market to trade up , and with the Lamar Jackson situation unsettled in Baltimore, the Ravens are also a team to keep an eye on. Regardless, the Texans are in a great spot, and reports indicate they have narrowed their decision down to Bryce Young or C.J. Stroud. (3). Arizona Cardinals Select: Will Anderson Jr. | Alabama Team Needs: G, C, DL, CB Analysis: The Cardinals are in a prime spot with pick #3 living in the best available trade-up spot to draft one of the top QB's in the 2023 NFL Draft. The Colts appear to be a team many think could trade up one spot to ensure they can procure the best QB option, but I wonder if this is a logical trade. What happens in this spot might be dictated by what two players are drafted at #1 and #2 overall, which means we may not see teams try to move up to the 3rd pick until the night of the draft. Currently, Will Anderson Jr. is the favorite to go #3 overall. (4). Indianapolis Colts Select: Anthony Richardson | Florida Team Needs: QB, WR, TE, OL Analysis: Everyone is waiting for the Colts to make a trade to pick #3 from the Cardinals or with the Ravens to get Lamar Jackson. Reports recently stated that the Ravens might not ask for two first-round picks in a trade. That would make a trade easier for the Colts, but it leaves the Ravens without a bridge QB via trade, assuming they make this deal and draft Anthony Richardson. The Colts could also be in a spot for the Patriots to trade Mac Jones, who could be an excellent fit in a win-now offensive situation. (5). Seattle Seahawks Select: IDL Jalen Carter | Georgia Team Needs: G, C, DL Analysis: Seattle wins the lottery in this spot by procuring one of the most dominant defenders in the 2023 NFL Draft. Carter has been discussed as a player expected to fall out of the top ten after he struggled at his Georgia Pro Day, but the Seahawks seized the opportunity to get a potential star. (6). Detroit Lions Select: ED Tyree Wilson | Texas tech Team Needs: WR, TE, DL Analysis: The Lions can take one of our board's top two DB's, or one of several top edge defenders remaining. (7). Las Vegas Raiders Select: QB Will Levis | Kentucky Team Needs: G, C, ED, CB Analysis: The Raiders have a lot of needs, they have QB covered in the immediate future, but they are still a candidate to move up to get a top QB. If they stay in this position, they will likely fill a need on the defensive side of the football. (8). Atlanta Falcons Select: Edge Nolan Smith | Georgia Team Needs: WR, TE, OL, DL, LB, DB Analysis: In my previous Mock, I had the Falcons drafting Georgia Edge Nolan Smith, other hot names to watch are Tyree Wilson and Myles Murphy. (9). Chicago Bears Select: Edge Myles Murphy | Clemson Team Needs: WR, TE, OL, DL, LB, DB Analysis: In the last mock draft, I had Bijan going to the Bears, but in this edition, I have a versatile edge defender with a high ceiling and freaky athleticism going to Chicago. (10). Philadelphia Eagles Select: RB Bijan Robinson | Texas Team Needs: WR, G, C, DL, S Analysis: Many mock drafts have the Eagles taking a DB or a DL in this position. But the Eagles are only a piece or two away on offense and defense, and they can bolster their WR core in this position, or If Bijan falls into this spot, they will need to consider drafting the generational RB. (11). Tennessee Titans Select: Paris Johnson Jr. | Ohio State Team Needs: WR, OL Analysis: The Titans need an OT to replace Taylor Lewan. They could go with an edge rusher in this spot. Recent reports from insider discussions mentioned that the Titans are potential trade candidates motivated to move up to get one of the draft's top QB' s. They are also in a spot where they could trade back and procure more draft capital if one of the 4 top projected QB's falls outside the top 10. " Ryan Tannehill is under contract for just one more season, and new Cardinals general manager Monti Ossenfort spent the past three seasons as the Titans' director of player personnel. Plus, at No. 3 overall, the Titans would jump a division rival and quarterback-needy team in the Indianapolis Colts at No. 4." (Per NFL.com) (12). Houston Texans Select: Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Ohio State Team Needs: QB, WR, C, DL Analysis: The Texans are another team that QB-needy teams behind them might try to move up if a QB falls. If the Texans retain the pick, the best available option would be to add a WR or help on the offensive or defensive line. (13). New York Jets Select: OT Peter Skoronski | Northwestern Team Needs: OT, LB Analysis: many believe this pick is one of the underlying reasons the Packers have yet to finalize the Aaron Rodgers trade with the New York Jets. My argument is that if you give up a top-15 pick for any available QB via trade, you get one that can provide you more longevity, and that QB is Lamar Jackson. The other scenario is that the Ravens will likely want another QB in return, the Jets do not have a proven QB, and Zach Wilson is an unproven risk. If the Jets retain this pick, their best option is to draft a versatile OL who can flip inside or outside as they develop. (14). New England Patriots Select: Devon Witherspoon | Illinois Team Needs: WR, ED, CB Analysis: The rumor mill says that the Patriots are shopping Mac Jones. One potential trade could be the Patriots trading Mac Jones to the Ravens with this pick to Acquire Lamar Jackson. In that scenario, I would have Smith-Njigba going to the Ravens. If the Patriots stay in this position, I can see them taking the best available CB on the board. (15). Green Bay Packers Select: WR Jordan Addison | USC Team Needs: WR, TE, ED, LB Analysis: Drafting a WR in this spot to support Jordan Love in the "potential" post-Aaron Rodgers era will be the likely route here. Many believe this will be a TE like Michael Mayer, and rightfully so, but Addison has WR1 upside from the slot that could create an excellent duo at WR with Christian Watson. (16). Washington Commanders Select: OT/IOL Broderick Jones | Georgia Team Needs: QB, G, C, LB, CB Analysis: The Commanders are another team that could potentially try to move into position to draft a QB. If they decide that they can move forward with Sam Howell, they will need to build up the offensive line. With the No. 16 overall pick, Washington may have a chance to trade up for a top player that slides. In Bleacher Report’s article on hypothetical trades Washington can make, the team traded up to the No. 8 pick with the Atlanta Falcons to take Kentucky quarterback Will Levis. (Bleacher Report) (17). Pittsburgh Steelers Select: CB Christian Gonzalez | Oregon Team Needs: T, LB, CB Analysis: With essentially two first-round picks after the Dolphins forfeited pick, the Steelers have an excellent opportunity to capitalize. With apparent needs on the offensive line, they can also grab a top cornerback. (18). Detroit Lions Select: IDL Calijah Kancey | Pitt Team Needs: WR, TE, DL Analysis: After getting a lockdown CB with their first pick, the Lions could use an interior defender or another edge defender. (19). Tampa Bay Buccaneers Select: Bryan Bresee | Clemson Team Needs: QB, TE, OL, DL, S Analysis: Recent insider discussions mention that the Bucs might be in the running to trade up if any of the potential top 4 consensus QB's fall far enough. The one QB that has fallen on many draft boards is Will Levis. The Bucs have positioned themselves after picking up Baker Mayfield in free agency to provide a bridge QB to support whatever rookie QB they potentially take. The other name I like for the Bucs is Hendon Hooker if they decide not to trade up. (20). Seattle Seahawks Select: Joey Porter Jr. | Penn State Team Needs: G, C, DL Analysis: The Seahawks have bolstered their interior with Jalen Carter; they can now go after another front-seven defender or the best available. *Dolphins Forefeit Pick (21). Los Angeles Chargers Select: CB Kelee Ringo | Georgia Team Needs: WR, T, LB, CB, IDL Analysis: The Chargers need help at CB and could use a WR. There is an argument that they could draft an edge rusher with Khalil Mack in his 30s and Joey Bosa's injury-plagued 2022; the Chargers need some youthful depth. Help on the interior of the defensive line is also a need. (22). Baltimore Ravens Select: WR Zay Flowers | Boston College Team Needs: WR, ED, CB Analysis: The Ravens need to rebuild the secondary, and Kelee Ringo provides the physicality the Ravens want and need on the outside. (23). Minnesota Vikings Select: QB Hendon Hooker | Tennessee Team Needs: WR, DL, LB, CB Analysis: There has been speculation that the Vikings could be a team looking to move up to draft a QB. They have a lot of other needs, but they are in a suitable position to move up and draft a QB, or if one falls to them, they could pull the trigger with Kirk Cousins on the roster as a bridge to the future. (24). Jacksonville Jaguars Select: IOL Steve Avila | TCU Team Needs: G, C, ED, DB Analysis: Jags need interior OL help and help in their defensive secondary. (25). New York Giants Select: S/CB Brian Branch | Alabama Team Needs: WR, C, LB, S Analysis: The Giants possess decent draft capital. They have needs at WR and safety. (26). Dallas Cowboys Select: IDL Mazi Smith | Michigan Team Needs: RB, DL, LB Analysis: The Cowboys could use help on the IDL or add an edge rusher. Other needs include RB and LB. Dallas Cowboys head coach Mike McCarthy said, via The Athletic, from the NFL Annual League Meeting in Phoenix. I think we all recognize that the defensive line play, I know during my time in the league, it's at a historic high. The value that's put into the D-line play, as far as the draft and free agency, that's a priority position. You've seen the good defensive lines that have the six- or seven-man rotation, and they're getting it to eight or 10. Just look at our division alone. You have to pay close attention to that. (Mike McCarthy) (27). Buffalo Bills Select: WR Quentin Johnston | TCU Team Needs: WR, DB, LB Analysis: With a need at LB, the Bills can fill that in the 2nd round and draft the best available WR left on the board to solidify its receiver core. There is some first-round buzz for LB Jack Campbell or Drew Sanders, but that's too early to draft a LB. (28). Cincinnati Bengals Select: Jahmyr Gibbs | Alabama Team Needs: TE, DL, DB Analysis: With the Bengals' front office not likely committing to Joe Mixon, why not grab the speed of Jahmyr Gibbs to pair with Burrow and Chase? Yes, that is two RB's in the 1st round. Eat it, Mel Kiper. (29). New Orleans Saints Select: CB Deonte Banks | Maryland Team Needs: G, C, DL, CB Analysis: Most of the recent mock drafts have the Saints taking a TE or the best available defensive lineman, but in our mock draft, they landed the best available CB with the opportunity to grab the best available interior offensive lineman in round two. (30). Philadelphia Eagles Select: IOL/C John Michael Schmitz| Minnesota Team Needs: WR, G, C, DL, S Analysis: The Eagles can take a lot of different angles with their 2nd pick in round one, including trading back for more draft capital, but in this scenario, the Eagles take a versatile interior offensive lineman who can learn the center position from Travis Kelce while also having the versatility to play guard in the interim. (31). Kansas City Chiefs Select: Edge Lukas Van Ness | Iowa Team Needs: WR, DL, EDGE Analysis: The Super Bowl champs have a young defense with great potential and could use a WR. But after releasing Frank Clark, they need to add another pass rusher.
- 2023 NFL Draft: NFL Mock Draft 2.2 | Panthers Trade To #1 Overall | Rodgers Traded | Vegas Moves Up
The Bears Trade The First Pick To The Carolina Panthers? In a real-life trade, the Panthers traded with the Chicago Bears to acquire the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, according to ESPN and NFL Network. The Bears will receive the No. 9 and No. 61 picks in the 2023 draft, a first-round pick in 2024, and a second-rounder in 2025, and they will also receive wide receiver DJ Moore, according to ESPN. Who Will Draft Will Levis? Levis is the 4th QB off the board unless we are all being duped. Levis possesses a massive ceiling with comparable traits to Josh Allen, but is he worth giving up draft capital to move up? At this point, for him to go top five, the Colts or the Texans have to love him, or the Cardinals would have to trade back to someone hell-bent on moving up to draft a QB. The Packers Trade Aaron Rodgers To the Jets The New York Jets trade their 2023 1st round pick to the Green Bay Packers with additional future draft capital. The Jets are a young and talented team that is a QB away from being a threat to contend in the AFC. Click here to check out the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board. Click here to View all of our NFL Draft content in one place. First Round 2023 NFL Mock Draft (1). Carolina Panthers (Via CHI) Select: QB C.J. Stroud | Ohio State Team Needs: QB, RB, TE, ED Pending Free Agents: QB Sam Darnold, DL Matthew Ioannidis, C Bradley Bozeman, LB Cory Littleton Analysis: The Panthers should have taken Justin Fields in the 2021 NFL Draft. In 2023, they aim to make up for that by trading the farm to get their future QB. The two names that make the most sense are C.J. Stroud and Anthony Richardson. The only concern is that the Panthers need a bridge QB to allow Richardson to develop without needing to start as a rookie. C.J. Stroud can walk in and be a day-one starter, but the Panthers traded their number one WR, D.J. Moore, to Chicago, making life even more challenging for a rookie QB. (2). Houston Texans Select: QB Bryce Young | Alabama Team Needs: QB, C, DL Pending Free Agents: TE O.J. Howard, EDGE Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, DL Rasheem Green, TE Jordan Akins Analysis: Houston gets their QB of the future. Young is a safe bet with a high floor that can make an impact right away. (3). Las Vegas Raiders (via AZ) Select: QB Anthony Richardson | Florida Pending Free Agents: RB Josh Jacobs, CB Rock Ya-Sin, LB Denzel Perryman, WR Mack Hollins, EDGE Clelin Ferrell Analysis: The Raiders need a QB, so they must trade the farm to acquire one of the top four QB's in the 2023 NFL Draft class. The Raiders will pair Anthony Richardson with Josh McDaniel in this mock draft. (4). Indianapolis Colts Select: QB Will Levis | Kentucky Team Needs: QB, OL Pending Free Agents: EDGE Yannick Ngakoue, WR Parris Campbell, OG Matt Pryor, LB Bobby Okereke, E.J. Speed Analysis: New Indianapolis Colts Head Coach Shane Steichen lands a high-ceiling QB. Will Levis would fit perfectly in a similar style of offense as Jalen Hurts. (5). Seattle Seahawks Select: Edge Will Anderson Jr.| Alabama Team Needs: G, C, DL Pending Free Agents: QB Geno Smith, RB Rashaad Penny, DL Poona Ford, OG Phil Haynes, QB Drew Lock Analysis: Seattle wins the lottery in this spot by procuring arguing the most dominant defender in the 2023 NFL Draft. (6). Detroit Lions Select: CB Christian Gonzalez | Oregon Team Needs: DI, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: WR DJ Chark, RB Jamaal Williams, LB Alex Anzalone, OG Evan Brown, CB Mike Hughes Analysis: The Lions could draft Jalen Carter as they did in my mock 2.0, but the 2.2, like the 2.1 version, considers the recent events, and the Lions get cold feet. Carter has been the number one overall pick on our board since November. The Lions decided to take the top CB on the board instead. (7). Arizona Cardinals Select: IDL Jalen Carter | Georgia Team Needs: G, C, ED, CB Pending Free Agents: EDGE J.J. Watt, WR A.J. Green, OT Kelvin Beachum, CB Byron Murphy, C Rodney Hudson Analysis: The Cardinals traded back with the Las Vegas Raiders and will have a shot to draft the best edge, IDL, or CB at pick number 7 while acquiring additional draft capital. (8). Atlanta Falcons Select: Edge Nolan Smith | Georgia Team Needs: WR, TE, OL, DL, LB, DB Pending Free Agents: RB David Montgomery, C Sam Mustipher, WR N'Keal Harry, WR Dante Pettis Analysis: Nolan Smith jumped back into the top ten of our rankings after his elite NFL Combine performance. The Falcons get the versatile edge rusher that they desperately need. (9). Chicago Bears Select: RB Bijan Robinson| Texas Team Needs: WR, TE, OL, DL, LB, DB Pending Free Agents: RB David Montgomery, C Sam Mustipher, WR N'Keal Harry, WR Dante Pettis Analysis: This would be a complete 180 for a Bears offense that lacked skill position talent in previous seasons. After a blockbuster trade with the Carolina Panthers, the Bears acquired D.J. Moore, and with the 9th overall pick, they grabbed an elite RB to pair with Justin Fields. (10). Philadelphia Eagles Select: CB Devon Witherspoon | Illinois Team Needs: WR, G, C, IDL Pending Free Agents: DL Javon Hargrave, CB James Bradberry, RB Miles Sanders, C Jason Kelce, DL Fletcher Cox Analysis: I have recently mocked Christian Gonzalez or Devon Witherspoon to the Eagles . The Eagles have a deep and talented roster, but they need CB. (11). Tennessee Titans Select: OT Paris Johnson Jr. | Ohio State Team Needs: WR, T, ED Pending Free Agents: TE Austin Hooper, OG Nate Davis, TE Geoff Swaim, LB David Long, DL Teair Tart Analysis: The Titans need an OT to replace Taylor Lewan. They could go with an edge rusher in this spot. (12). Houston Texans Select: Edge Tyree Wilson | Texas Tech Team Needs: QB, C, DL Pending Free Agents: TE O.J. Howard, EDGE Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, DL Rasheem Green, TE Jordan Akins Analysis: After drafting a QB at pick 2, the Texans get an athletic freak to bolster the edge of their defense. (13). Green Bay Packers (Via NYJ) Select: EDGE Myles Murphy | Clemson Team Needs: WR, TE, ED, LB Pending Free Agents: WR Allen Lazard, TE Robert Tonyan Jr., OT Elgton Jenkins, S Adrian Amos, DL Dean Lowry Analysis: The Packers now have two first-round picks after trading Aaron Rodgers. (14). New England Patriots Select: Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Ohio State Team Needs: QB, T, ED Pending Free Agents: OT Isaiah Wynn, RB Damien Harris, CB Myles Bryant, CB Jonathan Jones, WR Jakobi Meyers Analysis: The Patriots need to draft a WR, Bill will find a way to pass on a WR for the best available DB or OL, and then he will shock the world and draft Stetson Bennett in the 2nd or 3rd round. (15). Green Bay Packers Select: WR Quentin Johnston | TCU Team Needs: WR, TE, ED, LB Pending Free Agents: WR Allen Lazard, TE Robert Tonyan Jr., OT Elgton Jenkins, S Adrian Amos, DL Dean Lowry Analysis: Drafting a WR in this spot to support Jordan Love in the post-Aaron Rodgers era will be the likely route here. Many believe this will be a TE like Michael Mayer, and rightfully so, but Johnston has a true WR1 upside that could create a nice dup at WR with Christian Watson. (16). Washington Commanders Select: Peter Skoronski | Northwestern Team Needs: QB, G, C, LB Pending Free Agents: DL Daron Payne, QB Taylor Heinicke, OG Wes Schweitzer, LB Cole Holcomb, OG Trai Turner Analysis: Skoronski measured more like an interior guard than an OT, but he does bring positional versatility and can flip inside or outside as needed. (17). Pittsburgh Steelers Select: Joey Porter Jr. | Penn State Team Needs: T, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: DL Larry Ogunjobi, LB Devin Bush, DL Chris Wormley, CB Cam Sutton, QB Mason Rudolph Analysis: With essentially two first-round picks after the Dolphins forfeited pick, the Steelers have an excellent opportunity to capitalize. With apparent needs on the offensive line, they can also grab a top cornerback. (18). Detroit Lions Select: EDGE Myles Murphy | Clemson Team Needs: DL, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: WR DJ Chark, RB Jamaal Williams, LB Alex Anzalone, OG Evan Brown, CB Mike Hughes Analysis: After getting a lockdown CB with their first pick, the Lions could use an interior defender or another edge defender. (19). Tampa Bay Bucs Select: OT Broderick Jones | Georgia Team Needs: QB, TE, G, C, DI Pending Free Agents: QB Tom Brady, LB Lavonte David, DL Akiem Hicks, WR Julio Jones, CB Sean Bunting, S Mike Edwards Analysis: Whoever is under center in 2023 will need to be better protected than Brady was in 2022. Drafting an OL here makes sense, but you must start rebuilding the defense. (20). Seattle Seahawks Select: IDL Calijah Kancey| Pitt Team Needs: WR, TE, OL, DL, LB, DB Pending Free Agents: RB David Montgomery, C Sam Mustipher, WR N'Keal Harry, WR Dante Pettis Analysis: The Seahawks have bolstered their front 4 with Anderson and Kancey in round one. *Dolphins Forefeit Pick (21). Los Angeles Chargers Select: WR Jordan Addison | USC Team Needs: WR, T, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: DL Jerry Tillery, S Nasir Adderley, RB Sony Michel, LB Drue Tranquill, TE Donald Parham Analysis: The Chargers need help at CB and could use a WR. There is an argument that they could draft an edge rusher with Khalil Mack in his 30s and Joey Bosa's injury-plagued 2022; the Chargers need some youthful depth. (22). Baltimore Ravens Select: CB Kelee Ringo| Georgia Team Needs: WR, ED, CB Pending Free Agents: CB Marcus Peters, QB Lamar Jackson, OT Ja'Wuan James, CB Kyle Fuller Analysis: The Ravens grab a lengthy physical DB to solidify their secondary. (23). Minnesota Vikings Select: CB Emmanuel Forbes | Mississippi State Team Needs: DI, LB, CB Pending Free Agents: TE Irv Smith Jr., RB Alexander Mattison, CB Patrick Peterson, C Garrett Bradbury, WR Olabisi Johnson Analysis: The Vikings need help in their secondary. (24). Jacksonville Jaguars Select: S/CB Brian Branch | Alabama Team Needs: G, C, DB Pending Free Agents: TE Evan Engram, OT Jawaan Taylor, EDGE Arden Key, EDGE Dawuane Smoot, CB Tre Herndon Analysis: Jags need interior OL but take the best nickel safety available. (25). New York Giants Select: WR Zay Flowers | Boston College Team Needs: WR, TE, C, LB Pending Free Agents: QB Daniel Jones, RB Saquon Barkley, DL Dalvin Tomlinson, WR Sterling Shepard, WR Darius Slayton Analysis: The Giants possess decent draft capital. They have needs at WR and TE. The need a dynamic WR to help them stretch the field. (26). Dallas Cowboys Select: LB Trenton Simpson | Clemson Team Needs: WR, DL, LB Pending Free Agents: TE Dalton Schultz, RB Tony Pollard, OT Terence Steele, WR Noah Brown, LB Leighton Vander Esch Analysis: The Cowboys could use upgrades on the OL, but they could also add an elite TE in Michael Mayer to pair with CeeDee Lamb. They can also draft a versatile off-ball LB. (27). Buffalo Bills Select: IOL O'Cyrus Torrence | Florida Team Needs: G, C, DB Pending Free Agents: S Jordan Poyer, LB Tremaine Edmunds, QB Case Keenum, C Mitch Morse, OG Rodger Saffold Analysis: The Bills need to improve their offensive line, but they could also use a pass rusher. If Poyer is moving on, they can go safety in this spot if Brian Branch is still available. (28). Cincinnati Bengals Select: Jahmyr Gibbs | Alabama Team Needs: T, DI, CB Pending Free Agents: S Jessie Bates III, TE Hayden Hurst, CB Eli Apple, S Vonn Bell, RB Samaje Perine Analysis: With the Bengals front office not likely committing to Joe Mixon, why not grab the speed of Jahmyr Gibbs to pair with Burrow and Chase? (29). New Orleans Saints Select: IDL Mazi Smith | Michigan Team Needs: QB, DI, CB Pending Free Agents: DL David Onyemata, EDGE Marcus Davenport, WR Jarvis Landry, RB Mark Ingram, QB Andy Dalton Analysis: The Saints have options to replace the often-injured Marcus Davenport. (30). Philadelphia Eagles Select: IOL Steve Avila | TCU Team Needs: WR, G, C Pending Free Agents: DL Javon Hargrave, CB James Bradberry, RB Miles Sanders, C Jason Kelce, DL Fletcher Cox Analysis: The Super Bowl runner-up and a team with many potential pending free agents and Center Jason Kelce, who is mulling the idea of retiring. The Eagles need to find their Kelce replacement in the middle of their offensive line. With other needs at CB and the potential that James Bradberry could move on, the Eagles will have some solid options. (31). Kansas City Chiefs Select: Edge Lukas Van Ness | Iowa Team Needs: WR, DL, EDGE Pending Free Agents: OT Orlando Brown Jr., WR Mecole Hardman, WR Juju Smith-Schuster, S Juan Thornhill Analysis: The Super Bowl champs have a young defense with great potential and could use a WR. But after releasing Frank Clark, they need to add another pass rusher.
- NFL Draft: NFL Mock Draft 4.0 | No Trades | Texans Pass On QB at Pick #2, Raiders, Bucs Get A QB
We are finally here. Less than one week to go before the start of the 2023 NFL Draft. Today's NFL mock draft will be the final mock draft pending any predraft trades. Some scenarios to think about while reading our NFL Mock Draft 4.0 The smoke about the Texans possibly passing on a QB at pick #2 could be authentic. Could Will Levis and Anthony Richardson could both drop out of the top 10? Is Hendon Hooker a legit top 20 or top 15 draft pick? Some Teams are reportedly ranking him above WIll Levis and Anthony Richardson. How many WR's will realistically be drafted in the first round? How far does IDL Jalen Carter drop? WIll C.J. Stroud still be drafted in the top 5 of the NFL Draft? Are the Colts considering Will Levis over C.J. Stroud? Will Bijan Robinson be drafted in the top 10? Could we see two RB's drafted in round #1? How many draft-day trades should we expect, if any? First-Round NFL Mock Draft 1). Panthers: QB Bryce Young, Alabama Previous Mock Picks : C.J. Stroud Industry Consensus: Bryce Young The Final Analysis: The Panthers should have taken Justin Fields in the 2021 NFL Draft. In 2023, they aim to make up for that by trading the farm to draft QB1. The names that make the most sense outside of Bryce Young are C.J. Stroud and Anthony Richardson. The only concern is that the Panthers need a bridge QB to allow Richardson to develop without needing to start as a rookie. C.J. Stroud can walk in and be a day-one starter, but the Panthers traded their number one WR, D.J. Moore, to Chicago, making life even more challenging for a rookie QB. Bryce Young makes the most sense as a difference maker who can create in or out of the structure of the offense 2). Texans: Edge Will Anderson Jr., Alabama Previous Mock Picks: C.J. Stroud, Will Anderson Jr. Industry Consensus: C.J. Stroud The Final Analysis: Many insiders believe the Texans will pass on QB early and get one of the top defenders. The Texans are by far the biggest wildcard in the top 5. They need a QB, but their new head coach DeMeco Ryans is a Kyle Shanahan Disciple. If you follow the 49ers, you can see that the ingredients in San Francisco align with the ideology of skipping QB early to get one of the best defenders in Will Anderson Jr. 3). Cardinals: Edge Tyree Wilson, Texas Tech Previous Mock Picks: Will Anderson Jr. Industry Consensus: Will Anderson Jr. The Final Analysis: The Cardinals appear to be losing the perceived value they once held at pick #3. For months the industry has debated who might try to trade up to pick 3 to get a QB. Now we hear that teams are less interested in trading up and will wait to see where the chips fall. A trade might still happen here, but it is less likely to happen now than a month ago. If the Cardinals remain in this spot, they should have their choice of Will Anderson, Jalen Carter, or Tyree Wilson. 4). Colts: QB C.J. Stroud, Ohio State Previous Mock Picks: Will Levis, Anthony Richardson Industry Consensus: Anthony Richardson The Final Analysis: So many smoke screens. Colts owner Jim Irsay recently tweeted that they do not have to take a QB if they do not like the options available, but it appears the options will be there if the Cardinals and the Texans opt not to trade back or the Texans choose a QB at pick #2. The difficult decision will come down to which of the three remaining QB's fit their new head coach the best. All of our mocks had teams trading in front of the Colts, leaving them with Will Levis, and if it comes down to it, Will Levis or Anthony Richardson can both be great options in a physical Shane Steichen offense. 5). Seahawks: IDL Jalen Carter Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Anthony Richardson, Will Levis, Will Anderson Jr., Jalen Carter Industry Consensus: Christian Gonzalez The Final Analysis: The Seahawks are a team that could take a QB, and we have mocked QB to the Seahawks in different scenarios. We like Anthony Richardson, who can sit behind Geno Smith or Will Levis. If C.J. Stroud falls, how do you pass on the rookie value? Regardless, the Seahawks will be in a good spot. They could trade back to a QB-needy team or take arguably the best defender in the draft. 6). Lions: CB Christian Gonzalez, Oregon Previous Mock Picks: Jalen Carter, Myles Murphy, Tyree Wilson, Devon Witherspoon Industry Consensus: Devon Witherspoon The Final Analysis: The Lions are also in a fascinating spot. If a QB falls, they have a bridge QB in Jared Goff. Do you draft Anthony Richardson, or Will Levis, trade back, or stay and get the top DB in the class? 7). Raiders: QB Will Levis, Kentucky Previous Mock Picks: Devon Witherspoon, Christian Gonzalez, Anthony Richardson, Bryan Bresee Industry Consensus: Christian Gonzalez The Final Analysis: The Raiders might be quick to the podium if a QB falls to them. But they have so many other needs they could trade back and get solid value. 8). Falcons: Edge Nolan Smith, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Tyree Wilson, Nolan Smith, Bijan Robinson Industry Consensus: Bijan Robinson The Final Analysis: Another team in the top 10 with a need at QB, and if one falls, we expect they will not hesitate to grab him, but if not, they can get a top defender. 9). Bears: RB Bijan Robinson, Texas Previous Mock Picks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Will Anderson Jr., Myles Murphy, Paris Johnson Jr. Industry Consensus: Paris Johnson Jr. The Final Analysis: The Bears traded back to pick #9 because they have what appears to be their franchise QB in place. They have several needs on both sides of the football, but how could you pass on the opportunity to have Bijan Robinson in the same backfield as Justin Fields? One of my basic arguments is that Justin Fields is great off of play action and having a legit elite RB next to him in the backfield will only open up the offense more. 10). Eagles: WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba Previous Mock Picks: Christian Gonzalez, Jalen Carter, Devon Witherspoon, Bijan Robinson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Lukas Van Ness Industry Consensus: Lukas Van Ness The Final Analysis: The Eagles have few needs but are aging at certain positions. Pairing the WR1 with Jalen Hurts would be phenomenal. The industry is low on the WR position in 2023, but only 3 or 4 round-one projections can provide an immediate impact, and Smith-Njigba would be perfect playing out of the slot in Philly. 11). Titans: OT Darnell Wright, Tennessee Previous Mock Picks: Paris Johnson Jr., Will Levis Industry Consensus: Will Levis The Final Analysis: The Titans are losing OT Taylor Lewan to retirement, so replacing him is necessary. However, the Titans are among the teams rumored to be interested in moving up for a QB. If a QB falls, they might be tempted, or they can still try to move into the top 5 if they are motivated by a particular player. 12). Texans: QB Anthony Richardson, Florida Previous Mock Picks: Quentin Johnston, Tyree Wilson, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Anthony Richardson Industry Consensus: Jaxon Smith-Njigba The Final Analysis: One of the least likely scenarios will be Anthony Richardson dropping out of the top 10. I cannot see this scenario being realistic, but some insiders are speculating that this could be the case, and if it is, you might see several teams trying to move up to get him. The same can be said about Will Levis. As for Richardson, the ceiling is too high not to risk it, and if he falls this far and the Texans pass on QB at pick #2 as some believe, they have to make this move. 13). Jets: OT Paris Johnson Jr., Ohio State Previous Mock Picks : Peter Skoronski, Broderick Jones Industry Consensus: Broderick Jones The Final Analysis: People are still waiting to see what will happen with the Aaron Rodgers situation. Will the Jets trade this pick to the Packers or not is less likely, but they might have no choice if they want to procure Aaron Rodgers. The Jets must add help on their OL if they retain this pick. 14). Patriots: CB Joey Porter Jr., Penn State Previous Mock Picks: Broderick Jones, Quentin Johnston, Jordan Addison, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Devon Witherspoon, Zay Flowers, Joey Porter Jr. Industry Consensus: Zay Flowers The Final Analysis: The Patriots are a pre-draft speculative trade candidate, but the Patriots need to draft a WR, and we all know that Bill will find a way to pass on a WR for the best available DB or OL, and then he will shock the world and draft Stetson Bennett in the 2nd or 3rd round. 15). Packers: Edge Myles Murphy, Clemson Previous Mock Picks : Jordan Addison, Myles Murphy, Quentin Johnston, Nolan Smith Industry Consensus: Nolan Smith The Final Analysis: The Aaron Rodgers trade might determine the direction the Packers go with this pick. So it's difficult to determine the direction they are thinking about going. Drafting a WR in this spot to support Jordan Love in the post-Aaron Rodgers era could make sense; they could go with OL or an edge defender. 16). Commanders: OT Peter Skoronski, Northwestern Previous Mock Pick s: O'Cyrus Torrence, Broderick Jones, Joey Porter Jr. Industry Consensus: Joey Porter Jr. The Final Analysis: I have mocked OL to the Commanders. QB could be an option if one falls drastically, or they love Hendon Hooker. Don't rule out a potential trade into the top 10. 17). Steelers: OT Broderick Jones, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Kelee Ringo, Dawand Jones, Joey Porter Jr., Christian Gonzalez, Darnell Wright Industry Consensus: Darnell Wright The Final Analysis: They need OL; they could add a DB, and they have many options with essentially two first-round picks due to the Dolphin's pick forfeiture. 18). Lions: IDL Bryan Bresee, Clemson Previous Mock Picks : Cam Smith, Myles Murphy, Calijah Kancey Industry Consensus: Calijah Kancey The Final Analysis: The Lion's #6 overall pick will determine their direction at pick 18. In addition, the Lions lost Jameson Williams for an extended period ahead of the 2023 season because he is alleged to have used a sports betting app within the Lions facilities. Could the Lions be motivated to draft a WR? 19). Bucs: QB Hendon Hooker, Tennessee Previous Mock Picks: Nolan Smith, Broderick Jones, Anton Harrison, Bryan Bresee Industry Consensus: Anton Harrison The Final Analysis: The Bucs are one of several teams allegedly grading Hendon Hooker higher than the industry consensus. If he is available, why not take a shot? Hooker is already 25, so the perceived risk is that he might have already peaked to his ceiling. 20). Seahawks: CB Devon Witherspoon Previous Mock Picks: Tuli Tuipulotu, Calijah Kancey, Joey Porter Jr., Myles Murphy Industry Consensus: Myles Murphy The Final Analysis: The Seahawks, like the Lions, have a top 10 pick to go along with a mid 1st round bonus pick that could be used to fill a need, or they could go with a luxury pick like a WR or maybe a QB like Will Levis or Anthony Richardson does fall significantly. Regardless, the Seahawks will have a lot of options. 21). Chargers: WR Zay Flowers, Boston College Previous Mock Picks: Trenton Simpson, Zay Flowers, Jordan Addison, Kelee Ringo Industry Consensus: Jordan Addison The Final Analysis: The Chargers must replace an aging, often injury-plagued WR core. They could add a DB or an edge defender to build depth. 22). Ravens: WR Jordan Addison, USC Previous Mock Picks: Jalin Hyatt, Joey Porter Jr., Kelee Ringo, Zay Flowers, Deonte Banks Industry Consensus : Deonte Banks The Final Analysis: The Ravens added OBJ, so why not add more firepower to the offense in hopes that Lamar Jackson accepts whatever alleged deal the Ravens offered? Other options are DB and an edge rusher. 23). Vikings: CB Kelee Ringo, Georgia Previous Mock Picks: Joey Porter Jr., Emannuel Forbes, Hendon Hooker, Quentin Johnston Industry Consensus: Quentin Johnston The Final Analysis: There has been speculation that the Vikings could be a team looking to move up to draft a QB. They have a lot of other needs, but they are in a suitable position to move up and draft a QB, or if one falls to them, they could pull the trigger with Kirk Cousins on the roster as a bridge to the future. 24). Jaguars: S/NB Brian Branch, Alabama Previous Mock Picks: Kayshon Boutte, O'Cyrus Torrence, Anton Harrison, Steve Avilla Industry Consensus: Brian Branch The Final Analysis: Jags need interior OL help and help in their defensive secondary. 25). Giants: OT Anton Harrison, Oklahoma Previous Mock Picks: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Brian Branch, Jalin Hyatt, Zay Flowers, John Michael Schmitz Industry Consensus: John Michael Schmitz The Final Analysis: The Giants possess decent draft capital. They have needs at WR and safety, but with Saquon Barkley mentioning he might not sign the franchise tag, could the Giants be in the market to draft Jahmyr Gibbs? They could go WR or OL. We have also mocked DB. 26). Cowboys: OT Dawand Jones, Ohio State Previous Mock Picks : Anton Harrison, Michael Mayer, Trenton Simpson, Mazi Smith, Dalton Kincaid Industry Consensus: John Michael Schmitz The Final Analysis: The Cowboys will probably throw a 1st round curveball. They are consistently the most challenging team to mock even when they have obvious needs, but in this mock, we fill their need on the OL. 27). Bills: LB Jack Campbell, Iowa Previous Mock Picks: Andrew Vorhees, Nolan Smith, Brian Branch, O'Cyrus Torrence, Quentin Johnston Industry Consensus: O'Cyrus Torrence The Final Analysis: With a need at LB, the Bills can fill that in the 2nd round and draft the best available WR left on the board to solidify its receiver core. There is some first-round buzz for LB Jack Campbell or Drew Sanders, but that's too early to draft a LB, or is it? Jack Campbell has elite physical traits and athleticism. 28). Bengals: TE Dalton Kincaid, Utah Previous Mock Picks: Brian Branch, Anton Harrison, Jahmyr Gibbs, Michael Mayer Industry Consensus: Michael Mayer The Final Analysis: I have been obsessed with the idea of Jahmyr Gibbs in Cincinnati. With the Bengals' front office not likely committing to Joe Mixon, why not grab the speed of Jahmyr Gibbs to pair with Burrow and Chase? Or, they can go with the versatile TE from Utah. 29). Saints: CB Deonte Banks, Maryland Previous Mock Picks: Keion White, Lukas Van Ness, Mazi Smith Industry Consensus: Mazi Smith The Final Analysis: The Saints could go many different ways here depending on the availability at certain positions. We go with DB this time around. 30). Eagles: RB Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama Previous Mock Picks: Siaki Ika, Cam Smith, Steve Avilla, John Michael Schmitz, Bryan Bresee Industry Consensus: Bryan Bresee The Final Analysis: The Eagles apparently dislike RB's. Or do they? Why not add another dynamic playmaker with Jalen Hurts in the same backfield? Gibbs is one of a handful of instant-impact players in this year's class. 31). Chiefs: WR Quentin Johnston Previous Mock Picks: Luke Musgrave, Keion White, Lukas Van Ness, Dawand Jones Industry Consensus: Dawand Jones The Final Analysis: The Chiefs could get one of the top WR's in the draft. Quentin Johnston has the upside to be the top WR in this class if he is drafted into the right scenario. In this scenario, he falls far enough to land in the hands of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes.
- Free NFL Draft Database, Applying Approximate Value Metrics To Measure Player And Team Value
Free NFL Draft Dashboard Click here to go to the dashboard Before we get started, check out the free Football Scout 365 NFL Draft database . Our database covers past and present NFL Drafts ranking top players and draft years using metrics such as approximate value to measure a player's value. The database provides additional functions, including player age, average age by position, and average years played by position. You can filter by draft round and gain insights about player longevity and positional strength. Are you interested in what year teams drafted the most receivers and RB's, or what draft years provided the most All-Pro or Hall Of Fame players? The dashboard provides all of this free of charge. Using Approximate Value Metrics To Measure Draft Success Analysts, fans, and team executives widely use the NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) metric to evaluate players and make informed decisions. This article will explore what NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) is, how it's calculated, and who the top-ranked NFL players of all time are according to this metric. What is NFL Approximate Value (Weighted)? NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) is a more advanced version of the NFL Approximate Value (AV) metric introduced by Doug Drinen in 2007. The AV metric was designed to measure a player's value in a single season, but it didn't take into account the differences in eras or positions. Pro Football Reference (PFR) introduced the Weighted Approximate Value (WAV) metric to address these limitations in 2016. The WAV metric is a modified version of AV that weights a player's performance by position and era. How is NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) calculated? NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) is calculated using a complex formula that takes into account a wide range of factors, including: Total yards gained or allowed Touchdowns scored or allowed Interceptions thrown or caught Fumbles recovered or lost Sacks made or allowed Tackles made or missed Games played Position played Era played in Each factor is weighted differently depending on the player's position and era. For example, a quarterback's passing yards carry a heavier weighted value than a running back's rushing yards. Similarly, a player's performance in the 1960s is weighted differently than in the 2000s. Who are the top NFL players of all time ranked by weighted approximate value? According to Pro Football Reference, the top-ranked NFL players of all time based on Weighted Approximate Value are: Jerry Rice - WAV: 276 Tom Brady - WAV: 260 Peyton Manning - WAV: 256 Reggie White - WAV: 250 Brett Favre - WAV: 244 Walter Payton - WAV: 240 Bruce Smith - WAV: 239 Ray Lewis - WAV: 237 Emmitt Smith - WAV: 234 Drew Brees - WAV: 231 These rankings are based on a player's entire career, not just a single season or game. It's worth noting that this ranking is subjective and can change depending on the criteria used. FAQs: Q: How does NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) differ from other metrics like passer rating or yards per carry? A: NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) is a more comprehensive metric that considers a wider range of factors, including a player's performance on both offense and defense. Passer rating and yards per carry only measure a player's performance in specific areas. Q: Can NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) be used to compare players from different eras? A: Yes, that's one of the main advantages of the NFL Approximate Value measure. Q: Can NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) be used to compare players from different eras? A: Yes, that's one of the main advantages of NFL Approximate Value (Weighted). The WAV formula is designed to adjust for differences in era, so players from different eras can be compared on an equal footing. However, it's important to keep in mind that there may still be differences in rules, playing styles, and equipment that can affect a player's performance. Q: Are there any criticisms of NFL Approximate Value (Weighted)? A: Like any statistic, there are criticisms of NFL Approximate Value (Weighted). Some analysts argue that it doesn't take into account intangible factors like leadership, work ethic, or clutch performance. Others argue that the formula weights certain factors too heavily or too lightly. Q: Who has the highest WAV score for a single season? A: The highest WAV score for a single season belongs to Tom Brady, who had a WAV of 34 in the 2007 season. That season, he threw for 4,806 yards and 50 touchdowns while leading the New England Patriots to an undefeated regular season. Q: Can NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) predict future success? A: NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) is a retrospective metric that evaluates a player's past performance. While it can be used to identify trends and make informed decisions, it's not designed to predict future success with certainty. There are many factors that can affect a player's performance, including injuries, coaching changes, and roster turnover. Conclusion: NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) is a powerful tool for evaluating and comparing NFL players across eras. It considers various factors and weights them based on a player's position and era played. While there are criticisms of the metric, it's widely used by analysts, fans, and team executives to make informed decisions. The top-ranked NFL players of all time based on Weighted Approximate Value are a who's who of NFL legends, including Jerry Rice, Tom Brady, and Peyton Manning. While these rankings are subjective, they provide valuable insights into the careers of some of the greatest players to step onto the gridiron. Whether you're a die-hard football fan or a casual observer, understanding NFL Approximate Value (Weighted) can help you appreciate the skills and achievements of the players who have shaped the sport over the years.
- Texas RB Bijan Robinson 2023 NFL Draft Profile
Name: Bijan Robinson Position: Running Back College: University of Texas Height: 5'11" Weight : 215 lbs At 5'11" and 215 lbs, Bijan Robinson possesses elite speed, agility, and power for a player his size, making him a dangerous weapon with three-down versatility. Speed: Robinson has impressive speed for a player of his size. He can outrun defenders in the open field and turn the corner on outside runs. His breakaway speed makes him a threat to score every time he touches the ball, and his acceleration allows him to hit holes decisively and put pressure on the defense. Agility: Robinson's agility is one of his standout traits. He has quick feet and excellent change-of-direction ability, allowing him to make defenders miss in the open field. His lateral quickness is exceptional, enabling him to cut back across the grain and create big plays. Robinson's agility makes him a difficult player to contain, as he can easily change direction and accelerate. Explosiveness: Robinson is a highly explosive runner, capable of accelerating quickly to reach his top speed. This burst helps him hit holes more decisively, pressuring the second and third levels of the defense. His explosiveness also makes him a threat as a receiver and kick returner, allowing him to break off big plays and change the momentum of a game. Vision: Bijan Robinson possesses outstanding vision as a ball carrier. He consistently identifies running lanes and makes quick decisions, allowing him to maximize his opportunities. His ability to anticipate cutback lanes and set up his blocks contributes to his success as a runner. Contact Balance: Robinson's contact balance is excellent, as he routinely absorbs hits and maintains his balance to continue gaining tough yards. He is challenging to bring down on initial contact, often requiring multiple defenders to tackle him. This trait makes him effective in short-yardage and goal-line situations, as he can power through defenders to reach the endzone. Three-Down Versatility: Bijan Robinson has the skill set to be a three-down back in the NFL. He is a proficient pass-catcher, displaying natural hands and the ability to run routes effectively. He is also a willing and capable pass protector, providing value as both a receiver and a blocker on passing downs. Robinson's versatility makes him a valuable asset to any offense, as he can contribute in multiple ways. Play Style: Robinson's play style combines power, agility, and speed, making him a versatile and dangerous weapon on the field. He is equally effective between the tackles and on the perimeter, with the ability to break off big plays or grind out tough yardage when necessary. Robinson's unique combination of skills makes him a challenging player to defend, as he can attack a defense in various ways. Scheme Fit: Bijan Robinson has the versatility to fit into multiple offensive schemes in the NFL. He would excel in a zone-blocking scheme due to his vision, agility, and one-cut ability. He could also thrive in a power-based system, utilizing his size and strength to wear down defenses. Robinson's receiving skills make him a valuable asset in any offense incorporating running backs in the passing game. His versatility and adaptability make him a valuable asset to any NFL team, as he can excel in multiple offensive schemes. Player Comparisons: Robinson's skill set and play style have drawn comparisons to NFL running backs such as Todd Gurley and Dalvin Cook. Like Gurley, Robinson is a versatile weapon who can contribute in both the running and passing game. His size, speed, and agility are reminiscent of Cook, who has become one of the NFL's most dynamic runners. While it is premature to predict that Robinson will reach the level of these established stars, his potential is evident. Robinson has all the tools to become a star in the NFL, and his unique skill set makes him a valuable prospect in the upcoming draft. Conclusion: Bijan Robinson is an exciting prospect in the upcoming 2023 NFL draft, possessing a well-rounded skill set that makes him a versatile and dangerous player on the field. His speed, agility, explosiveness, vision, contact balance, and three-down versatility make him a valuable asset to any team. His unique combination of skills and potential for growth make him an intriguing prospect for NFL teams needing a dynamic running back. As Robinson continues to develop his game, his impact on the NFL could be significant.
- Ohio State WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba 2023 NFL Draft Profile
Name: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Position: Wide Receiver College: Ohio State University Height: 6'0" Weight : 196 lbs Speed: Jaxon Smith-Njigba possesses good speed for a wide receiver, enabling him to create separation and threaten defenses vertically. He may not be the fastest prospect in the draft, but his acceleration and top-end speed are sufficient for the NFL level. Agility: Smith-Njigba's agility is a significant asset to his game, as he showcases the ability to make sudden cuts and change direction quickly. His footwork and lateral quickness make him a difficult cover for opposing defensive backs, especially in the open field. Explosiveness: Smith-Njigba demonstrates impressive explosiveness off the line of scrimmage and out of his breaks. His ability to quickly accelerate enables him to create separation from defenders and capitalize on mismatches in coverage. Hands: Jaxon Smith-Njigba has reliable hands. He showcases excellent hand-eye coordination and an ability to make contested catches, which will serve him well at the next level. Route Running: Smith-Njigba is a polished route runner able to run a diverse route tree. He displays precise footwork and a strong understanding of leverage and timing, allowing him to create separation consistently. His attention to detail in route running sets him apart from many other prospects in the draft. Separation: Smith-Njigba's combination of speed, agility, and route-running savvy enables him to generate separation from defenders consistently. He effectively uses head fakes and subtle movements to keep defensive backs off balance, creating opportunities for him to get open downfield. After Catch Ability: Jaxon Smith-Njigba is dangerous after the catch, utilizing his agility and vision to make defenders miss in the open field. He has a knack for turning short passes into big gains, making him a valuable asset in any offensive scheme. Inside/Outside Versatility: Smith-Njigba's skill set allows him to be effective both as an outside receiver and in the slot. His route running and quickness make him a difficult matchup for defenders in the slot, while his size, hands, and downfield ability allow him to thrive on the outside. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Jaxon Smith-Njigba is a versatile and dynamic receiver who can contribute in a variety of roles within an offense. He would fit well in a West Coast-style offense, which emphasizes timing and precision in the passing game. Additionally, his inside/outside versatility and after-catch ability would make him an asset in a spread attack or an offense that employs heavy use of run-pass options (RPOs). Player Comparisons: Smith-Njigba's skill set and playing style draw comparisons to NFL wide receivers such as Keenan Allen and Tyler Lockett. Like Allen, Smith-Njigba is a precise route runner with strong hands and a knack for making contested catches. His versatility and ability to create yards after the catch are reminiscent of Lockett. While it remains to be seen if Smith-Njigba can reach the level of these established stars, he has the potential to become a productive receiver in the NFL with proper development and a supportive cast. Conclusion: Overall, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is an exciting wide receiver prospect with the speed, agility, and versatility to make an immediate impact in the NFL. His well-rounded skill set and ability to contribute in multiple facets of the game make him an appealing prospect for teams seeking a difference-maker at the wide receiver position.
- Alabama Edge Will Anderson Jr. 2023 NFL Draft Profile
Name: Will Anderson Jr. Position: Edge/Linebacker College: University of Alabama Height: 6'4" Weight: 253 lbs Speed: Will Anderson Jr. possesses above-average speed for an edge rusher, which allows him to chase down plays from the backside and cover ground effectively in the open field. His speed also contributes to his ability to threaten the edge and create pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Agility: Anderson displays impressive agility for a player of his size, showcasing lateral quickness and the ability to change direction smoothly. This attribute makes him difficult to block and allows him to evade blockers when attacking the line of scrimmage. Strength: Anderson is a strong, physical player who uses his power to set the edge against the run and generate consistent pressure on opposing QB's. He has a solid anchor and can disengage from blockers and make plays in the backfield. Explosiveness: Will Anderson Jr.'s explosiveness off the snap is one of his most significant assets, allowing him to create immediate pressure on opposing quarterbacks. He exhibits a quick first step and consistently wins off the line of scrimmage with his burst. Tackling: Anderson is a reliable tackler. He demonstrates excellent technique and understands how to utilize his length and strength to secure tackles in both the run game and when pursuing quarterbacks. Pass Rush Ability: Anderson's pass-rushing skills are among the best in the draft. He possesses a combination of speed, power, and technique that enables him to beat offensive linemen and create pressure consistently. He also displays an array of pass-rush moves and is adept at countering blockers' efforts to slow him down. Run Stop: Will Anderson Jr. effectively stops the run, as he displays discipline in maintaining gap integrity and setting the edge. His strength and ability to shed blocks allow him to be a force against the run. Football IQ: Anderson's football IQ is high, as he exhibits a strong understanding of offensive tendencies and how to exploit them. He reads plays well and is adept at diagnosing blocking schemes, allowing him to be in the right position to make plays. Man Coverage: While Anderson is primarily a pass rusher, he has demonstrated some ability in man coverage. His athleticism allows him to keep up with tight ends and running backs in short to intermediate routes. However, his coverage skills will likely not be a primary focus in the NFL. Zone Coverage: Anderson's zone coverage skills are still developing, but his size and athleticism give him the potential to contribute in this area. He has shown the ability to drop into short zones and read the quarterback's eyes, but further development in this area will be needed at the next level. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Will Anderson Jr. is a versatile and dynamic defender who can excel in multiple schemes. He would fit well in a 3-4 defensive scheme as an outside linebacker, where his pass-rushing prowess and athleticism could be utilized to their fullest. Alternatively, he could also contribute in a 4-3 scheme as a defensive end, using his speed and power to create pressure off the edge. Player Comparisons: Anderson's playing style draws comparisons to NFL pass rushers such as Von Miller and TJ Watt. Like Miller, Anderson showcases a combination of speed, agility, and technique, allowing him to be a consistent threat as a pass rusher. His high motor and versatility are reminiscent of Watt, who has become one of the league's premier edge defenders. Conclusion: Overall, Will Anderson Jr. is an exciting prospect with the speed, strength, and versatility to make an immediate impact in the NFL. His well-rounded skill set, combined with his high motor and football IQ, make him an appealing prospect for teams seeking a difference-maker on the defensive side of the ball. With proper development and a supportive cast, Anderson has the potential to become a disruptive force at the next level, terrorizing opposing quarterbacks and bolstering his team's pass rush for years to come.













