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Week one of the 2023 college football season is here. Below are the six matchups to watch in week one. Check back for more as we highlight the top 2024 NFL Draft prospects and their performances in these key matchups. The Top 6 College Football Week One Games Thursday, Aug. 31 No. 14 Utah vs. Florida | 8 p.m. | ESPN Saturday, Sept. 2 No. 17 TCU vs. Colorado | 12 p.m. | FOX South Carolina vs. No. 21 North Carolina (Charlotte, North Carolina) | 7:30 p.m. | ABC No. 7 Penn State vs. West Virginia | 7:30 p.m. | NBC Sunday, Sept. 3 No. 8 Florida State vs. No. 5 LSU (Orlando, Florida) | 7:30 p.m. | ABC Monday, Sept. 4 Duke vs. No. 9 Clemson | 8 p.m. | ESPN

The role of the tight end in football has undergone a significant transformation. Historically, tight ends were mainly blockers, aiding in quarterback protection and facilitating running lanes. Yet, in the modern NFL, the expectations for tight ends have broadened. While blocking remains essential, they're now also anticipated to be dynamic pass-catchers and playmakers. This shift can be attributed to the rise of spread offenses. These offenses frequently deploy four-wide receiver sets, necessitating an additional player for blocking. Given their size and strength advantage over wide receivers, tight ends fit this role perfectly. Moreover, spread offenses often position tight ends in the slot, allowing them to function as receivers or even running backs. This dual capability makes them invaluable assets. Today's tight ends are expected to be versatile. from the traditional in-line to the slot, backfield, and occasionally as fullbacks. Their responsibilities encompass both run-blocking and pass-protection. This multifaceted role demands tight ends to be athletic, possess reliable catching skills, and be proficient blockers. The recent emergence of generational TE's raises expectations. Standout players like Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and Darren Waller have further elevated the prominence of the tight end position. Their success underscores the potential of tight ends to excel as both receivers and blockers, reinforcing the position's significance in football. Early on, the 2024 NFL Draft TE rankings show a deep and talented group The evolving importance of the tight end position in the NFL and the talent in the 2024 NFL Draft ensures that teams seeking a foundational tight end will have talented options. The 2024 NFL Draft TE rankings among players with full grades and early scouting reports are as follows. Brock Bowers - Georgia Year: Junior Height: 6'4" Weight: 230 lbs Play Style/Scheme: Brock Bowers is a versatile, athletic tight end who can make plays in both the passing and running game. He has been compared to some of the best tight ends in the NFL, including George Kittle, Travis Kelce, and Darren Waller. Bowers would fit well in a scheme that values athletic, pass-catching tight ends and takes advantage of his abilities in the middle of the field and down the seam. Final Grade: Elite An elite prospect is a player who has the potential to be a difference-maker in the NFL. They have rare physical tools and athleticism and perform at a high level with ease and consistency. Ja'Tavion Sanders - Texas Year: Junior Height: 6'4" Weight: 249 lbs Play Style/Scheme: Jatavion Sanders is a versatile, athletic tight end who can make plays in both the passing and running game. He is similar to players like Travis Kelce, George Kittle, Jonnu Smith, and TJ Hockenson in that he is a big-bodied tight end who can make plays after the catch. He is also a good blocker in the run game. Final Grade: Near Elite A near-elite prospect is a player who is projected to become a significant contributor by their second year in the NFL. Brevyn Spann-Ford - Minnesota Year: Senior Height: 6'7" Weight: 270 lbs Play Style/Scheme: Brevyn Spann-Ford stands out as a versatile tight end, capable of adapting to multiple positions on the field. His playing style draws parallels with athletic tight ends like David Njoku and Mike Gesicki. Final Grade: High-End Starter Potential A high-end starter potential prospect is a player who is projected to be among the top starters on their team within the second or third year in the NFL. Theo Johnson - Penn State Year: Junior Height: 6'6" Weight: 250 lbs Play Style/Scheme: Theo Johnson is a versatile tight end adept at lining up in multiple positions. Johnson's playing style and capabilities draw parallels with athletic tight ends like Mark Andrews and Noah Fant. Final Grade: High-End Starter Potential A high-end starter potential prospect is a player who is projected to be among the top starters on their team within the second or third year in the NFL. Players we are in the process of finalizing their early grades and scouting reports: Luke Lachey - 6'5" - 253 lbs - Ceiling Grade: High-End Starter Potential Erick All - 6'5" - 255 lbs - Ceiling Grade: Mid-Level Starter Potential Bryson Nesbit - 6'5" - 235 lbs - Ceiling Grade: Mid-Level Starter Potential Brant Kuithe - 6'2" - 222 lbs - Ceiling Grade: Mid-Level Starter Potential Jaheim Bell - 6'3" - 230 lbs - Ceiling Grade: Mid-Level Starter Potential

Week 1 of the preseason is always exciting around the NFL, specifically for the rookies set to make their professional debuts. As the first-year players are set to begin their NFL careers, the quarterbacks are in the spotlight. Below is a quick review of each NFL Draft Rookie QB Debut in week one of the 2023 NFL preseason. Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers Draft Round: 1 (No. 1 overall) Performance: Young's debut was challenging, going 4 of 6 for 21 yards and taking a few big hits. He also took a hard hit on a completion to Adam Thielen. The Panthers didn't score on any of his three series. Young's resilience was evident, but his performance showed that there's room for growth as he adapts to the professional level. C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans Draft Round: 1 (No. 2 overall) Performance: Stroud's debut was less than ideal, finishing 2 of 4 for 13 yards with a 17.7 rating. An early interception to Jalen Mills on a third-and-long on the first possession of his NFL career highlighted a rough debut. Despite the rough start, Stroud's potential is undeniable, and he'll look to bounce back in the coming weeks. Anthony Richardson, Indianapolis Colts Draft Round: 1 (No. 4 overall) Performance: Richardson's debut was mixed, going 7 of 12 for 67 yards with an interception. He had a deep touchdown pass taken away when Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce couldn't haul the ball in. His interception came on the Colts' first possession, but his potential was evident in flashes. Will Levis, Tennessee Titans Draft Round: 2 (No. 33 overall) Performance: Levis entered the game in the second quarter for the Titans, relieving Malik Willis. He threw a game-ending interception in the final seconds of Saturday's loss to the Bears, finishing 9 of 14 for 85 yards (51.2 rating). Levis's performance was a mixed bag, but his confidence and ability to move the ball were promising. Hendon Hooker, Detroit Lions Draft Round: 3 (No. 68 overall) Performance: Hooker has missed all of training camp, recovering from ACL surgery, and did not play in the preseason opener. Jake Haener, New Orleans Saints Draft Round: 4 (No. 127 overall) Performance: Haener will make his debut for the Saints on Sunday against the Chiefs. Expectations are high for the young quarterback, and his performance will be eagerly anticipated. Stetson Bennett, Los Angeles Rams Draft Round: 4 (No. 128 overall) Performance: Bennett debuted in the second quarter for the Rams on Saturday night, relieving Brett Rypien. On his first possession, Bennett led the Rams on a 16-play, 75-yard touchdown drive, throwing an 11-yard touchdown pass to Puka Nacua. Bennett's poise and efficiency were impressive, finishing 6 of 11 for 53 yards and a touchdown. Aidan O'Connell, Las Vegas Raiders Draft Round: 4 (No. 135 overall) Performance: Aidan O'Connell had an excellent rookie debut. He looked poised, confident, and decisive from the pocket. AOC completed 15 of 18 throws for 141 yards, 1 TD pass, and a 117.8 rating. He is on my radar and will be a guy I am targeting on waivers in dynasty formats. Clayton Tune, Arizona Cardinals Draft Round: 5 (No. 139 overall) Performance: Tune went 13 of 23 for 135 yards with a touchdown and an interception on Friday. He was particularly impressive on the Cardinals' first touchdown drive of the preseason, going 6 of 7 for 67 yards and finding Kaden Davis on a 7-yard pass. Despite an interception on his first possession, Tune's performance solidified his position as the backup to Colt McCoy if Kyler Murray does not return early in the 2023 season. Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Cleveland Browns Draft Round: 5 (No. 140 overall) Performance: Thompson-Robinson impressed once again after entering the game in the third quarter Friday. He completed 9 of 10 passes for 101 yards, including a 7-yard touchdown pass to David Bell. Thompson-Robinson's accuracy and poise have made him a contender for Cleveland's No. 2 quarterback job. His game is translating, and seeing how he progresses from here will be interesting. Sean Clifford, Green Bay Packers Draft Round: 5 (No. 149 overall) Performance: Clifford lit up the stat sheet in his debut, going 20 of 26 for 208 yards. Despite two interceptions, the Packers scored 24 points in his nine possessions. Clifford's gunslinger mentality and experience at Penn State were evident, making him the clear frontrunner for the No. 2 quarterback job. Jaren Hall, Minnesota Vikings Draft Round: 5 (No. 164 overall) Performance: Hall struggled in his debut, going 6 of 14 for 37 yards and being pressured on seven of his 16 dropbacks. His performance was limited, with only one pass attempt over 10 yards downfield. Hall's development will be a project for the Vikings' coaching staff. Tanner McKee, Philadelphia Eagles Draft Round: 6 (No. 188 overall) Performance: McKee entered for the Eagles in the second quarter of Saturday's loss to the Ravens, going 10 of 20 for 148 yards. He's the clear frontrunner for Philadelphia's No. 3 quarterback job, showcasing crisp passes and confidence in the pocket. Max Duggan, Los Angeles Chargers Draft Round: 7 (No. 239 overall) Performance: Duggan completed 2 of 3 throws for 19 yards in his debut. Rookie QB Debut Quick Stats Roundup: Bryce Young: 4/6 (67%), 21 yards, 72.2 passer rating CJ Stroud: 2/4 (50%), 13 yards, 1 INT, 17.7 passer rating Anthony Richardson: 7/12 (58%), 67 yards, 1 INT, 39.2 passer rating Will Levis: 9/14 (64%), 85 yards, 1 INT, 51.2 passer rating Jake Haener: 10/17 (59%), 105 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 71.9 passer rating Stetson Bennett: 17/29 (59%), 191 yards, 1 TD, 89.9 passer rating Aidan O’Connell: 15/18 (83%), 141 yards, 1 TD, 117.8 passer rating Clayton Tune: 13/23 (57%), 135 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 70.0 passer rating Dorian Thompson-Robinson: 9/10 (90%), 102 yards, 1 TD, 142.5 passer rating Sean Clifford: 20/26 (77%), 208 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT, 80.3 passer rating Jaren Hall: 6/14 (43%), 37 yards, 50.3 passer rating Tanner McKee: 10/20 (50%), 148 yards, 74.6 passer rating Max Duggan: 2/3 (67%), 19 yards, 84.0 passer rating

Today, we will discuss the top 2023 college football WR's that we have an early grade for. These players will be eligible to enter the 2024 NFL Draft after the 2023 college football season. 2024 NFL Draft WR Rankings: A True Elite Player at the Top The 2024 NFL Draft WR rankings provide us with something that the 2023 draft class did not, and that is a true elite player at the top. Marvin Harrison Jr., to no one's surprise, is the top projected WR in the class and could elevate to the top player overall. 2022 WR Draft: Three Elite-Graded Prospects The 2022 WR draft provided us with three elite-graded WR prospects ahead of the draft and a handful of players with elite-level potential. The three elite 2022 pre-draft WR grades included Ohio State WR Garrett Wilson, Alabama WR and former Ohio State WR Jameson Williams, and Ohio State WR Chris Olave. The other WR's on the cusp of a pre-draft elite grade included USC WR Drake London, drafted by the Falcons; Georgia WR George Pickens, drafted by the Steelers; and Penn State WR Jahan Dotson, drafted by the Commanders. 2022 WR Draft Class: Competing to Become the Best Ever The 2022 WR draft class has a shot at competing to become the best ever. The class was deep and is proving that its elite tier players were legit, and the 2nd tier players are also legit, with two or three of them on the cusp of hitting the elite tier in their 2nd season. 2021 WR Draft Class: Deep Class with Elite Talent The 2021 WR draft class is also in the same conversation as the 2022 class. It was also a deep class with elite talent at the top, starting with LSU WR Ja'Marr Chase, drafted by the Bengals; Alabama WR's DeVonta Smith and Jalen Waddle received elite predraft grades and were ranked in the top ten on the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft board. The next tier in the class included Minnesota WR Rashod Bateman, drafted by the Baltimore Ravens; Ole Miss WR Elijah Moore drafted by the Jets; and Florida WR Kadarius Toney drafted by the Giants. 2023 NFL Draft Class: Depth with No True Front-Runner The 2023 NFL Draft Class provided depth with no true front-runner at the top. Ohio State WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba was close to an elite grade; TCU WR Quentin Johnston and USC WR Jordan Addison followed him. Boston College WR Zay Flowers is also in the conversation of near-elite potential. The Recent Benchmark: 2014 WR Draft Class The WR draft class that every recent WR class is compared to is the 2014 class. The 2014 class produced Mike Evans, Davante Adams, Sammy Watkins, Allen Robinson, and Brandin Cooks. Below is a list of top early grades ranked from the highest to the lowest. Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (6’4”, 205 lbs) Ceiling Grade: Elite Player Comparisons: Keenan Allen, A.J. Green, Michael Thomas X receiver can play all over the formation. He is not a burner, but his route running and ability to separate is why he is considered elite. Play Style/Scheme: Marvin Harrison Jr.'s play style is dynamic and adaptable to various offensive strategies. His exceptional route running and ability to create separation mirror the skills of distinguished NFL receivers like Keenan Allen, AJ Green, and Michael Thomas. Harrison Jr. consistently creates explosive plays by exploiting defensive weaknesses. His strong hands, precision in route running, and capacity for big plays make him a valuable asset in any offensive scheme. LSU WR Malik Nabers (6'0", 195 lbs) Ceiling Grade: Near Elite Player Comparisons: Garrett Wilson, Odell Beckham Jr., Daesean Hamilton He can play the X role or flip inside as needed. His route running and explosiveness in and out of his breaks are what separates him. Play Style/Scheme: Malik Nabers showcases a versatile play style, with the capability to perform both inside and outside. He possesses commendable route-running skills and the ability to create separation from defenders, making him a potent receiver. This capacity for versatility and adaptability mirrors the traits of NFL receivers such as Garrett Wilson, Odell Beckham Jr., and Daesean Hamilton. Nabers excels in short passes and timing routes, making him a good fit for offenses that emphasize these strategies. His ability to create plays after the catch and his adaptability to various offensive strategies make him a promising asset for any team. Texas WR Xavier Worthy (6'1", 170 lbs) Ceiling Grade: Near Elite Player Comparisons: DeSean Jackson, Will Fuller, Marquise Brown A slot or off-ball move receiver. Worthy will be used similarly to Tyreek Hill to stretch the field and has the route running chops to work underneath. Play Style/Scheme: Xavier Worthy has the potential to excel in a vertical-oriented offense due to his game-changing speed and capacity to stretch defenses. His skill in route-running and speed makes him a suitable fit for a slot receiver role, while his return skills could provide a valuable boost to a team's special teams. His play style mirrors elements from Hill, Jackson, and Moore, despite not being physically imposing, he compensates with speed, agility, and separation ability. Worthy's skill set makes him an exciting prospect for the upcoming NFL draft. Ohio State WR Emeka Egbuka (6'1", 205 lbs) Ceiling Grade: Near Elite Player Comparisons: Deebo Samuel, Devin Duvernay, Bisi Johnson He has the size to be effective on the outside and will likely play in the slot or an off-ball role where he can be moved around as needed. His sudden route-running ability is a key to his success. Play Style/Scheme: Egbuka's skillset as a vertical receiver naturally aligns him with schemes that utilize the deep ball, enhancing his potential as a key playmaker for teams looking to orchestrate explosive plays. However, his football acumen and versatility transcend specific systems, making him an adaptable asset for various offensive strategies. His adept route-running and dependable hands make him a potent threat on any part of the field. Egbuka's playing style parallels those of Deebo Samuel, Devin Duvernay, and Bisi Johnson, making him a versatile asset for any team. Washington WR Rome Odunze (6'3", 212 lbs) Ceiling Grade: Near Elite Player Comparisons: Michael Thomas, Keenan Allen, Jordan Matthews A big-bodied outside receiver. He will likely become a full-time X. He is versatile enough to move around the formation. Play Style/Scheme: Rome Odunze is a versatile receiver who can fulfill various roles on the field. He excels as a possession receiver with a knack for winning on contested catches and creating plays after the catch. Odunze's size, athleticism, and playstyle draw parallels to NFL receivers like Michael Thomas, Keenan Allen, and Jordan Matthews. His proficiency with slants, curls, and other short routes makes him an ideal fit for offenses that utilize these strategies. With reliable hands and the ability to create separation from defenders, Odunze represents a promising prospect for the upcoming NFL draft. Oregon WR Troy Franklin (6'3", 180 lbs) Ceiling Grade: Near Elite Player Comparisons: DeVonta Smith, Chris Olave, Jordan Addison Franklin’s leaner build will land him in the slot or in an off-ball move WR role. Play Style/Scheme: Troy Franklin is a talented wide receiver with the speed, athleticism, and ball skills to be a star in the NFL. He would fit well in any offensive scheme, but he would be especially effective in a West Coast offense that relies on timing and precision. He would also be a good fit for an offense that uses a lot of screens and other short passes. Franklin has been compared to several receivers, but some of his most similar comparisons include Devonta Smith, Chris Olave, and Jordan Addison. All of these receivers are known for their speed, athleticism, and route-running ability. Franklin has the potential to be a first-round pick in the NFL Draft, but he will need to improve his blocking and durability.

The Evolving Role of the Running Back In recent times, the relevance of the running back (RB) position in the NFL has stirred considerable debate. Some analysts and fans argue that the role is losing significance, predicting its eventual irrelevance in the league. I'm here to dispel this misconception; far from dying out, the RB position is undergoing a significant transformation. Transition from Traditional to Versatile Fundamentally, the RB role remains an essential element in play design. However, the nature of the position is evolving from the traditional ground and pound, 20 touches-per-game backs to a multi-dimensional, versatile role. Today's running backs are less about straightforward, between-the-tackles use and increasingly geared towards functioning as receivers. A New Skillset Requirement This transformation doesn't mean every running back will mirror Christian McCaffrey's (CMC) level of skill. The versatility required of a modern running back varies significantly as each player brings a unique skill set to the field. For instance, while not all backs need to excel as receivers, posing a threat in that area can be a significant advantage. The Rise of the Multi-Purpose Back Being a multi-purpose back, able to line up in the slot in one play and shift to the backfield in the next, is what many NFL scouts are looking for these days. However, this evolution does not render power runners obsolete or reduce their importance if they are less efficient receivers. Instead, it implies that versatile running backs, who can perform multiple roles, are likely to be valued more highly in the modern game. The 2024 Draft Prospect Landscape That being said, we have evaluated several top running back prospects for the 2024 NFL Draft. Each of these players has distinct characteristics that make them unique; however, a common trait that they all share is their versatility as receivers. This attribute aligns perfectly with the changing demands of the RB position in the NFL, which is increasingly favoring youthful and versatile players. A Preliminary Assessment of Talent (2024 NFL Draft RB Grades) In this analysis, we have graded each player, providing a snapshot of their current standing. Please note that these 2024 NFL Draft RB grades are preliminary and subject to change in 2023, ahead of the 2024 NFL Draft. It's important to mention that many of these players are underclassmen with remaining eligibility, so there's a chance that a few may decide to continue their collegiate careers for an additional year. Nevertheless, let's dive into our current ratings for the running back position as we approach the 2023 college football season. Michigan RB Donovan Edwards (6'0", 204 lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 71.8 (Near Elite) Player Comparisons: Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey, James Cook Play Style and Scheme Fit: Donovan Edwards is a versatile running back who can do it all. He has great speed, agility, and explosiveness, similar to Alvin Kamara, Christian McCaffrey, and James Cook. He also has excellent vision and contact balance, which makes him a threat to score from anywhere on the field. Edwards is a three-down back who can contribute in both the running and passing game, and he would be a good fit for a zone-blocking scheme, where his vision and cut-back ability can be maximized. Michigan RB Blake Corum (5'8", 212 lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 73.5 (Near Elite) Player Comparisons: Kenneth Walker III, JK Dobbins, James Cook Play Style and Scheme Fit: Blake Corum is a versatile running back who is similar to Kenneth Walker, JK Dobbins, and Bryce Love. He is a small, physical, shifty back who is a threat to score from anywhere on the field. His versatility will allow him to adapt to various schemes, but he would be best utilized in a scheme that allows him to use his vision and patience to his advantage. However, Corum tore his ACL in 2022, so there are question marks about whether he will return to his true form in 2023. If he is able to fully recover, he has the potential to be a star in the NFL. Arkansas RB Raheim Sanders (6'2", 235 lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 67.9 (High-End Starter Level) Player Comparisons: Joe Mixon, DeMarco Murray, Larry Johnson Play Style and Scheme Fit: Sanders's play style is similar to that of Joe Mixon, DeMarco Murray, and Larry Johnson. He is a downhill runner combining good contact balance and big play ability. He is also a good receiver out of the backfield and can be used in a variety of offensive schemes. Sanders would be a good fit for a zone-blocking or power-running scheme. He is a versatile running back who can be used in a variety of ways. Wisconsin RB Braelon Allen (6'2", 240 lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 67.2 High-End Starter Potential Player Comparisons: Nick Chubb, Christopher Carson, AJ Dillon Play Style and Scheme Fit: Allen is a downhill runner, ideally suited for a power-running scheme. While he may not be a shifty runner, his strength and athleticism allow him to evade defenders effectively. His skills as a receiver out of the backfield further enhance his versatility, enabling his use in a variety of formations. In terms of player comparisons, Allen's running style and abilities draw parallels with those of Derrick Henry, Nick Chubb, and Jonathan Taylor. Ohio State RB TreVeyon Henderson (5'11", 215 lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 67.1 High-End Starter Starter Potential Player Comparisons: Todd Gurley, Sony Michel, Deejay Dallas Play Style and Scheme Fit: TreVeyon Henderson is a versatile running back who makes impactful plays on the ground and through the air. His speed, explosiveness, and agility allow him to dodge defenders and create opportunities. His reliable pass-catching skills from the backfield enhance his versatility, making him an ideal fit for a zone running scheme that capitalizes on his vision and decisiveness. Regarding player comparisons, Henderson's speed, explosiveness, and vision are comparable to Todd Gurley's. He also has some of the same qualities as Sony Michel and Deejay Dallas, such as his ability to make plays in space and his elusiveness. Clemson RB Will Shipley (5'11", 205 lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 66.3 High-End Starter Potential Player Comparisons: Christian McCaffrey, Justin Jackson, Wendell Smallwood Play Style and Scheme Fit: Shipley is a versatile running back that fits various schemes. He is a patient runner who can exploit a crease in the defense for explosive yards. Shipley is also a good receiver out of the backfield and can be used creatively to exploit mismatches. He is similar to players like Christian McCaffrey, Justin Jackson, and Wendell Smallwood in that he is a patient runner with good vision and receiving skills. He would be a good fit for a team that runs a lot of zone reads, RPO's and likes to utilize their RB's as receivers in creative ways. Florida State RB Trey Benson (6'1", 220 lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 67.2 High-End Starter Potential Player Comparisons: David Johnson, Kareem Hunt, Marlon Mack Play Style and Scheme Fit: Trey Benson is a patient, downhill runner best suited for a zone-blocking scheme. He has the vision and patience to find open running lanes and is also a good receiver out of the backfield. Benson is not a consistent home run threat but a reliable runner who can pick up yards after contact. He has been compared to David Johnson, Kareem Hunt, and Marlon Mack, all of whom are patient runners who excel in zone-blocking schemes.

As we approach the 2023 college football season, it's never too early to look ahead to the future of the quarterback position in the NFL. In today's analysis, we have compiled a preliminary ranking of the top projected quarterbacks based on our initial 2024 NFL Draft player grades. Click Here to Check out the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board About the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Grading Process Every player we grade goes through the same process that starts with a film analysis of at least four full games followed by an in-depth analytical review. During the analytical review, we examine basic stats like total pass yards, rush yards, and efficiency, followed by an in-depth review of their positional-based advanced stats. Every Data Point Matters We aim to grade every player as accurately as possible by assessing every data point we can access internally and externally. In addition, we also consider each player's performance in varying situations, including high-pressured situations, key moments, and opponent strength, to determine if the prospect rises to the occasion in critical moments just as often as they do vs. the lesser opponents or in less critical moments. Preliminary 2024 NFL Draft QB Rankings By Grade Tier This analysis provides an early, in-depth look at the QB position ahead of the 2023 college football season. We are highlighting the potential top 2024 NFL Draft prospects for whom we have a grade thus far. The analysis includes each quarterback's play style, scheme fit, scouting report, player comparisons, and preliminary draft grade. While these rankings are subject to change as the season progresses, they provide an early glimpse into the potential future stars at the quarterback position. Let's dive into the analysis and see who tops the list. Near Elite Level 70-74 Nearly elite players are expected to become significant contributors to the team by their second year. Caleb Williams, USC (6′ 1″ 220lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 74.3 (Near Elite). Player Comparisons: Patrick Mahomes, Kyler Murray, Jalen Hurts. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Caleb Williams is an electrifying dual-threat signal caller who excels at dissecting defenses from the pocket while utilizing his legs to extend plays. His cannon-like arm and nimbleness make him a constant danger in the open field. Williams fits seamlessly into an offensive scheme that exploits his dynamic skill set, such as a rollout and option-heavy playbook, maximizing his mobility and arm strength. Scouting Report: Caleb Williams is one of the most exciting quarterback prospects in recent years. He possesses elite arm talent, mobility, and football IQ, making him a potential franchise quarterback in the NFL. His ability to fit into various offensive schemes and make plays under pressure adds to his value. With the right development, he has all the tools to succeed at the next level. Drake Maye, North Carolina (6′ 4″ 225lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 70.6 (Near Elite). Player Comparisons: Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, Trevor Lawrence. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Drake Maye excels in a spread offense that maximizes his dual-threat capabilities. His ability to make accurate throws and extend plays with his legs adds versatility to the offensive scheme. Maye's mobility and decision-making make him a threat both as a passer and a runner, allowing him to excel in a system that emphasizes creativity and adaptability. Scouting Report: Drake Maye's adaptability and physical stature draw comparisons to NFL quarterbacks like Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow. He delivers accurate throws from the pocket and improvises effectively on the move. Maye's football IQ and ability to quickly process information make him a potential leader of an NFL offense. His size, athleticism, and potential to operate complex offenses incorporating QB runs and RPOs resemble Trevor Lawrence's skill set. High-End Starter Potential 65-69 High-End Starter Potential Players are projected to be among the top starters on the team within the second or third year. Quinn Ewers, Texas (6′ 1″ 220lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 66.3 (High-End Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Jordan Love, Will Grier, Geno Smith. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Quinn Ewers would thrive in a West Coast offense, utilizing his mobility to extend plays and his arm strength to make all the necessary throws. With a strong arm, solid mobility, and accuracy, Ewers draws comparisons to Jordan Love, Will Grier, and Geno Smith. His ability to throw from multiple arm angles makes him difficult to defend, and his accuracy at all three field levels adds to his value. Scouting Report: Quinn Ewers has a strong arm and can make all necessary throws from the pocket or in off-script situations. While he possesses arm talent and accuracy, he must work on consistency and decision-making. With his potential, Ewers could develop into a high-end starter in the NFL. Spencer Rattler, South Carolina (6′ 1″ 218lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 65.6 (High-End Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Baker Mayfield, Jimmy Garoppolo, Matt Corral. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Spencer Rattler's play style thrives in an Air Raid or spread offense, maximizing his downfield passing and off-script play-making ability. His accuracy and decision-making resemble a college version of Jimmy Garoppolo, while sharing similarities with Matt Corral regarding off-script nature and running ability. Rattler's versatility suits various offensive schemes that highlight his arm strength, accuracy, and mobility. Scouting Report: Spencer Rattler is a gifted quarterback with a strong arm, good accuracy, and the ability to extend plays with his legs. However, consistency issues and decision-making are areas of concern. With his arm talent and off-script ability, he is projected as a first-round pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Development and improved decision-making will be crucial for his success in the NFL. J.J. McCarthy, Michigan (6′ 3″ 200lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 65.5 (High-End Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Justin Fields, Zach Wilson, Kyle Allen. Play Style and Scheme Fit: J.J. McCarthy's skill set is compatible with spread or West Coast NFL offenses. His comparisons to Justin Fields, Zach Wilson, and Kyle Allen demonstrate a spectrum of potential outcomes. McCarthy displays impressive arm strength, good mobility, and a high football IQ. While he can make big-time off-platform throws, consistency in accuracy, pocket presence, and decision-making are areas for improvement. Scouting Report: J.J. McCarthy is a promising quarterback prospect out of Michigan, showcasing impressive arm strength, mobility, and a high football IQ. While he has the potential to become a starting quarterback in the NFL, he must improve his accuracy, pocket presence, and decision-making. His blend of physical skills, mental acumen, and leadership abilities could position him for significant impact at the professional level. Sam Hartman, Notre Dame (6′ 1″ 209lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 65.0 (High-End Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Mitch Trubisky, Baker Mayfield, Jimmy Garoppolo. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Sam Hartman is a pro-style quarterback with a strong arm and good accuracy, making him a good fit for a West Coast offense. His comparisons to Mitch Trubisky, Baker Mayfield, and Jimmy Garoppolo highlight his ability as a pocket passer with strong arm talent and accuracy. While not overly mobile, Hartman possesses good pocket presence and decision-making skills. Scouting Report: Sam Hartman is a quarterback with a strong arm and good accuracy. He is a two-time captain known for his competitive nature and toughness. While his deep accuracy can be inconsistent, his experience and poise under pressure bode well at the NFL level. However, his undersized stature and age as a 25-year-old rookie may raise concerns. With his wealth of experience, Hartman has the potential to be a mid-level starter in the NFL. Mid-Level Starter Potential 60-64 Mid-Level Starter Potential Players likely to be mid-level starters on the team, but with the potential to exceed expectations within 2-3 years. Michael Penix Jr., Washington (6′ 3″ 216lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 64.4 (Mid-Level Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Tua Tagovailoa, Deshaun Watson, Russell Wilson. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Michael Penix Jr.'s playing style suits offensive schemes that leverage run-pass options (RPOs) and play-action, similar to left-handed quarterbacks like Steve Young. His anticipatory throwing skills and resilience in high-pressure scenarios draw comparisons to Tua Tagovailoa and Deshaun Watson. Penix would fit a West Coast offense emphasizing short to medium passes with a strong running game. Scouting Report: Michael Penix Jr. is a highly promising quarterback prospect with excellent arm strength, mobility, and off-script creativity. He excels at making anticipatory throws but needs improvement in ball placement and overall accuracy, especially on the move. Despite these areas for development, Penix's raw potential suggests he could become a starting quarterback in the NFL. Bo Nix, Oregon (6′ 2″ 214lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 62.5 (Mid-Level Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Jalen Hurts, Ryan Tannehill, Gardner Minshew. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Bo Nix is a dual-threat quarterback with a strong arm and good mobility. Comparisons to Jalen Hurts, Gardner Minshew, and Ryan Tannehill highlight his mobile passer attributes. Nix's fit lies in a spread offense that allows him to utilize his mobility, but he must improve consistency and decision-making to succeed at the NFL level. Scouting Report: Bo Nix has good mechanics with a quick release and the ability to throw from various platforms. However, inconsistent footwork can lead to accuracy issues. He possesses a good football IQ, reads defenses well, and rarely makes costly mistakes. Nix has a strong arm, good accuracy on all three field levels, and the ability to make throws with anticipation. While not the fastest quarterback, he is an agile athlete who can move around the pocket and make throws on the run. He is a good scrambler and can gain yards with his legs. Low-Level Starter Potential 55-59 Low-Level Starter Potential Players expected to be lower-level starters or high-level backups with some elite qualities. Development over 2-3 years is anticipated. Jayden Daniels, LSU (6′ 3″ 200lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 59.3 (Low-Level Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor, Deshaun Watson. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Jayden Daniels is a dual-threat quarterback who excels in a spread offense. Comparisons to Deshaun Watson, Tyrod Taylor, and Justin Fields highlight his mobility and arm strength. While he has the potential to be a good NFL player, Daniels needs to improve his accuracy to reach the level of success of those quarterbacks. Scouting Report: Jayden Daniels is an archetype of a dual-threat quarterback, utilizing his running ability to create passing opportunities. He is comfortable on the move, whether it's designed QB-run plays or changing launch points, and can evade the pocket to locate open receivers. Daniels exhibits the ability to tuck the football and gain yardage with his legs when necessary. However, his consistency and accuracy when throwing from the pocket and across all field levels require improvement. His execution in the pocket and decision-making based on defensive reads need more refinement. Jordan Travis, Florida State (6′ 1″ 212lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 59.3 (Low-Level Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Lamar Jackson, Justin Fields, Tyrod Taylor. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Jordan Travis is a dual-threat quarterback with a play style similar to Justin Fields, Lamar Jackson, and Tyrod Taylor. He poses a threat to run the ball on every dropback and has a strong arm as a passer. Travis would be a good fit for a spread offense that allows quarterbacks to use their mobility to create plays both through the air and on the ground. Scouting Report: Jordan Travis excels in creating plays off-script, especially when escaping the pocket. His dual-threat ability allows him to run effectively and throw accurately on the move. However, his inconsistent lower-half mechanics can lead to accuracy issues. Travis needs to improve these mechanics to capitalize on his intriguing skill set. Joe Milton, Tennessee (6′ 5″ 243lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 58.6 (Low-Level Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Byron Leftwich, Josh Freeman, Cardale Jones. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Joe Milton is a pocket passer with the athleticism to extend plays and move out of the pocket. With a strong arm and flashes of good accuracy, he shows potential in making every requisite NFL throw. His ability to throw on the move makes him effective in a system allowing quarterback movement and improvisation. Scouting Report: Joe Milton presents an intriguing prospect at the quarterback position with natural athleticism and arm strength. While his college career has had its ups and downs, he has shown a quick release, good accuracy on shorter throws, and the ability to throw accurately on the move. However, consistency, decision-making, and mechanics are areas that require improvement. With his potential, Milton could develop into a starter in the NFL. Riley Leonard, Duke (6′ 4″ 210lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 58.1 (Low-Level Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Daniel Jones, Jalen Hurts, Ryan Tannehill. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Riley Leonard thrives in a spread offense that maximizes his dual-threat capabilities. Comparisons to Daniel Jones, Jalen Hurts, and Ryan Tannehill showcase his mobility and arm strength. However, Leonard must work on consistency and decision-making to reach their levels of success. Scouting Report: Riley Leonard possesses dual-threat ability, a strong arm, and the prototypical size for the quarterback position. While he is an improving decision-maker, he must work on consistency, accuracy, and going through progressions. With refinement and coaching, Leonard has the potential to become a valuable asset in the NFL. Jeff Sims, Nebraska (6′ 4″ 220lbs) Preliminary Draft Grade: 55.6 (Low-Level Starter Potential). Player Comparisons: Dak Prescott, Hendon Hooker, Jordan Love. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Jeff Sims is a dual-threat quarterback who thrives in a spread offense, utilizing both his passing and running abilities effectively. Comparisons to Dak Prescott, Hendon Hooker, and Jordan Love highlight his mobility and arm strength. While Sims has the potential to be a good NFL player, improvements in accuracy and decision-making are necessary for his success. Scouting Report: Jeff Sims is a talented quarterback prospect with dual-threat ability, a strong arm, and the prototypical size for the position. He exhibits the accuracy, ball placement, and tight-window throwing ability needed at the next level. However, his deep ball consistency, anticipation on longer throws, decision-making based on defensive reads, and footwork when under pressure need development. Sims can become a valuable NFL asset with refinement and coaching. Conclusion 2024 NFL Draft QB Rankings As we analyze the preliminary 2024 NFL Draft QB rankings, it's clear that the quarterback position is brimming with talent and potential. From electrifying dual-threat quarterbacks like Caleb Williams and Drake Maye to strong-armed pocket passers like Quinn Ewers and Spencer Rattler, there is a diverse range of skill sets and play styles among these prospects. While these rankings provide an early assessment, it's important to remember that the upcoming college football season will significantly shape these quarterbacks' final evaluations and draft grades . As fans and scouts eagerly await the 2024 NFL Draft, the performances and development of these quarterbacks will undoubtedly be closely monitored, with the potential for additional rising stars to emerge.

At Football Scout 365, we believe in embodying Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) in everything we do. DEI isn't a standalone initiative; it is a value at the core of our organization that influences our everyday decision-making. Our commitment is to foster a world-class, inclusive, and equitable organization representing our diverse community and setting a precedent in the professional football landscape. Committed to Building a Diverse Team We prioritize creating an environment of belonging for all our employees, regardless of their social identity. We are committed to building diverse teams, focusing particularly on groups underrepresented in our workforce. Our leadership is diverse, instilling confidence in our employees that paths to advancement are open to everyone, regardless of their background. Employee Retention & Growth Employee retention and growth are vital to our sustainable DEI strategy. We actively support our employee's career development and ensure that our talent systems and processes are equitable. We strive to ensure that every employee has the opportunity to grow within Football Scout 365 and feel valued in their role. Inclusive Recruiting Our inclusive recruiting practices play a crucial role in furthering our DEI strategy. We take a holistic view of diversity, focusing on various dimensions such as race, ethnicity, gender identity, age, diverse abilities, and more. We partner with several organizations to build and nurture diverse talent networks, and we systematically approach our hiring processes to ensure consistency and mitigate bias. Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) Looking ahead, we continue our commitment to DEI, acknowledging its vital role in creating equitable opportunities for all our members. We aspire to significantly impact and provide economic opportunity for every current or future Football Scout 365 employee, partner member, or subscriber. Join us on our journey towards a more diverse and inclusive organization as we strive to unlock the powerful future that lies ahead.

The Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board encompasses various components that provide in-depth analysis and valuable insights to keep the average fan well-informed and engaged in the NFL draft process. Here's a breakdown of what the Big Board includes and how each element can benefit fans: Click here to go to the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board In-Depth Player Scouting Reports: These reports offer detailed assessments of individual prospects, evaluating their performance, skills, and potential impact at the professional level. They provide comprehensive insights into a player's strengths, weaknesses, playing style, and overall evaluation. Play Style and Scheme Fit Analysis: This analysis explores how each player's skills and attributes align with different offensive or defensive schemes commonly used in the NFL. It helps fans understand how a player's play style and strengths can contribute to specific strategies, enhancing their understanding of how prospects may fit within different teams' systems. Player Comparisons: Comparing prospects to current or former NFL players helps fans gauge a prospect's potential and playing style in relation to established athletes. These comparisons provide valuable context and give fans an idea of the type of impact a prospect could have at the professional level. Strengths and Weaknesses: Evaluating a prospect's strengths and weaknesses allows fans to grasp their notable attributes and areas for improvement. This information provides a well-rounded perspective on a player's skill set and helps fans assess their potential impact on the field. Front Office Level NFL Draft Analysis At Your Fingertips The Big Board summarizes all the essential components of a player's scouting report, providing fans with a concise overview of the prospect's abilities, potential, and fit within the NFL. This summary serves as a quick reference point for fans who want a comprehensive understanding of a player's scouting report without delving into all the intricate details. Skip The Paralysis by Analysis, Get A Summarized View For Each NFL Draft Prospect By incorporating these elements, the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board empowers fans to stay informed about the top prospects entering the NFL Draft. It goes beyond basic statistics and offers detailed film-based insights that allow fans to appreciate the nuances of each player's game and envision their potential impact in professional football. Whether fans are discussing prospects with fellow enthusiasts or preparing for their dynasty fantasy football drafts , the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board equips them with the knowledge and understanding to actively engage in conversations and make informed predictions about their favorite teams' draft selections.

As fantasy football becomes more complex and competitive, leveraging every possible advantage during your draft is crucial to securing a winning team. One of the more sophisticated strategies for PPR (Points Per Reception) formats revolves around understanding and utilizing target shares for the WR (Wide Receiver) and TE (Tight End) positions (Spoiler, Only one TE makes today's list). You can probably guess the one TE. What Target Share Data Can Tell Us A player's target share or the percentage of team targets a player receives, can be a very revealing statistic. It provides: Insight into the player's role in the offense. Their rapport with the quarterback. Their potential for high-volume production. This information can paint a comprehensive picture of their expected role and output when paired with a player's projected fantasy points for the upcoming season. About the Tier-Based Fantasy Football Analysis This analysis focuses on the top-tier receivers based on their previous season's target share and projected target share for the 2023 season. We are breaking down the receivers using tiers as follows: Tier 1 WR-TE: Measuring the best value among the top projected pass catchers, 230+ PPR, 24%+ target share Tier 2 WR-TE: Measuring the best value among the top projected pass catchers, 200-229 PPR, 24%+ target share Tier 3 WR-TE: Measuring the best value among the top projected pass catchers, 170-199 PPR, 24%+ target share Tier 4 WR-TE: Measuring the best value among the top projected pass catchers, 150-169 PPR, 24%+ target share By comparing their 2022 target share to their projected 2023 target share, we can identify potential shifts in offensive strategy, predict changes in player usage, and highlight those players poised for a breakout season. In the highly competitive world of fantasy football, these nuances and data-driven strategies can give you the edge over your opponents and help you dominate your draft. So let's dive into the data and identify the top-tier receivers for your 2023 PPR fantasy drafts. Tier 1 WR: Measuring the best value among the top projected pass catchers, 230+ PPR, 24%+ target share Tyreek Hill, MIA WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 241.56 2022 Player Target Share %: 31% 2023 Projected Target Share: 32% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 6.3 Tyreek Hill has averaged playing in 15 games per season over his six-year professional career. Hill is projected to earn 102 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.38 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 243. However, if Hill plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 269.34, indicating a difference of 26.41 points. His 2022 target share was 31%, projected to increase to 32% in 2023. Justin Jefferson, MIN WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 254.96 2022 Player Target Share %: 27% 2023 Projected Target Share: 28% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 1 Justin Jefferson has averaged playing 17 games per season over his three-year professional career. Jefferson is projected to have 112 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.40 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 268. Even with a full 17-game season, this projection could only slightly increase to 273.53, indicating a minimal difference of 5.36 points. His 2022 target share was 27%, and it's projected to increase to 28% in 2023 slightly. Ja'Marr Chase, CIN WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 251.26 2022 Player Target Share %: 23% 2023 Projected Target Share: 25% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 2.7 Ja'Marr Chase has averaged playing in 15 games per season over his two-year professional career. Chase is projected to have 90 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.61 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 235. However, if Chase plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 274.93, indicating a difference of 40.43 points. His 2022 target share was 23%, projected to increase to 25% in 2023. Cooper Kupp, LA WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 242.36 2022 Player Target Share %: 20% 2023 Projected Target Share: 24% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 5.7 Cooper Kupp has averaged playing in 13 games per season over his six-year professional career. Kupp is projected to have 89 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.23 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 197. However, if Kupp plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 251.2, indicating a significant difference of 54.18 points. His 2022 target share was 20%, projected to increase to 24% in 2023. Tier 1 WR Summary Analysis Tyreek Hill, MIA WR (Good Value, Low Risk) Tyreek Hill's six-year professional career average of playing in 15 games per season and earning 2.38 points per opportunity presents a solid foundation. His projected increase in target share in 2023 and high projected fantasy points suggest a strong performance. Hill offers good value with an ADP of 6.3 and is typically picked in the first round. He is a low-risk option due to his consistent performance over the years. Justin Jefferson, MIN WR (Best Value, Low Risk) Justin Jefferson is a top performer, having played a full 17 games per season over his three-year professional career and earning 2.40 points per opportunity. Jefferson is expected to perform well with a slight projected increase in target share in 2023 and high projected fantasy points. An ADP of 1 means he is often the first pick, making him the best value among these players, and his consistent performance over the years suggests low risk. Ja'Marr Chase, CIN WR (Good Value, Medium Risk) Ja'Marr Chase has a two-year professional career average of playing in 15 games per season and earning 2.61 points per opportunity. His projected increase in target share in 2023 and high projected fantasy points suggest a strong performance. With an ADP of 2.7, Chase is often picked in the early rounds, offering good value. However, his shorter career and substantial difference in potential points between a full season and his average games played suggest a medium level of risk. Cooper Kupp, LA WR (Great Value, High Risk) Cooper Kupp, averages 13 games per season since 2017, earning 2.23 points per opportunity. His projected increase in target share in 2023 and potential high points, if he can play an entire season, suggest a strong season could be ahead. With an ADP of 5.7, Kupp offers excellent value and is typically picked in the first round. His significant difference in potential points between an entire season and his average games played indicates a high level of risk. Tier 2 WR: Measuring the best value among the top projected pass catchers, 200-230 PPR, 24%+ target share Davante Adams, LV WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 219.88 2022 Player Target Share %: 32% 2023 Projected Target Share: 26% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 13 Davante Adams has averaged playing in 15 games per season since 2017. Adams is projected to have 102 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.46 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 250. However, if Adams plays an entire 17-game season, this projection could increase to 289.77, indicating a difference of 39.77 points. His 2022 target share was 32%, but it's projected to decrease to 26% in 2023. CeeDee Lamb, DAL WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 221.15 2022 Player Target Share %: 28% 2023 Projected Target Share: 28% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 12 CeeDee Lamb has averaged playing in 16 games per season over his three-year professional career. Lamb is projected to have 96 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.13 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 205. However, if Lamb plays an entire 17-game season, this projection could increase to 213.75, indicating a slight difference of 8.38 points. His target share is projected to remain consistent at 28%. Stefon Diggs, BUF WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 215.52 2022 Player Target Share %: 27% 2023 Projected Target Share: 26% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 10.7 Stefon Diggs has averaged playing in 16 games per season. Diggs is projected to have 99 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.24 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 221. However, if Diggs plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 242.75, indicating a difference of 21.42 points. His target share is projected to slightly decrease from 27% in 2022 to 26% in 2023. Travis Kelce, KC TE Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 228.89 2022 Player Target Share %: 26% 2023 Projected Target Share: 24% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 5.7 Travis Kelce has averaged playing in 16 games per season over since 2017. Kelce is projected to have 100 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.32 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 231. However, if Kelce plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 248.22, indicating a difference of 17.03 points. His target share is projected to slightly decrease from 26% in 2022 to 24% in 2023. Tier 2 WR Summary Analysis Davante Adams, LV WR (Good Value, Low Risk) Davante Adams is a reliable choice averaging 15 games played per season and earning 2.46 points per opportunity. His projected decrease in target share in 2023 is something to be aware of, but his high projected fantasy points and ADP of 13 suggest he is a good value pick with low risk. CeeDee Lamb, DAL WR (Good Value, Low Risk) CeeDee Lamb, with his three-year professional career average of playing in 16 games per season and 2.13 points per opportunity, is a consistent performer. His projected fantasy points for 2023 and steady target share suggest he is a low-risk option. With an ADP of 12, Lamb is usually picked in the earlier rounds but still provides good value. Stefon Diggs, BUF WR (Good Value, Low Risk) Stefon Diggs averages 16 games played per season and earns 2.24 points per opportunity. His projected fantasy points for 2023 and slight decrease in target share suggest a solid, low-risk performance. His ADP of 10.7 implies he is often picked in the earlier rounds, but still provides good value. Travis Kelce, KC TE (Best Value, Low Risk) Travis Kelce, since 2017, averages 16 games played per season and 2.32 points per opportunity. His slight projected decrease in target share in 2023 is not significantly concerning, and his high projected fantasy points suggest strong performance. With an ADP of 5.7, Kelce is often picked in the first round, offering the best value among these players. Tier 3 WR: Measuring the best value among the top projected pass catchers, 170-199 PPR, 24%+ target share Chris Olave, NO WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 185.70 2022 Player Target Share %: 23% 2023 Projected Target Share: 28% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 28.3 In his short one-year professional career, Chris Olave played in 15 games in 2022. Olave is projected to have 72 opportunities this season, averaging 2.28 points per opportunity. His projected fantasy points, based on these stats, would be 164. If Olave plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 186.32, a difference of 21.92 points. His target share is projected to increase from 23% in 2022 to 28% in 2023. Garrett Wilson, NYJ WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 183.17 2022 Player Target Share %: 25% 2023 Projected Target Share: 24% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 19.3 Garrett Wilson has played a full 17 games in his one-year NFL career. Wilson is projected to have 87 opportunities this season, with an average of 2.03 points per opportunity. His projected fantasy points, based on these stats, would be 176. If Wilson plays a full 17-game season, this projection remains consistent at 176.20, indicating no difference. His target share is projected to slightly decrease from 25% in 2022 to 24% in 2023. Terry McLaurin, WAS WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 173.81 2022 Player Target Share %: 23% 2023 Projected Target Share: 25% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 48.7 Terry McLaurin has averaged playing in 16 games per season over his four-year professional career. McLaurin is projected to have 77 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.30 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 178. However, if McLaurin plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 191.78, indicating a difference of 14.10 points. His target share is projected to slightly increase from 23% in 2022 to 25% in 2023. Jaylen Waddle, MIA WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 190.83 2022 Player Target Share %: 21% 2023 Projected Target Share: 25% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 22 Jaylen Waddle has played in 17 games per season over his two-year professional career. Waddle is projected to have 92 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.28 points per opportunity. His projected fantasy points, based on these averages, would be 210. If Waddle plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 216.11, indicating a small difference of 6.36 points. His target share is projected to increase from 21% in 2022 to 25% in 2023. Tier 3 WR Summary Analysis Chris Olave, NO WR (Good Value, High Reward) Chris Olave's short one-year career has seen him play in 15 games per season on average, earning 2.28 points per opportunity. His projected fantasy points for 2023 and the expected increase in target share suggest a potential for high rewards. With an ADP of 28.3, Olave is often selected in the middle rounds of the draft, offering good value. Garrett Wilson, NYJ WR (Good Value, Low Risk) Garrett Wilson's one-year career has seen him play a full 17 games, earning 2.03 points per opportunity. His projected fantasy points for 2023 and the slight decrease in target share suggest a solid, low-risk performance. His ADP of 19.3 implies he is often picked in the earlier rounds, but still provides good value. Terry McLaurin, WAS WR (Great Value, Moderate Risk) Terry McLaurin, with a four-year career average of playing in 16 games per season and 2.30 points per opportunity, presents a moderate risk due to slight inconsistency. However, his 2023 projected fantasy points and the slight increase in target share suggest a potentially stronger performance. With an ADP of 48.7, McLaurin offers great value as he's often selected in the later rounds of the draft. Jaylen Waddle, MIA WR (Good Value, Low Risk) Jaylen Waddle's two-year career has seen him play a full 17 games per season, earning 2.28 points per opportunity. His projected fantasy points for 2023 and the expected increase in target share suggest a consistent, low-risk performance. His ADP of 22 implies he is often picked in the earlier rounds but still provides good value. Tier 4 WR: Measuring the best value among the top projected pass catchers, 150-169 PPR, 24%+ target share Drake London, ATL WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 163.24 2022 Player Target Share %: 29% 2023 Projected Target Share: 37% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 55.3 In his one-year professional career, Drake London has played a full 17 games. London is projected to have 72 opportunities this season, with an average of 2.04 points per opportunity. His projected fantasy points, based on these stats, would be 147. If London plays a full 17-game season, this projection remains consistent at 146.60, indicating virtually no difference. His target share is projected to increase significantly from 29% in 2022 to 37% in 2023. D.J. Moore, CHI WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 168.00 2022 Player Target Share %: 32% 2023 Projected Target Share: 27% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 51.3 D.J. Moore has averaged playing in 16 games per season over his five-year professional career. Moore is projected to have 80 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 2.14 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 172. However, if Moore plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 182.84, indicating a difference of 10.76 points. His target share is projected to decrease from 32% in 2022 to 27% in 2023. Diontae Johnson, PIT WR Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 152.33 2022 Player Target Share %: 29% 2023 Projected Target Share: 25% Current Average Draft Position (ADP): 70 Diontae Johnson has averaged playing in 16 games per season over his four-year professional career. Johnson is projected to have 90 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 1.86 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 167. If Johnson plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 177.44, indicating a difference of 10.44 points. His target share is projected to decrease from 29% in 2022 to 25% in 2023. Tier 4 WR Summary Analysis Drake London, ATL WR (Good Value, Low Risk) Drake London, with only one year in his professional career, has already shown promising performance by playing a full 17 games and averaging 2.04 points per opportunity. His projected significant increase in target share in 2023 from 29% to 37% indicates a potentially strong performance. London offers good value with an ADP of 55.3 and is typically picked in the mid-rounds. He is a low-risk option due to his consistent performance in his first year. D.J. Moore, CHI WR (Best Value, Medium Risk) D.J. Moore has a five-year professional career average of playing in 16 games per season and earning 2.14 points per opportunity. His projected decrease in target share in 2023 from 32% to 27% may impact his performance. However, Moore offers great value with an ADP of 51.3 and is typically picked in the mid-rounds. The difference in potential points between a full season and his average games played suggests a medium level of risk. Diontae Johnson, PIT WR (Great Value, High Risk) Diontae Johnson, with his four-year career average of playing in 16 games per season and earning 1.86 points per opportunity, offers the best value with an ADP of 70. However, his projected decrease in target share in 2023 from 29% to 25% and the difference in potential points between a full season and his average games played indicate a high level of risk. His lower projected fantasy points compared to the others also suggest a potential downside.

Analysis: Impact of Quarterback Run Game on Fantasy Football Value (2017-2022) The growing influence of the QB run game in fantasy football has become a focal point in recent years. By analyzing the data from 2017 through 2022, this article will explore whether QBs who frequently engage in the run game contribute to higher overall fantasy points, potentially indicating a greater fantasy value. Data Overview The table below compares the average fantasy points generated by QBs from the run game and their overall fantasy points from 2017 to 2022 season. The data shows a moderate increase in the contribution of the run game to total fantasy points over the years. From 2017 to 2022, the percentage of fantasy points generated from the run game increased from 13% to 19%. Comparing Top Performances To further investigate this trend, we evaluated the top ten fantasy performances from 2018 to 2022: This data suggests a trend where QBs achieve higher fantasy points with a higher percentage of points from the run game. Interestingly, this pattern seems more prominent in the top performances, with an average of 20% of the points stemming from the run game, compared to 14% when considering all QB performances. To identify the QBs driving this trend, we can consider individual players such as Lamar Jackson (2019), Justin Fields (2022), Jalen Hurts (2021 and 2022), and Josh Allen (2020, 2021, and 2022), who all showed high fantasy points from the run game, thereby contributing significantly to their overall fantasy points. Run Game Centric QBs Next, we focused on QBs who produced 100 or more of their total fantasy points through the run game. Here is a summary of the top 10 performances: The data reveals that their overall fantasy points increase considerably when QBs contribute significantly to the run game. The percentage of fantasy points derived from running reaches an impressive average of 39%. Conclusion The data from 2017 to 2022 indicates an evolving landscape for fantasy football QBs, where the ability to contribute to the run game is becoming increasingly crucial for higher fantasy value. While other factors, such as a team's offensive strategy, the strength of their offensive line, and individual QB skills, are essential, the running ability of a QB cannot be overlooked when drafting a successful fantasy team. Today's Analysis And What We are Looking To Identify Quantifying Quarterbacks Based on the Percentage of Fantasy Points Earned as a Runner: In 2022, Justin Fields stood out, scoring 162 of his 296 total fantasy points in the run game. This equates to 21% more fantasy points earned as a runner than a passer. Following Fields, Jalen Hurts scored 154 fantasy points as a runner, Josh Allen scored 118, and Daniel Jones added 112. Forecasting 2023 What Player Could Rival Lamar Jackson's 2019 MVP Performance? Early projections for 2023 suggest that the same names will continue to dominate as runners. One player who could reach MVP-level numbers in 2023 is Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields. The Bears' upgraded wide receiver core, particularly with the addition of D.J. Moore from the Carolina Panthers, positions Fields to advance as a passer in the NFL. Lamar Jackson could repeat his 2019 magic if he remains healthy while playing in a new offense with intentions of opening up the passing game. Jalen Hurts could also go to another level and elevate his game a step further. In my opinion, there is a better-than-good opportunity for someone to win the NFL MVP in 2023 because of their ability to run and pass at a high level. I am hedging on that player potentially being Justin Fields. 2023 Quarterback Projections Influenced by Rushing Capabilities Preliminary projections strongly indicate that quarterbacks who offer an additional running dimension will thrive. To succeed in fantasy football, it's crucial to identify when and where to draft these top-tier players and how to pinpoint the best value. In the following sections, I'll present my quarterback rankings in tiers alongside their current ADP to illustrate when and where these players might be available in a one-quarterback fantasy redraft. Tier 1 Dual Threat QB's Based On Career Production: QB's who have produced 30% or higher of their career fantasy points as a runner Jalen Hurts, PHI QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 371.95 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 42.2% ADP: 23 Jalen Hurts has averaged 15 games per season over his three-year career. Hurts is expected to have 470.3 opportunities for the upcoming season, providing an average of 0.66 points per opportunity. Based on his career averages, Hurts's projected fantasy points would total 311. However, if Hurts plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 352.62, indicating a difference of 41.48 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Hurts's final fantasy projection for 2023 reaches 371.95. Josh Allen, BUF QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 370.70 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 30.4% ADP: 20.7 In his five-year career, Josh Allen has averaged 15 games per season. Allen is anticipated to have 622.6 opportunities this season, with an average of 0.60 points per opportunity. Utilizing his career averages, Allen's fantasy points are projected to be 372. If Allen plays all 17 games of the season, the projection could rise to 410.86, marking a difference of 38.67 points. Allen's final fantasy projection for 2023, which incorporates his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, stands at 370.70. Lamar Jackson, BLT QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 339.64 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 40.7% ADP: 39 Throughout his five-year career, Lamar Jackson has averaged 14 games per season. This season, he is projected to have 476.4 opportunities with an average of 0.73 points per opportunity. Jackson's projected fantasy points using his career averages would amount to 348. If Jackson plays an entire 17-game season, this projection will increase to 422.58, illustrating a difference of 74.57 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Jackson's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 339.64. Justin Fields, CHI QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 319.43 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 47.5% ADP: 46.3 In his two-year professional career, Justin Fields has averaged 14 games per season. Fields is expected to have 409.5 opportunities this season, providing an average of 0.57 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 234. However, if Fields plays an entire 17-game season, this projection could increase to 294.91, indicating a difference of 60.72 points. When considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Fields's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 319.43. Tier 1 QB Summary Analysis Jalen Hurts, PHI QB (Bad Value, Safe Bet) Jalen Hurts, with a three-year career average of playing in 15 games per season and earning 0.66 points per opportunity, doesn't offer great value with an ADP of 23. However, his high percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards (42.2%) and the potential increase in points if he plays a full season suggest he's a safe bet, despite the higher draft cost. Josh Allen, BUF QB (Bad Value, Safe Bet) Josh Allen has a five-year career average of playing in 15 games per season and earning 0.60 points per opportunity. With an ADP of 20.7, Allen is another player who doesn't offer great value due to the high draft cost. Nevertheless, his decent percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards (30.4%) and the potential increase in points, if he plays a full season, make him another safe bet. Lamar Jackson, BLT QB (Great Value, High Reward) Lamar Jackson, with a five-year career average of playing in 14 games per season and earning 0.73 points per opportunity, offers great value with an ADP of 39. His high percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards (40.7%) and the significant potential increase in points if he plays a full season suggest he's a high reward player. Justin Fields, CHI QB (Great Value, High Risk, High Reward) Justin Fields, in his two-year professional career, has averaged playing in 14 games per season and earning 0.57 points per opportunity. With an ADP of 46.3, Fields offers great value. His high percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards (47.5%) and the considerable potential increase in points if he plays a full season suggest he's a high reward player. However, the difference in potential points between a full season and his average games played indicates a high level of risk. Tier 2 Dual Threat QB's Based On Career Production: QB's who have produced 20-29% of their career fantasy points as a runner. Deshaun Watson, CLV QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 306.48 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 22.2% ADP: 77.7 Deshaun Watson, in five years, averages 12 games per season. Watson is expected to have 452.4 opportunities this season, averaging 0.57 points per opportunity. If we base his projected fantasy points on these career averages, it will total 258. However, if Watson plays an entire 17-game season, the projection could increase to 365.15, making a difference of 107.40 points. After mixing his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Watson's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 306.48. Daniel Jones, NYG QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 294.67 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 26.6% ADP: 94.3 Daniel Jones, over his four-year professional career, averages 14 games per season. Jones is predicted to have 507.8 opportunities this season, averaging 0.45 points per opportunity. Jones's projected fantasy points would be 229 based on these career averages. If he plays an entire 17-game season, the projection could rise to 288.88, showing a difference of 59.48 points. Accounting for his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Jones's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 294.67. Kyler Murray, ARZ QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 214.36 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 29.7% ADP: 146 With a four-years under his belt, Kyler Murray averages 14 games per season. He might miss the early stage of the 2023 season from last year's ACL injury, but if healthy, Murray is expected to have 588.3 opportunities this season, averaging 0.54 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, Murray's projected fantasy points would be 316. If Murray plays a full 17-game season, the projection could rise to 377.10, showing a difference of 61.00 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Murray's current fantasy projection for 2023 is 214.36. Tier 2 QB Summary Analysis Deshaun Watson, CLV QB (Great Value, High Reward) Despite having a lower average of games played per season, Watson's high percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards and a significant potential increase in points with an entire season make him a great value pick. His projected 2023 fantasy points is 306.48, and given his ADP of 77.7, he offers a high reward for those willing to bet on him playing more games. Daniel Jones, NYG QB (Good Value, Safe Bet) With a higher average of games played per season and a substantial potential increase in points with a full season, Jones is a good value pick. His projected 2023 fantasy points is 294.67, and his ADP of 94.3 reflects a safe bet for consistent performance, mainly due to his high percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards. Kyler Murray, ARZ QB (Riskier Value, High Reward) Murray's value is a bit riskier due to his recent ACL injury and uncertainty with the Cardinals. However, his high percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards and potential increase in points with a full season could offer a high reward. His projected 2023 fantasy points is 214.36, and his ADP of 146 reflects the risk associated with his current situation. His value could significantly increase if he recovers well and secures his position. Tier 3 Dual Threat QB's Based On Career Production: QB's who have produced 11-19% of their career fantasy points as a runner. Patrick Mahomes, KC QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 376.12 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 11.8% ADP: 20.7 Patrick Mahomes has averaged 15 games per season over his six-year professional career. This season, he is projected to have 548.3 opportunities, with an average of 0.58 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, Mahomes' projected fantasy points would total 317. However, should he complete a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 404.07, creating a difference of 87.15 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Mahomes' final fantasy projection for 2023 is 376.12. Joe Burrow, CIN QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 346.67 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 12.7% ADP: 37.3 Over his three-year professional career, Joe Burrow has averaged 14 games per season. This season, Burrow is expected to have 560.7 opportunities, yielding an average of 0.51 points per opportunity. Burrow's projected fantasy points would be 287 based on these career averages. If he plays a full 17-game season, this projection could rise to 347.96, making a difference of 61.40 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Burrow's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 346.67. Justin Herbert, LAC QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 310.48 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 11.4% ADP: 50.7 In his three-year professional career, Justin Herbert averages 16 games per season. He's projected to have 712.7 opportunities this season, averaging 0.47 points per opportunity. If we base his projected fantasy points on these career averages, it would total 337. However, if Herbert plays a full 17-game season, the projection could increase to 351.10, showing a difference of 13.77 points. Upon considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Herbert's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 310.48. Trevor Lawrence, JAX QB Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 296.64 % of Fantasy Points from Rush Yds: 19.4% ADP: 59.3 With two years of NFL experience, Trevor Lawrence has proven durable. Lawrence is expected to have 660.0 opportunities this season, averaging 0.41 points per opportunity. These career averages show Lawrence's projected fantasy points would be 272. If he plays a full 17-game season, this projection will remain the same at 271.89, showing no difference. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Lawrence's final projected fantasy points in 2023 are 296.64. Tier 3 QB Summary Analysis Patrick Mahomes, KC QB (Bad Value, Safe Bet) Despite having a lower percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards compared to other dual-threat QBs, Mahomes' consistent performance and potential points increase with a full season make him a safe bet. However, his high ADP of 20.7 compared to his projected 2023 fantasy points of 376.12 might not offer the best value. Joe Burrow, CIN QB (Great Value, Safe Bet) With a decent percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards and a potentially significant increase in points with an entire season, Burrow offers excellent value. His projected 2023 fantasy points is 346.67, and his ADP of 37.3 reflects a safe bet for consistent performance. Justin Herbert, LAC QB (Good Value, Safe Bet) Herbert's lower percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards and smaller potential increase in points with a full season compared to other QBs make him a good value pick. His projected 2023 fantasy points is 310.48, and his ADP of 50.7 reflects a safe bet for consistent performance. Trevor Lawrence, JAX QB (Good Value, High Risk) Lawrence's high percentage of fantasy points from rushing yards offers good value, but his projection shows no increase in points with a full season, which is rare among dual-threat QBs. His projected 2023 fantasy points are 296.64, and his ADP of 59.3 reflects a high risk due to the uncertainty surrounding the Jaguars' offensive scheme and Lawrence's development. Summary Analysis 2023 Fantasy Football Dual Threat QB Tier Rankings In conclusion, the 2023 fantasy football quarterback tier analysis highlights the importance of considering a player's dual-threat ability, projected fantasy points, and Average Draft Position (ADP) when making draft decisions. Among the top-tier quarterbacks, Jalen Hurts and Josh Allen lead in projected fantasy points, while Justin Fields demonstrates a remarkable rushing ability and an improved WR core ; his ceiling is pretty high in 2023. Lamar Jackson offers the best balance between projected points and ADP, presenting excellent value. In the second tier, quarterbacks like Deshaun Watson and Daniel Jones are players with high rushing upside, Watson is the more elite thrower between him and Daniel Jones, but Watson has yet to prove he will return to form since his time in Houston. Despite his injury concerns, Kyler Murray's high potential makes him a risky but potentially rewarding choice. Finally, Patrick Mahomes shines with the highest projected fantasy points in the third tier of quarterbacks who have produced 11-19% of their career fantasy points as runners. However, considering ADP, Joe Burrow emerges as a prime pick, offering a compelling mix of value and performance.

The future of the running back position in the last decade has tilted towards unprecedented versatility, seeking athletes who embody a new kind of "positionless" play. Gone are the days of a pure rusher, limited to ground gains; the modern running back is an adaptable weapon, effective in multiple scenarios. Fans began to see the peak value of this shift during Le'Veon Bell's dynamic tenure with the Pittsburgh Steelers, a player who could run, catch, and block with equal prowess. This evolution then continued with Alvin Kamara, another dual-threat player whose ability to line up as a receiver added a new layer of complexity to the game. However, Christian McCaffrey stands as the epitome of this transformation. His ability to alternate between running back and receiver roles provides an offensive advantage and creates strategic mismatches that can dictate defensive personnel. McCaffrey's unique blend of skills challenges traditional defensive paradigms, signaling a promising and exciting future for the running back position. The 2023 NFL Draft provided a few more versatile running backs with positionless potential. Bijan Robinson headlined the RB class, drafted by the Atlanta Falcons at #8 overall, followed by Jahmyr Gibbs, a player with late first-round buzz expected to be drafted in the early 2nd; the Detroit Lions drafted Gibbs with their 12th overall pick. In this analysis, We will delve into the fantasy projections of the NFL's top running backs using three tiers. As everyone should know when you are competing in fantasy football PPR formats, the importance of drafting the highest volume players, especially the RB's, who can help you win your leagues is paramount. In recent years, the top targeted backs as far as total opportunities (or volume) include Austin Ekeler, Christian McCaffrey, and Alvin Kamara. These players are known for their positional versatility and significant contributions as receivers. By examining their average career fantasy points as receivers, the percentage of fantasy points attributed to their receiving abilities, average points per reception, current average draft positions (ADP), and projected opportunities and points per opportunity for the 2023 season, we can gain insights into their expected performances. Let's explore their individual statistics to determine their final fantasy projections for 2023. This analysis aims to identify the best value based on the current average draft position (ADP). By examining their projected fantasy points, career averages, and potential upside for the 2023 season, we aim to provide readers with valuable insights to navigate their fantasy drafts effectively. Our analysis will help readers make informed decisions and select the optimal option that maximizes their team's potential. Let's dive into the details and find the most advantageous choice to help you win your league(s). Tier 1: Fantasy Football Running Backs Running backs that average 40% or more of their total PPR points with a 2023 projected fantasy points total of 200 PPR pts or more. Austin Ekeler, LAC RB (Low Value, Safe Bet) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 276.75 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 119 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 55% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.83 Current ADP: 5.3 Austin Ekeler has played an average of 14 games per season in his six-year career. He is projected to have 257.7 opportunities this season, with an average of 1.07 points per opportunity. These career averages show Ekeler's projected fantasy points would be 215. However, if Ekeler completes a full 17-game season, this projection could rise to 254.74, indicating a difference of 39.96 points. When considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Ekeler's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 276.75. Christian McCaffrey, SF RB (Low value, Safe Bet) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 266.20 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 122 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 51% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.65 Current ADP: 2.3 Christian McCaffrey has averaged 13 games per season throughout his six-year professional career. McCaffrey is projected to have 273.2 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.97 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would total 238. However, if McCaffrey plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 324.22, creating a difference of 85.82 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, McCaffrey's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 266.20. Alvin Kamara, NO RB (Best Value, High Risk) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 202.93 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 120 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 47% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.68 Current ADP: 97.7 In his six-year career, Alvin Kamara averages 15 games per season. Kamara is expected to have 207.6 opportunities this season, providing an average of 0.98 points per opportunity. Using these career averages, Kamara's projected fantasy points would be 255. However, if Kamara completes a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 295.53, indicating a difference of 40.56 points. With his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats taken into account, Kamara's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 202.93. Tier 1: Summary Austin Ekeler, LAC RB (Low Value, Safe Bet) Ekeler's high receiving usage and solid career average points per reception make him a safe bet in PPR formats. He has a high projected point total for 2023, which aligns with his role as a dual-threat RB. However, with a high ADP of 5.3, you'll need to invest an early pick to secure him on your team, which may not offer the best value. Christian McCaffrey, SF RB (Low Value, Safe Bet) McCaffrey's average career points as a receiver and points per reception are impressive. His projected fantasy points for 2023 are also high, indicating that he's expected to perform well. However, with an ADP of 2.3, he's being selected very early in drafts, which might not yield the best value given the risks associated with injury. Alvin Kamara, NO RB (Best Value) Kamara's projected fantasy points for 2023 are the lowest of this group, but his relatively low ADP of 97.7 could make him a great value pick. His receiving usage and career average points per reception are strong, and his injury history is relatively minor. If he stays healthy and maintains his role in the Saints' offense, he could significantly outperform his ADP, making him the best value among these players. Tier 2: Fantasy Football Running Backs Running backs that average between 30-39% or more of their total PPR points with a 2023 projected fantasy points total of 200 PPR pts or more. Breece Hall, NYJ RB (Good Value, Medium Risk) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 242.81 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 37 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 35% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.96 Current ADP: 28.7 In his one-year career, Breece Hall played in seven games after succumbing to an ACL injury as a rookie. Hall is projected to have 223.4 opportunities this season, averaging 1.09 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 108. However, if Hall plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 261.31, indicating a difference of 153.71 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Hall's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 242.81. Saquon Barkley, NYG RB (Good Value, Medium Risk) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 227.67 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 71 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 37% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.43 Current ADP: 9.3 Saquon Barkley has averaged 12 games per season in his five-year professional career. He is expected to have 287.1 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.79 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, Barkley's projected fantasy points would be 190. However, if Barkley plays a full 17-game season, this projection could rise to 269.85, indicating a difference of 79.37 points. Taking his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats into account, Barkley's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 227.67. Aaron Jones, GB RB (Great Value , Medium Risk) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 223.87 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 68 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 34% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.68 Current ADP: 46.3 In his six-year career, Aaron Jones has played an average of 14 games per season. Jones is projected to have 239.5 opportunities this season, with an average of 0.93 points per opportunity. Jones's projected fantasy points would be 199, according to these career averages. However, if Jones completes a full 17-game season, this projection could rise to 241.76, indicating a difference of 42.66 points. When considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Jones's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 223.87. Tony Pollard, DAL RB (Low Value, High Risk) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 211.23 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 48 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 34% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.58 Current ADP: 20.3 Tony Pollard has averaged 16 games per season throughout his four-year professional career. Pollard is projected to have 240.2 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.88 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would total 139. However, if Pollard plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 152.15, creating a difference of 13.43 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Pollard's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 211.23. James Conner, ARZ RB (Best Value, High Reward) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 201.70 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 53 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 33% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.53 Current ADP: 71.3 James Conner has averaged playing in 13 games per season over his six-year professional career. Conner is projected to have 235.3 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.86 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 161. However, if Conner plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 212.72, indicating a difference of 52.14 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Conner's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 201.70. Tier 2: Summary Breece Hall, NYJ RB (Good Value, Medium Risk) Hall's recent ACL injury may be a concern for some fantasy owners. His ADP of 28.7 suggests he's being drafted fairly early, so he could be a good value pick if he recovers well from his injury and meets or exceeds his projected points. Saquon Barkley, NYG RB (Good Value, Medium Risk) Barkley has a history of missing games due to injury, which could be a risk for fantasy owners. However, his high projected points and substantial role as a receiver in the Giants' offense make him a potentially good value pick, even with his high ADP of 9.3. Aaron Jones, GB RB (Great Value, Medium Risk) Jones has a slightly lower ADP than Hall and Barkley, which could make him a great value pick. His projected points are still quite high, and his history of being a significant part of the Packers' passing game could help boost his fantasy value. Tony Pollard, DAL RB (Low Value, High Risk) Pollard's projected points are lower than the others in this group, and his ADP of 20.3 suggests he's being drafted fairly early. The risk with Pollard is that he's often used as a change-of-pace back behind Ezekiel Elliott, which could limit his opportunities. James Conner, ARZ RB (Best Value, High Reward) Conner's projected points are the lowest in this group, but his ADP of 71.3 suggests he's often available in later rounds. His history of missing games due to injury is a risk, but if he can stay healthy and secure a significant role in the Cardinals' offense, he could provide a high return on investment. Tier 3: Fantasy Football Running Backs Running backs that average between 30-39% or more of their total PPR points with a 2023 projected fantasy points total Between 150-199 PPR pts or more. Rhamondre Stevenson, NE RB (High Value, High reward) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 196.11 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 51 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 31% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.23 Current ADP: 26 Rhamondre Stevenson has averaged playing in 15 games per season over his two-year professional career. Stevenson is projected to have 255.8 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.77 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 163. However, if Stevenson plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 191.46, indicating a difference of 28.16 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Stevenson's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 196.11. Joe Mixon, CIN RB (Solid Value, Medium Risk) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 195.92 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 59 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 31% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.52 Current ADP: 48.7 Joe Mixon has averaged playing in 13 games per season over his six-year professional career. Mixon is projected to have 267.7 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.73 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 188. However, if Mixon plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 240.13, indicating a difference of 51.79 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Mixon's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 195.92. Najee Harris, PIT RB (Solid Value, Low Risk) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 194.81 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 82 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 35% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.42 Current ADP: 30 Najee Harris has averaged playing in 17 games per season over his two-year professional career. Harris is projected to have 287.1 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.68 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 235. However, if Harris plays a full 17-game season, this projection would stay the same, indicating no difference. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Harris's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 194.81. David Montgomery, DET RB (Great Value , High Risk) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 159.72 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 56 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 30% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.45 Current ADP: 76.7 David Montgomery has averaged playing in 15 games per season over his four-year professional career. Montgomery is projected to have 230.2 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.69 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 186. However, if Montgomery plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 210.35, indicating a difference of 24.75 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Montgomery's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 159.72. James Cook, BUF RB (High Risk, High reward) Projected 2023 Fantasy Points: 149.49 Avg. Career Fantasy Points as a Receiver Per Season: 35 Avg % Fantasy Points as a Receiver vs. Average Career Fantasy Points Per Season .5PPR: 35% Avg Career Pts Per Reception .5PPR: 1.64 Current ADP: 83.3 James Cook has averaged playing in 16 games per season over his one-year professional career. Cook is projected to have 169 opportunities this season, yielding an average of 0.88 points per opportunity. Based on these career averages, his projected fantasy points would be 97. However, if Cook plays a full 17-game season, this projection could increase to 103.38, indicating a difference of 6.08 points. Considering his points per opportunity and projected 2023 stats, Cook's final fantasy projection for 2023 is 149.49. Tier 3: Summary Rhamondre Stevenson, NE RB (High Value, High reward) Stevenson's high projected points and above-average points per opportunity make him a high-value pick. His ADP of 26 means he'll likely be drafted in the early rounds, but if he meets or exceeds his projections, he could provide a significant return on investment. Joe Mixon, CIN RB (Solid Value, Medium Risk) Mixon's projected fantasy points are close to Stevenson's, but his lower ADP of 48.7 makes him a more accessible choice in later rounds. His six-year career offers a larger sample size of performance data, but it also comes with a history of playing fewer games per season on average, which adds some risk. Najee Harris, PIT RB (Solid Value, Low Risk) Harris's projections are slightly lower than Stevenson's and Mixon's, but his average of playing a full 17-game season in his career thus far makes him a low-risk option. His ADP of 30 is in the early-mid range, so he could be a solid choice for a reliable RB who is likely to play the whole season. David Montgomery, DET RB (Great Value, High Risk) Montgomery's projected fantasy points are the second-lowest in this group, but his ADP of 76.7 offers great value in the mid-late rounds. However, his four-year average of playing 15 games per season and his transition to a new team in Detroit add some uncertainty and risk. James Cook, BUF RB (High Risk, High reward) Cook has the lowest projected points and the highest ADP in this group, making him a high-risk choice. But his high points per opportunity suggest that he could outperform expectations if he gets enough touches. His one-year career means less performance history to base predictions on, which adds to the risk.

As we move into the 2024 NFL Draft player analysis before the 2023 college football season, we will provide in-depth scouting reports, film reviews, and more, covering the top players expected to declare for the 2024 NFL Draft. Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Player Rankings and Analysis Don't forget to check out the Football Scout 365 NFL Draft Big Board. We have improved our analysis in recent years, adding player comparisons, NFL scheme fits, and more. Find Us On YouTube Our YouTube channel has become a central hub for our top NFL Draft player evaluations, fantasy football, and NFL analysis. High School Accolades Overview: Williams had an illustrious career at Gonzaga, earning several accolades for his performances. He was named the D.C. Gatorade Football Player of the Year in 2019 and was also a finalist for the National Gatorade Player of the Year. He led Gonzaga to a state championship in his junior year and was named the Washington Post's All-Met Offensive Player of the Year in the same season. Multi-Sport Athlete: While primarily known for his football prowess, Williams also participated in track and field during high school, showcasing his athletic versatility. Family Athletic History: N/A 247 Sports Star Rating: Caleb Williams was a 5-star recruit, according to 247 Sports. National Player Ranking: Williams was the top-ranked dual-threat quarterback and the 6th overall player in the nation for the 2021 recruiting class, according to 247 Sports Composite Rankings. College Offers: Williams was highly sought-after coming out of high school. He reportedly had more than 20 offers from top-tier Division 1 football programs, ultimately choosing to commit to the University of Oklahoma. High School Summary: Caleb Williams is a prodigious talent who dominated at the high school level and has the potential to be a top NFL quarterback. Numerous accolades marked his high school career at Gonzaga, and he demonstrated his athletic versatility by also participating in track and field. As a 5-star recruit and the top-ranked dual-threat quarterback in his class, Williams had his choice of college programs, ultimately choosing to play for Oklahoma. His athletic prowess and football IQ suggest a bright future in the NFL. 2024 NFL Draft Scouting Report Name: Caleb Williams Position: Quarterback Schools: USC, Oklahoma Height: 6'1" Weight: 218 lbs High School: Gonzaga College High School City/State: Washington, D.C. Overview: Caleb Williams is a dual-threat quarterback with an exceptional blend of natural arm talent, football IQ, and athletic ability. Transferring from Oklahoma to USC, Williams has excelled at both schools, showcasing his versatility and adaptability. Mechanics: Williams' throwing mechanics are largely sound. His quick, compact release helps him get the ball out in a hurry. His footwork in the pocket is generally solid, although there can be moments of inconsistency when under pressure. His ability to maintain his mechanics while on the move is a standout quality. Football IQ: Football intelligence is a key strength for Williams. His understanding of the game is evident in his ability to read defenses, make adjustments at the line of scrimmage, and go through his progressions smoothly. His decision-making is generally good, although he occasionally forces throws into tight coverage. Arm Strength: Williams' arm strength is top-tier. He can make all the NFL throws and can push the ball downfield with velocity and ease. This arm strength also allows him to fit throws into tight windows, a critical ability needed at the NFL level. Arm Angles: Williams has shown the ability to throw from a variety of arm angles, demonstrating the flexibility to deliver the ball effectively even in unconventional situations. This ability, combined with his mobility, makes him a difficult quarterback to defend. Three-Level Accuracy: Accuracy is an area where Williams shines. He has demonstrated the ability to deliver the ball accurately at all three field levels – short, intermediate, and deep. His touch and ball placement is impressive, particularly on deep passes. Speed/Agility: Williams is a legitimate dual-threat quarterback, possessing excellent speed and agility. He can extend plays with his legs and is a dangerous runner in open space. He also has good pocket mobility and can evade pass rushers effectively. Play Style and Scheme Fit: Williams is a dynamic playmaker, comfortable both as a pocket passer and a scrambler. He has the skill set to fit into various offensive schemes, though he would likely thrive best in an offense that leverages his dual-threat capabilities and arm talent. His ability to improvise and make plays on the move would be a major asset in a scheme that features roll-outs, bootlegs, and options. Player Comparisons: Williams' game is reminiscent of Russell Wilson due to his combination of mobility, arm strength, and football IQ. Like Wilson, Williams is adept at extending plays with his legs while keeping his eyes downfield. His deep ball accuracy and touch are also similar to Wilson's. In terms of his arm talent and improvisational ability, there are shades of Patrick Mahomes in his game as well. Summary: Caleb Williams is one of the most exciting quarterback prospects in recent years. He is currently the top QB on most 2024 NFL Draft boards. With his combination of arm talent, mobility, and football IQ, he has all the tools to be a successful quarterback at the NFL level. His ability to fit into various offensive schemes and make plays under pressure adds to his value. With the right development, he has the potential to be a franchise quarterback in the NFL.